Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
67.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
71.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Crystal Palace
55 matches
Rayo Vallecano
56 matches
| Crystal Palace | Statistic | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 25 |
| 16 | Draws | 15 |
| 19 | Losses | 16 |
| 68 | Goals For | 79 |
| 65 | Goals Against | 61 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
| 29 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 40 | Over 1.5 | 41 |
| 31 | Over 2.5 | 26 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 19 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 15 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 4.22 | Shots On Goal | 4.91 |
| 12.93 | Total Shots | 14.45 |
| 4.36 | Corners | 5.93 |
| 48.9% | Ball Possession | 53.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rayo Vallecano. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Crystal Palace expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Rayo Vallecano in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rayo Vallecano having the stronger overall control.
Crystal Palace come into this tie placed 10 in their league with 10 points from 6 matches. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 11:6, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on I. Sarr (9 goals), C. Uche (2 goals), E. Nketiah (2 goals), with creative support from D. Kamada (4 assists), J. Mateta (3 assists), M. Lacroix (2 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Rayo Vallecano enter this tie with a season profile built on 13 points from 6 matches, placing them 5 in their league. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 13:7 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by A. Garcia (6 goals), Alemão (4 goals), I. Palazon (3 goals), with creative support from A. Garcia (4 assists), I. Palazon (3 assists), P. Diaz (2 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Crystal Palace won 1 times, Rayo Vallecano won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Crystal Palace's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 14 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 |
Rayo Vallecano
Away
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 13 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 13 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 12 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Crystal Palace
Home
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 8 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 21 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 23 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 27 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 28 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 29 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 30 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 5 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 31 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 32 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 34 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0:7 | -7 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 35 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:14 | -11 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 36 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | -11 | 1 |
D
L
L
L
L
|