MEXICO › LIGA MX

27.04.2026 01:05

Cruz Azul

4 - 1

Necaxa

Estadio Azteca

Referee: I. Lopez

Cruz Azul

Match Timeline

Necaxa

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Cruz Azul vs Necaxa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 91.9%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 91%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 71.1%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	91.9%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	91%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	71.1%	-	▥
HT / FT	X-X	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-0	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Cruz Azul Win 91.9%

Draw 6.4%

Necaxa Win 1.7%

Expected Goals (xG)

Cruz Azul1.68

Necaxa1.21

Recent Form (Last 5)

Cruz Azul

WWDLW

64 GF / 41 GA

Necaxa

WLDWL

42 GF / 53 GA

Key Stats

1.73

Average Goals Scored

1.27

1.11

Average Goals Conceded

1.61

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.95

Shots on Goal

4.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cruz Azul 37 matches

Necaxa 33 matches

Cruz Azul	Statistic	Necaxa
19	Wins	9
14	Draws	8
4	Losses	16
64	Goals For	42
41	Goals Against	53
1.73	Avg Goals Scored	1.27
1.11	Avg Goals Conceded	1.61
26	BTTS Yes	20
32	Over 1.5	26
19	Over 2.5	18
9	Over 3.5	10
10	Clean Sheets	4
3	Failed To Score	11
5.95	Shots On Goal	4.36
17.35	Total Shots	14.15
5.57	Corners	4.85
55.8%	Ball Possession	49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Cruz Azul won 8 times, Necaxa won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:11 from Cruz Azul's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 1X (98.3%)

Predicted formations: Cruz Azul 4-2-3-1 / Necaxa 3-4-3

H2H summary: Cruz Azul wins 8, draws 3, Necaxa wins 3

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	17	10	6	1	34:17	17	36	L D W L D
2	Guadalajara Chivas	17	11	3	3	33:17	16	36	L D W L D
3	Cruz Azul Home	17	9	6	2	31:18	13	33	W D W D W
4	CF Pachuca	17	9	4	4	25:19	6	31	L W W W L
5	Toluca	17	8	6	3	28:16	12	30	L L W L L
6	Atlas	17	7	5	5	16:18	-2	26	L L W D W
7	Tigres UANL	17	7	4	6	28:18	10	25	L W W D D
8	Club America	17	7	4	6	20:17	3	25	D D L W W
9	Club Tijuana	17	5	8	4	19:17	2	23	D W D W W
10	Leon	17	7	1	9	22:32	-10	22	L L W W W
11	Club Queretaro	17	4	8	5	17:21	-4	20	W D D W D
12	FC Juarez	17	5	4	8	26:32	-6	19	W L L L D
13	Monterrey	17	5	3	9	22:24	-2	18	L W L D L
14	Atletico San Luis	17	5	3	9	24:27	-3	18	L W L D W
15	Necaxa Away	17	5	3	9	19:25	-6	18	L D D L W
16	Mazatlán	17	4	3	10	22:37	-15	15	L W D L L
17	Puebla	17	3	4	10	13:26	-13	13	L L L L D
18	Santos Laguna	17	3	3	11	20:38	-18	12	W L L L D

Playoffs