BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
12.09.2026 16:00
Bistritsa Stadium

CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.6%
1.40
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.63
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.00
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
CSKA 1948 Win 72.6%
Draw 4.8%
Dunav Ruse Win 22.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA 19481.64
Dunav Ruse1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
WWDLW
40 GF / 27 GA
Dunav Ruse Dunav Ruse
WLDWL
19 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
15
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
10
0.89
Shots on Goal
0.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 25 matches
Dunav Ruse Dunav Ruse 16 matches
CSKA 1948 Statistic Dunav Ruse
11 Wins 2
6 Draws 5
8 Losses 9
40 Goals For 19
27 Goals Against 27
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
15 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 14
15 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 4
0.89 Shots On Goal 0.2
4.33 Total Shots 1.4
1.78 Corners 1.4
14.4% Ball Possession 7.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by CSKA 1948's more proactive style and Dunav Ruse's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dunav Ruse. CSKA 1948 come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. CSKA 1948 arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 16 points compared to Dunav Ruse in 12 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

CSKA 1948 Analysis

CSKA 1948 approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 16 points after 7 outings. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 15:7 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Dunav Ruse Analysis

Dunav Ruse sit 12 with 4 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 7:14, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, CSKA 1948 won 1 times, Dunav Ruse won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from CSKA 1948's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: CSKA 1948 4-2-3-1 / Dunav Ruse 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CSKA 1948 wins 1, draws 0, Dunav Ruse wins 0

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 21:4 17 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 2 0 14:6 8 20
W D D W W
3 7 5 2 0 17:5 12 17
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:8 7 16
L W L W W
5 8 5 1 2 13:7 6 16
L W W W W
6 8 2 4 2 8:6 2 10
W L D D W
7 8 3 1 4 11:14 -3 10
W L L L W
8 8 2 3 3 10:14 -4 9
D D L L L
9 8 2 2 4 7:13 -6 8
L D W W L
10 8 2 1 5 7:17 -10 7
W L W L L
11 8 2 0 6 4:10 -6 6
W L L L L
12 9 1 2 6 10:19 -9 5
D L L W L
13 8 0 4 4 10:16 -6 4
D L D L L
14 8 1 1 6 7:15 -8 4
L D L W L
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