BRAZIL SERIE D
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Carneiro

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
CSE Win 100%
Draw 0%
Atlético Alagoinhas Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSE1.6
Atlético Alagoinhas1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSE CSE
WWDLW
10 GF / 16 GA
Atlético Alagoinhas Atlético Alagoinhas
WLDWL
4 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
0.57
2.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
7
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSE CSE 7 matches
Atlético Alagoinhas Atlético Alagoinhas 7 matches
CSE Statistic Atlético Alagoinhas
2 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
4 Losses 6
10 Goals For 4
16 Goals Against 13
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 0.57
2.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
7 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atlético Alagoinhas. CSE arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 7 points compared to Atlético Alagoinhas in 6 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Atlético Alagoinhas arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atlético Alagoinhas having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

CSE Analysis

Placed 5 with 7 points from 7 outings, CSE continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 10:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Michel Douglas (3 goals), Anderson Montanha (2 goals), Celestino (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atlético Alagoinhas Analysis

With 3 points from 7 games and a place of 6, Atlético Alagoinhas still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats with a 4:13 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Guilherme Queiroz (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, CSE won 2 times, Atlético Alagoinhas won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from CSE's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: CSE wins 2, draws 1, Atlético Alagoinhas wins 1
Last matches: CSE
14.06.26
Ser
CSE
Juazeirense
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
CSE
ASA
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
CSE
CSA
1
5
L
10.05.26
Ser
CSE
Jacuipense
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
CSE
Jacuipense
3
2
W
25.04.26
Ser
CSE
CSA
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
CSE
ASA
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
CSE
Juazeirense
1
3
L
Last matches: Atlético Alagoinhas
14.06.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
1
7
L
31.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Juazeirense
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
ASA
0
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
ASA
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Juazeirense
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
0
3
L
H2H: CSE vs Atlético Alagoinhas
24.05.26
H2H
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
0
D
19.04.26
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
1
2
W
05.06.22
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
2
1
L
28.05.22
H2H
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
2
1
W
Last matches: CSE
14.06.26
Ser
CSE
Juazeirense
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
CSE
CSA
1
5
L
03.05.26
Ser
CSE
Jacuipense
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
CSE
ASA
1
2
L
H2H at home: CSE
24.05.26
H2H
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
0
D
28.05.22
H2H
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
2
1
W
Last matches: Atlético Alagoinhas
31.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Juazeirense
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
ASA
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
0
3
L
H2H away: Atlético Alagoinhas
24.05.26
H2H
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
0
D
28.05.22
H2H
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
2
1
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5
CSE Home
10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)