BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
FT
1 - 5
CSE
Match Timeline
CSA
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
Ailton Santos
CSA
68'
Rian Santana
CSA
71'
Celestino
CSE
73'
Rian Santana
CSA
79'
Lucas Silva
CSA
88'
Gustavo
CSA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
CSE Win 32.4%
Draw 0%
CSA Win 67.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSE1.17
CSA1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSE CSE
WWDLW
9 GF / 11 GA
CSA CSA
WLDWL
11 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
6
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSE CSE 6 matches
CSA CSA 6 matches
CSE Statistic CSA
2 Wins 4
1 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
9 Goals For 11
11 Goals Against 4
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
6 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by CSA's more proactive style and CSE's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward CSA. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CSA having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. CSA carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 13 points while CSE sit 4 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

CSE Analysis

CSE arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 7 points after 6 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 9:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Michel Douglas (3 goals), Anderson Montanha (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

CSA Analysis

CSA come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 13 points after 6 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 11:4 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Rian Santana (4 goals), Dudu Figueiredo (2 goals), Ailton Santos (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CSE won 5 times, CSA won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:26 from CSE's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: CSE wins 5, draws 4, CSA wins 6
Last matches: CSE
14.06.26
Ser
CSE
Juazeirense
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
CSE
ASA
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
CSE
Jacuipense
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
CSE
Jacuipense
3
2
W
25.04.26
Ser
CSE
CSA
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
CSE
ASA
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
CSE
Juazeirense
1
3
L
Last matches: CSA
19.07.26
Ser
CSA
São Luiz
0
0
D
13.07.26
Ser
CSA
Ipatinga
4
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
CSA
Ipatinga
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
CSA
Lagarto
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
CSA
Lagarto
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
CSA
Atlético Alagoinhas
7
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
CSA
ASA
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
CSA
CSE
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
CSA
ASA
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
3
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
CSA
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
0
W
H2H: CSE vs CSA
17.05.26
H2H
CSE
CSA
1
5
L
25.04.26
H2H
CSA
CSE
1
1
D
21.03.26
H2H
CSA
CSE
5
0
L
01.02.26
H2H
CSE
CSA
0
1
L
12.01.25
H2H
CSA
CSE
3
0
L
11.04.24
H2H
CSA
CSE
1
2
W
07.04.24
H2H
CSE
CSA
0
2
L
02.03.24
H2H
CSE
CSA
3
2
W
04.02.24
H2H
CSA
CSE
1
2
W
14.01.23
H2H
CSE
CSA
1
0
W
09.03.22
H2H
CSA
CSE
0
0
D
11.05.21
H2H
CSA
CSE
3
0
L
08.05.21
H2H
CSE
CSA
1
1
D
05.05.21
H2H
CSE
CSA
2
0
W
13.02.20
H2H
CSA
CSE
1
1
D
Last matches: CSE
14.06.26
Ser
CSE
Juazeirense
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
CSE
Jacuipense
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
CSE
ASA
1
2
L
H2H at home: CSE
17.05.26
H2H
CSE
CSA
1
5
L
01.02.26
H2H
CSE
CSA
0
1
L
07.04.24
H2H
CSE
CSA
0
2
L
02.03.24
H2H
CSE
CSA
3
2
W
14.01.23
H2H
CSE
CSA
1
0
W
08.05.21
H2H
CSE
CSA
1
1
D
05.05.21
H2H
CSE
CSA
2
0
W
Last matches: CSA
19.07.26
Ser
CSA
São Luiz
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
CSA
Ipatinga
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
CSA
Lagarto
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
CSA
Atlético Alagoinhas
7
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
CSA
Juazeirense
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
CSA
ASA
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
CSA
Jacuipense
3
1
W
H2H away: CSA
17.05.26
H2H
CSE
CSA
1
5
W
01.02.26
H2H
CSE
CSA
0
1
W
07.04.24
H2H
CSE
CSA
0
2
W
02.03.24
H2H
CSE
CSA
3
2
L
14.01.23
H2H
CSE
CSA
1
0
L
08.05.21
H2H
CSE
CSA
1
1
D
05.05.21
H2H
CSE
CSA
2
0
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1
CSA Away
10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5
CSE Home
10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)