WORLD UEFA EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Selhurst Park
Referee: A. Hernandez
Crystal Palace
Match Timeline
Shakhtar Donetsk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
12'
Yéremy Pino
Crystal Palace
🟨
15'
Valerii Bondar
Shakhtar Donetsk
25'
P. Henrique
Crystal Palace
🔄
27'
V. Tobias ↔ A. Ghram
Shakhtar Donetsk
34'
Eguinaldo · Assist: P. Henrique
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
46'
Alisson ↔ Isaque Silva
Shakhtar Donetsk
52'
I. Sarr · Assist: T. Mitchell
Crystal Palace
🔄
56'
Kaua Elias ↔ L. Traore
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
56'
O. Ocheretko ↔ Newerton
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
66'
J. Mateta ↔ J. S. Larsen
Crystal Palace
🔄
75'
Pedrinho ↔ Lucas Ferreira
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
78'
Y. Pino ↔ B. Johnson
Crystal Palace
🔄
88'
D. Kamada ↔ J. Lerma
Crystal Palace
🔄
89'
D. Munoz ↔ N. Clyne
Crystal Palace
🔄
89'
A. Wharton ↔ W. Hughes
Crystal Palace

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 12.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 10.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
12.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
10.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.8%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Crystal Palace Win 40.6%
Draw 9.5%
Shakhtar Donetsk Win 49.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Crystal Palace1.04
Shakhtar Donetsk1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
WWDLW
61 GF / 55 GA
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
WLDWL
96 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
2.13
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
25
BTTS Yes
20
26
Over 2.5
26
4.18
Shots on Goal
3.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 50 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 45 matches
Crystal Palace Statistic Shakhtar Donetsk
19 Wins 29
14 Draws 12
17 Losses 4
61 Goals For 96
55 Goals Against 34
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 2.13
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
25 BTTS Yes 20
35 Over 1.5 33
26 Over 2.5 26
9 Over 3.5 17
19 Clean Sheets 25
14 Failed To Score 6
4.18 Shots On Goal 3.81
12.98 Total Shots 9.95
4.46 Corners 3.81
49.8% Ball Possession 40.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Crystal Palace hold an advantage after winning the first leg 3-1, so Shakhtar Donetsk now have a 2-goal deficit to overturn. In the previous meeting, Shakhtar Donetsk controlled more possession in the first leg (71% against 29%). Crystal Palace were also more accurate in attack, recording 7 shots on target to 1. Shakhtar Donetsk circulated the ball more often, making 517 passes to 217 and completing 472. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Shakhtar Donetsk. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Crystal Palace expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Shakhtar Donetsk in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shakhtar Donetsk having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Crystal Palace Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Crystal Palace arrive from a league campaign that has them 10 with 10 points after 6 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats with goals at 11:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on I. Sarr (8 goals), C. Uche (2 goals), E. Nketiah (2 goals), with creative support from D. Kamada (4 assists), J. Mateta (3 assists), M. Lacroix (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Shakhtar Donetsk Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk come into this tie placed 6 in their league with 13 points from 6 matches. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 10:5 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Alisson (3 goals), Kaua Elias (3 goals), Luca Meirelles (3 goals), with creative support from Kaua Elias (4 assists), Marlon Gomes (3 assists), Pedrinho (2 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Crystal Palace won 2 times, Shakhtar Donetsk won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:2 from Crystal Palace's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.5%)
Predicted formations: Crystal Palace 3-4-3 / Shakhtar Donetsk 4-3-3
H2H summary: Crystal Palace wins 2, draws 0, Shakhtar Donetsk wins 0
Stats
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
1 Corner Kicks 5
8 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Goal 6
4 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 13
4 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
272 Total passes 541
209 Passes accurate 495
1.37 expected_goals 1.04
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Crystal Palace
Formation
Shakhtar Donetsk
D. Henderson
D. Henderson
C. Richards
C. Richards
M. Lacroix
M. Lacroix
J. Canvot
J. Canvot
D. Munoz
D. Munoz
A. Wharton
A. Wharton
D. Kamada
D. Kamada
T. Mitchell
🎯
T. Mitchell
I. Sarr
I. Sarr
J. Mateta
J. Mateta
Y. Pino
Y. Pino
D. Riznyk
D. Riznyk
V. Tobias
V. Tobias
V. Bondar
V. Bondar
M. Matviienko
M. Matviienko
P. Henrique
🎯
P. Henrique
O. Ocheretko
O. Ocheretko
Alisson
Alisson
Pedrinho
Pedrinho
Marlon Gomes
Marlon Gomes
Eguinaldo
Eguinaldo
Kaua Elias
Kaua Elias
Crystal Palace 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
D. Henderson
G
26
C. Richards
D
5
M. Lacroix
D
23
J. Canvot
D
2
D. Munoz
↓ 89'
M
20
A. Wharton
↓ 89'
M
18
D. Kamada
↓ 88'
M
3
T. Mitchell
🎯 52'
M
7
I. Sarr
⚽ 52'
F
14
J. Mateta
↓ 66'
F
10
Y. Pino
↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
44
W. Benitez
G
31
R. Matthews
G
17
N. Clyne
↑ 89'
D
19
W. Hughes
↑ 89'
M
22
J. S. Larsen
↑ 66'
F
11
B. Johnson
↑ 78'
F
42
K. Rodney
M
8
J. Lerma
↑ 88'
M
55
J. Devenny
M
34
C. Riad
D
59
R. Cardines
M
Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
31
D. Riznyk
G
17
V. Tobias
↓ 27'
D
5
V. Bondar
🟨 15'
D
22
M. Matviienko
D
13
P. Henrique
⚽ 25' 🎯 34'
D
27
O. Ocheretko
↓ 56'
M
30
Alisson
↓ 46'
M
10
Pedrinho
↓ 75'
M
6
Marlon Gomes
M
7
Eguinaldo
⚽ 34'
M
19
Kaua Elias
↓ 56'
F
Substitutes
48
D. Tvardovskyi
8
D. Kryskiv
M
2
L. Traore
↑ 56'
F
68
P. Obah
M
11
Newerton
↑ 56'
M
49
Luca Meirelles
F
14
Isaque Silva
↑ 46'
M
29
Y. Nazaryna
M
21
A. Bondarenko
M
16
I. Azarovi
D
18
A. Ghram
↑ 27'
D
37
Lucas Ferreira
↑ 75'
M
Last matches: Crystal Palace
27.05.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Brentford
2
2
D
13.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
0
3
L
10.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Everton
2
2
D
03.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
0
3
L
30.04.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
3
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
1
3
L
20.04.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
West Ham
0
0
D
16.04.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
2
1
W
09.04.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
3
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Leeds
0
0
D
12.03.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
0
0
D
05.03.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
3
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
1
2
L
26.02.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
2
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Wolves
1
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
1
1
D
Last matches: Shakhtar Donetsk
21.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
3
2
W
13.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
SK Poltava
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
2
1
W
30.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
1
3
L
26.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
3
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
1
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
13.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
2
2
D
09.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ruh Lviv
3
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
3
1
W
06.03.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Oleksandria
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Veres Rivne
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
3
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rustavi
3
0
W
H2H: Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk
07.05.26
H2H
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
30.04.26
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
1
3
W
Last matches: Crystal Palace
27.05.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Everton
2
2
D
20.04.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
West Ham
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
2
1
W
09.04.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
3
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Leeds
0
0
D
12.03.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
0
0
D
26.02.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
2
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Wolves
1
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Burnley
2
3
L
25.01.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
1
3
L
07.01.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
0
0
D
01.01.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Fulham
1
1
D
28.12.25
Pre
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
0
1
L
18.12.25
UEF
Crystal Palace
KuPS
2
2
D
14.12.25
Pre
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
0
3
L
30.11.25
Pre
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
1
2
L
09.11.25
Pre
Crystal Palace
Brighton
0
0
D
06.11.25
UEF
Crystal Palace
AZ Alkmaar
3
1
W
H2H at home: Crystal Palace
07.05.26
H2H
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
Last matches: Shakhtar Donetsk
17.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
3
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
SK Poltava
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
3
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
2
1
W
16.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
13.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
2
2
D
12.03.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
3
1
W
06.03.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Oleksandria
1
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rustavi
3
0
W
10.02.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
0
1
L
11.12.25
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Hamrun Spartans
2
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
0
0
D
27.11.25
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
22.11.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
6
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
0
0
D
02.10.25
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Aberdeen
3
2
W
28.09.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ruh Lviv
4
0
W
13.09.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
1
D
28.08.25
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Servette FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Shakhtar Donetsk
07.05.26
H2H
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
L

Standings

UEFA Conference League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 11:5 6 16
W W W W D
2 6 4 2 0 9:2 7 14
W W W D D
3 6 4 1 1 14:7 7 13
W W W D W
4 6 4 1 1 10:3 7 13
W W W D L
5 6 4 1 1 13:7 6 13
W W L W D
6 6 4 1 1 10:5 5 13
D W W W L
7 6 4 1 1 7:3 4 13
W D L W W
8 6 3 3 0 7:1 6 12
W D D D W
9 6 3 2 1 6:3 3 11
W D L D W
10 6 3 1 2 11:6 5 10
D W L W L
11 6 3 1 2 12:8 4 10
W D W L L
12 6 3 1 2 10:6 4 10
L L D W W
13 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
D L L W W
14 6 3 1 2 7:7 0 10
D W W L W
15 6 3 0 3 8:5 3 9
L W L L W
16 6 2 3 1 5:2 3 9
D W D D W
17 6 2 3 1 5:4 1 9
D L W D D
18 6 2 2 2 5:4 1 8
L W W D D
19 6 2 2 2 6:7 -1 8
L W D L D
20 6 2 2 2 4:8 -4 8
L L W W D
21 6 1 4 1 6:5 1 7
D D L W D
22 6 2 1 3 4:5 -1 7
L W L D W
23 6 2 1 3 8:10 -2 7
D L W L L
24 6 2 1 3 7:9 -2 7
L L W W D
25 6 2 1 3 6:8 -2 7
L L W W D
26 6 2 1 3 7:15 -8 7
L W L D W
27 6 2 0 4 9:9 0 6
W L L W L
28 6 2 0 4 8:8 0 6
W L L L W
29 6 2 0 4 5:9 -4 6
W L W L L
30 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
L W D L D
31 6 1 1 4 7:13 -6 4
W L L D L
32 6 0 3 3 5:8 -3 3
L D L L D
33 6 1 0 5 4:11 -7 3
L L W L L
34 6 0 2 4 0:7 -7 2
D L L L L
35 6 0 2 4 3:14 -11 2
L L D D L
36 6 0 1 5 3:14 -11 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)