Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Cruz Azul Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cruz Azul1.86
Toluca2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cruz Azul
WWDLW
23 GF / 14 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
24 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.3
Average Goals Scored
2.4
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
6
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
7
7.29
Shots on Goal
7.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cruz Azul
10 matches
Toluca
10 matches
| Cruz Azul | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 23 | Goals For | 24 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 2.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.4 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 7.29 | Shots On Goal | 7.5 |
| 20.71 | Total Shots | 18.25 |
| 6.86 | Corners | 3.88 |
| 61.9% | Ball Possession | 58.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cruz Azul won 6 times, Toluca won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:21 from Cruz Azul's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Cruz Azul 4-2-3-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cruz Azul wins 6, draws 4, Toluca wins 5
Last matches: Cruz Azul
18.07.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Atletico San Luis
3
2
W
05.07.26
Fri
Cruz Azul
Monarcas
3
3
D
25.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
1
W
22.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
2
1
W
14.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
2
2
D
10.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Atlas
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Atlas
3
2
W
27.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Necaxa
4
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Club Queretaro
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
1
1
D
15.04.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Los Angeles FC
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Club America
1
1
D
08.04.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Los Angeles FC
0
3
L
05.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
26.03.26
Fri
Cruz Azul
Atletico Nacional
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Mazatlán
1
1
D
18.03.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
2
D
11.03.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
3
2
W
Last matches: Toluca
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
H2H: Cruz Azul vs Toluca
07.02.26
H2H
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
24.08.25
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
1
0
W
20.04.25
H2H
Toluca
Cruz Azul
2
2
D
21.07.24
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
1
1
D
28.04.24
H2H
Toluca
Cruz Azul
0
1
W
08.07.23
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
0
2
L
12.02.23
H2H
Toluca
Cruz Azul
3
1
L
23.12.22
H2H
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
14.08.22
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
2
3
L
21.02.22
H2H
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
4
W
15.08.21
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
4
0
W
16.05.21
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
3
1
W
13.05.21
H2H
Toluca
Cruz Azul
2
1
L
21.02.21
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
3
2
W
04.10.20
H2H
Toluca
Cruz Azul
2
0
L
Last matches: Cruz Azul
22.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
0
D
14.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
2
2
D
10.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Atlas
1
0
W
27.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Necaxa
4
1
W
18.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
1
1
D
15.04.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Los Angeles FC
1
1
D
05.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
26.03.26
Fri
Cruz Azul
Atletico Nacional
3
0
W
18.03.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Atletico San Luis
3
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
2
1
W
15.02.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
13.02.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Vancouver FC
5
0
W
18.01.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Puebla
1
0
W
14.01.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Atlas
2
0
W
04.12.25
Lig
Cruz Azul
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
01.12.25
Lig
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
3
2
W
09.11.25
Lig
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
3
L
26.10.25
Lig
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
2
0
W
19.10.25
Lig
Cruz Azul
Club America
2
1
W
H2H at home: Cruz Azul
24.08.25
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
1
0
W
21.07.24
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
1
1
D
08.07.23
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
0
2
L
14.08.22
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
2
3
L
15.08.21
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
4
0
W
16.05.21
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
3
1
W
21.02.21
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
3
2
W
Last matches: Toluca
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
04.03.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
22.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Puebla
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
12.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
04.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
0
1
L
27.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
2
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
0
0
D
H2H away: Toluca
24.08.25
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
1
0
L
21.07.24
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
1
1
D
08.07.23
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
0
2
W
14.08.22
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
2
3
W
15.08.21
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
4
0
L
16.05.21
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
3
1
L
21.02.21
H2H
Cruz Azul
Toluca
3
2
L
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 3 |
Cruz Azul
Home
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 |
Toluca
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
|
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)