Cruzeiro
Match Timeline
Defensor Sporting
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Cruzeiro Win 70.8%
Draw 6.4%
Defensor Sporting Win 22.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cruzeiro1.13
Defensor Sporting0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cruzeiro
WWDLW
32 GF / 31 GA
Defensor Sporting
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
0.79
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
14
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
4
4.5
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cruzeiro
24 matches
Defensor Sporting
19 matches
| Cruzeiro | Statistic | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 5 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 7 | Losses | 6 |
| 32 | Goals For | 15 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.79 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.84 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 13.63 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 4.75 | Corners | 0 |
| 55.6% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro won 1 times, Defensor Sporting won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from Cruzeiro's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1 / Defensor Sporting 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cruzeiro wins 1, draws 0, Defensor Sporting wins 0
Lineups
Cruzeiro
Formation
Defensor Sporting
Otavio Costa
William Furtado
Joao Marcelo
L. Villalba
G. Rojas
Matheus Henrique
Gerson
Matheus Pereira
R. Lelis
L. Sinisterra
Kaio Jorge
K. Dawson
L. Agazzi
G. De los Santos
M. Caballero
A. Frugone
G. Barrios
M. Amaro
E. Cuello
N. Wunsch
A. Machado
B. Montenegro
Cruzeiro
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
81
Otavio Costa
↓ 46'
12
William Furtado
↓ 46'
43
Joao Marcelo
↓ 46'
25
L. Villalba
↓ 46'
27
G. Rojas
↓ 46'
8
Matheus Henrique
↓ 46'
11
Gerson
↓ 46'
10
Matheus Pereira
↓ 46'
57
R. Lelis
↓ 46'
17
L. Sinisterra
↓ 46'
19
Kaio Jorge
⚽ 40'
↓ 46'
Substitutes
24
Marcelo Eraclito
51
V. Lamounier
↑ 46'
2
Kaua Moraes
↑ 46'
23
Fagner
↑ 46'
15
Fabricio Bruno
↑ 46'
34
Jonathan Jesus
↑ 46'
84
K. Coutinho
60
G. Carvalho
29
L. Romero
↑ 46'
16
Lucas Silva
↑ 46'
🟨 73'
58
Eduardo Pape
35
Murilo Rhikman
38
Felipe Morais
⚽ 90'
↑ 46'
9
Bruno Rodrigues
↑ 46'
7
Marquinhos
↑ 46'
22
N. Villarreal
↑ 46'
49
Ruan Indio
Defensor Sporting
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
12
K. Dawson
↓ 82'
11
L. Agazzi
↓ 71'
3
G. De los Santos
↓ 82'
20
M. Caballero
15
A. Frugone
↓ 82'
5
G. Barrios
↓ 82'
6
M. Amaro
↓ 82'
30
E. Cuello
↓ 61'
8
N. Wunsch
↓ 71'
9
A. Machado
↓ 61'
26
B. Montenegro
↓ 71'
Substitutes
1
L. Machado
↑ 82'
23
B. Simone
2
D. Martinez
↑ 82'
4
G. Rodriguez
↑ 61'
32
M. Casco
↑ 82'
27
Juan Jorge
↑ 71'
33
S. Bruschi
↑ 82'
18
E. Alonso
16
A. Perdomo
↑ 82'
22
A. Torterolo
↑ 61'
97
J. P. Goicochea Del Carpio
↑ 71'
28
L. Navarro
↑ 71'
Last matches: Cruzeiro
23.07.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Internacional
2
1
W
12.07.26
Fri
Cruzeiro
Gremio
1
3
L
31.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
1
1
D
29.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
4
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
20.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Bahia
2
1
W
07.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
1
3
L
29.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Remo
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Gremio
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
08.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
4
L
01.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Santos
0
0
D
18.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
Last matches: Defensor Sporting
25.07.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
L
13.07.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
07.06.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1
1
D
27.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
L
31.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
1
1
D
26.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
0
0
D
26.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
H2H: Cruzeiro vs Defensor Sporting
04.07.26
H2H
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
Last matches: Cruzeiro
31.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
1
1
D
29.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
4
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
1
3
L
29.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Gremio
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Santos
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
3
3
D
25.02.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
1
1
D
06.02.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
1
2
L
H2H at home: Cruzeiro
04.07.26
H2H
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
Last matches: Defensor Sporting
13.07.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
L
26.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
26.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
1
1
D
02.11.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
1
2
L
19.10.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
3
2
W
11.10.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
0
1
L
29.09.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Miramar
0
0
D
13.09.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
30.08.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
17.08.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
02.08.25
Pri
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
0
4
L
09.12.21
Seg
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
H2H away: Defensor Sporting
04.07.26
H2H
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
2
0
L