Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
90.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
12.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
10.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
69.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Crystal Palace
50 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
45 matches
| Crystal Palace | Statistic | Shakhtar Donetsk |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 29 |
| 14 | Draws | 12 |
| 17 | Losses | 4 |
| 61 | Goals For | 96 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.13 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.76 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 33 |
| 26 | Over 2.5 | 26 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 19 | Clean Sheets | 25 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.18 | Shots On Goal | 3.81 |
| 12.98 | Total Shots | 9.95 |
| 4.46 | Corners | 3.81 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 40.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Crystal Palace hold an advantage after winning the first leg 3-1, so Shakhtar Donetsk now have a 2-goal deficit to overturn. In the previous meeting, Shakhtar Donetsk controlled more possession in the first leg (71% against 29%). Crystal Palace were also more accurate in attack, recording 7 shots on target to 1. Shakhtar Donetsk circulated the ball more often, making 517 passes to 217 and completing 472. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Shakhtar Donetsk. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Crystal Palace expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Shakhtar Donetsk in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shakhtar Donetsk having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Ahead of this knockout test, Crystal Palace arrive from a league campaign that has them 10 with 10 points after 6 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats with goals at 11:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on I. Sarr (8 goals), C. Uche (2 goals), E. Nketiah (2 goals), with creative support from D. Kamada (4 assists), J. Mateta (3 assists), M. Lacroix (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.
Shakhtar Donetsk come into this tie placed 6 in their league with 13 points from 6 matches. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 10:5 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Alisson (3 goals), Kaua Elias (3 goals), Luca Meirelles (3 goals), with creative support from Kaua Elias (4 assists), Marlon Gomes (3 assists), Pedrinho (2 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Crystal Palace won 2 times, Shakhtar Donetsk won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:2 from Crystal Palace's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Crystal Palace
5
6
4
7
2
4
Lineups
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
Brentford
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Everton
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
Leeds
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
Crystal Palace
Wolves
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
Shakhtar Donetsk
SK Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ruh Lviv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Oleksandria
Shakhtar Donetsk
Veres Rivne
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rustavi
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
Everton
Crystal Palace
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
Leeds
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
Crystal Palace
Wolves
Crystal Palace
Burnley
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
KuPS
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Crystal Palace
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
SK Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Oleksandria
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rustavi
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
Hamrun Spartans
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shamrock Rovers
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
Aberdeen
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ruh Lviv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Servette FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 14 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 13 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
Away
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 13 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 12 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Crystal Palace
Home
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 8 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 21 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 23 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 27 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 28 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 29 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 30 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 5 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 31 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 32 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 34 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0:7 | -7 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 35 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:14 | -11 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 36 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | -11 | 1 |
D
L
L
L
L
|