07.05.2026 19:00
Selhurst Park
Referee: A. Hernandez
Crystal Palace
Match Timeline
Shakhtar Donetsk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
12'
Yéremy Pino
Crystal Palace
🟨
15'
Valerii Bondar
Shakhtar Donetsk
⚽
25'
P. Henrique
Crystal Palace
🔄
27'
V. Tobias ↔ A. Ghram
Shakhtar Donetsk
⚽
34'
Eguinaldo · Assist: P. Henrique
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
46'
Alisson ↔ Isaque Silva
Shakhtar Donetsk
⚽
52'
I. Sarr · Assist: T. Mitchell
Crystal Palace
🔄
56'
Kaua Elias ↔ L. Traore
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
56'
O. Ocheretko ↔ Newerton
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
66'
J. Mateta ↔ J. S. Larsen
Crystal Palace
🔄
75'
Pedrinho ↔ Lucas Ferreira
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
78'
Y. Pino ↔ B. Johnson
Crystal Palace
🔄
88'
D. Kamada ↔ J. Lerma
Crystal Palace
🔄
89'
D. Munoz ↔ N. Clyne
Crystal Palace
🔄
89'
A. Wharton ↔ W. Hughes
Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 12.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 10.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
12.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
10.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Crystal Palace Win 40.6%
Draw 9.5%
Shakhtar Donetsk Win 49.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Crystal Palace1.04
Shakhtar Donetsk1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
WWDLW
61 GF / 55 GA
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
WLDWL
96 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
2.13
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
25
BTTS Yes
20
26
Over 2.5
26
4.18
Shots on Goal
3.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 50 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 45 matches
Crystal Palace Statistic Shakhtar Donetsk
19 Wins 29
14 Draws 12
17 Losses 4
61 Goals For 96
55 Goals Against 34
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 2.13
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
25 BTTS Yes 20
35 Over 1.5 33
26 Over 2.5 26
9 Over 3.5 17
19 Clean Sheets 25
14 Failed To Score 6
4.18 Shots On Goal 3.81
12.98 Total Shots 9.95
4.46 Corners 3.81
49.8% Ball Possession 40.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Crystal Palace hold an advantage after winning the first leg 3-1, so Shakhtar Donetsk now have a 2-goal deficit to overturn. In the previous meeting, Shakhtar Donetsk controlled more possession in the first leg (71% against 29%). Crystal Palace were also more accurate in attack, recording 7 shots on target to 1. Shakhtar Donetsk circulated the ball more often, making 517 passes to 217 and completing 472. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Shakhtar Donetsk. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Crystal Palace expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Shakhtar Donetsk in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shakhtar Donetsk having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Crystal Palace Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Crystal Palace arrive from a league campaign that has them 10 with 10 points after 6 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats with goals at 11:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on I. Sarr (8 goals), C. Uche (2 goals), E. Nketiah (2 goals), with creative support from D. Kamada (4 assists), J. Mateta (3 assists), M. Lacroix (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Shakhtar Donetsk Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk come into this tie placed 6 in their league with 13 points from 6 matches. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 10:5 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Alisson (3 goals), Kaua Elias (3 goals), Luca Meirelles (3 goals), with creative support from Kaua Elias (4 assists), Marlon Gomes (3 assists), Pedrinho (2 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Crystal Palace won 2 times, Shakhtar Donetsk won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:2 from Crystal Palace's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.5%)
Predicted formations: Crystal Palace 3-4-3 / Shakhtar Donetsk 4-3-3
H2H summary: Crystal Palace wins 2, draws 0, Shakhtar Donetsk wins 0

Standings

UEFA Conference League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 11:5 6 16
W W W W D
2 6 4 2 0 9:2 7 14
W W W D D
3 6 4 1 1 14:7 7 13
W W W D W
4 6 4 1 1 10:3 7 13
W W W D L
5 6 4 1 1 13:7 6 13
W W L W D
6 6 4 1 1 10:5 5 13
D W W W L
7 6 4 1 1 7:3 4 13
W D L W W
8 6 3 3 0 7:1 6 12
W D D D W
9 6 3 2 1 6:3 3 11
W D L D W
10 6 3 1 2 11:6 5 10
D W L W L
11 6 3 1 2 12:8 4 10
W D W L L
12 6 3 1 2 10:6 4 10
L L D W W
13 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
D L L W W
14 6 3 1 2 7:7 0 10
D W W L W
15 6 3 0 3 8:5 3 9
L W L L W
16 6 2 3 1 5:2 3 9
D W D D W
17 6 2 3 1 5:4 1 9
D L W D D
18 6 2 2 2 5:4 1 8
L W W D D
19 6 2 2 2 6:7 -1 8
L W D L D
20 6 2 2 2 4:8 -4 8
L L W W D
21 6 1 4 1 6:5 1 7
D D L W D
22 6 2 1 3 4:5 -1 7
L W L D W
23 6 2 1 3 8:10 -2 7
D L W L L
24 6 2 1 3 7:9 -2 7
L L W W D
25 6 2 1 3 6:8 -2 7
L L W W D
26 6 2 1 3 7:15 -8 7
L W L D W
27 6 2 0 4 9:9 0 6
W L L W L
28 6 2 0 4 8:8 0 6
W L L L W
29 6 2 0 4 5:9 -4 6
W L W L L
30 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
L W D L D
31 6 1 1 4 7:13 -6 4
W L L D L
32 6 0 3 3 5:8 -3 3
L D L L D
33 6 1 0 5 4:11 -7 3
L L W L L
34 6 0 2 4 0:7 -7 2
D L L L L
35 6 0 2 4 3:14 -11 2
L L D D L
36 6 0 1 5 3:14 -11 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)