MEXICO LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Azteca
Referee: L. E. Santander Aguirre
Cruz Azul
Match Timeline
Club Tijuana
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
G. Fernandez
Cruz Azul
🟨
20'
Rafael Fernández
Club Tijuana
25'
M. El Ghezouani
Club Tijuana
🟨
45+1'
Erik Lira
Cruz Azul
🔄
60'
E. Lira ↔ J. Paradela
Cruz Azul
🔄
61'
M. El Ghezouani ↔ G. Mora
Club Tijuana
🔄
71'
A. Palavecino ↔ C. Ebere
Cruz Azul
🔄
71'
A. Montano ↔ L. Romero
Cruz Azul
🔄
76'
R. Arciga ↔ U. Bilbao
Club Tijuana
🔄
76'
K. Castaneda ↔ D. Abreu
Club Tijuana
🔄
84'
J. Marquez ↔ A. Morales
Cruz Azul
🔄
84'
O. Campos ↔ A. Castro
Cruz Azul
🟨
90+2'
Willer Ditta
Cruz Azul
🟨
90'
Ángel Zapata
Club Tijuana

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
78.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Cruz Azul Win 60.7%
Draw 9.8%
Club Tijuana Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cruz Azul1.58
Club Tijuana1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
WWDLW
62 GF / 39 GA
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
WLDWL
50 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
24
BTTS Yes
17
19
Over 2.5
18
6
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 35 matches
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 34 matches
Cruz Azul Statistic Club Tijuana
19 Wins 12
12 Draws 12
4 Losses 10
62 Goals For 50
39 Goals Against 44
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
24 BTTS Yes 17
30 Over 1.5 27
19 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 10
10 Clean Sheets 12
3 Failed To Score 8
6 Shots On Goal 3.88
17.26 Total Shots 11.82
5.57 Corners 3.53
55.1% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Cruz Azul's more proactive style and Club Tijuana's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Club Tijuana. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cruz Azul arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 28 points compared to Club Tijuana in 10 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cruz Azul expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Club Tijuana in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Tijuana having the stronger overall control.

Cruz Azul Analysis

Placed 2 with 28 points from 14 outings, Cruz Azul continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 25:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Fernandez (13 goals), A. Sepulveda (10 goals), José Paradela (8 goals), with creative support from José Paradela (7 assists), G. Fernandez (6 assists), Carlos Rodríguez (5 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Club Tijuana Analysis

So far, Club Tijuana have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 18 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 15:15 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Castaneda (13 goals), E. Bullaude (7 goals), F. Boya (6 goals), with creative support from K. Castaneda (7 assists), R. Arciga (7 assists), Jesús Vega (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cruz Azul won 8 times, Club Tijuana won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:17 from Cruz Azul's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
Predicted formations: Cruz Azul 3-4-2-1 / Club Tijuana 5-3-2
H2H summary: Cruz Azul wins 8, draws 3, Club Tijuana wins 4
Stats
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
0
4 Corner Kicks 1
18 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 2
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Goal 2
8 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 0
9 Shots insidebox 3
9 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
519 Total passes 260
427 Passes accurate 174
2.37 expected_goals 1.11
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cruz Azul
Formation
Club Tijuana
K. Mier
K. Mier
O. Campos
O. Campos
W. Ditta
W. Ditta
G. Piovi
G. Piovi
C. Rotondi
C. Rotondi
E. Lira
E. Lira
C. Rodriguez
C. Rodriguez
J. Marquez
J. Marquez
A. Palavecino
A. Palavecino
A. Montano
A. Montano
G. Fernandez
G. Fernandez
A. Rodriguez
A. Rodriguez
R. Inzunza
R. Inzunza
J. Porozo
J. Porozo
A. Gomez
A. Gomez
P. N. Ortiz Orozco
P. N. Ortiz Orozco
A. Zapata
A. Zapata
R. Arciga
R. Arciga
I. Rivero
I. Rivero
K. Castaneda
K. Castaneda
A. Preciado
A. Preciado
M. El Ghezouani
M. El Ghezouani
Cruz Azul 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
K. Mier
G
3
O. Campos
↓ 84'
D
4
W. Ditta
🟨 90+2'
D
33
G. Piovi
D
29
C. Rotondi
D
6
E. Lira
↓ 60' 🟨 45+1'
M
19
C. Rodriguez
M
16
J. Marquez
↓ 84'
M
8
A. Palavecino
↓ 71'
M
10
A. Montano
↓ 71'
M
21
G. Fernandez
⚽ 17'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Gudino
G
20
J. Paradela
↑ 60'
F
209
J. Diaz
194
A. Morales
↑ 84'
M
214
M. Levy
F
11
C. Ebere
↑ 71'
F
18
L. Romero
↑ 71'
F
170
A. Castro
↑ 84'
193
K. Velazquez
M
Club Tijuana 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
2
A. Rodriguez
G
3
R. Inzunza
🟨 20'
D
12
J. Porozo
D
6
A. Gomez
D
33
P. N. Ortiz Orozco
D
20
A. Zapata
🟨 90'
M
17
R. Arciga
↓ 76'
M
22
I. Rivero
M
10
K. Castaneda
↓ 76'
M
11
A. Preciado
M
9
M. El Ghezouani
⚽ 25' ↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
29
J. Hernandez
G
30
J. Martinez
F
5
K. Escamilla
D
4
U. Bilbao
↑ 76'
D
34
F. Boya
M
31
D. Abreu
↑ 76'
F
26
A. Perez
M
202
J. Gonzalez
F
19
G. Mora
↑ 61'
M
188
A. Magallon
D
Last matches: Cruz Azul
25.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
1
W
22.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
2
1
W
14.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
2
2
D
10.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Atlas
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Atlas
3
2
W
27.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Necaxa
4
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Club Queretaro
1
1
D
15.04.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Los Angeles FC
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Club America
1
1
D
08.04.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Los Angeles FC
0
3
L
05.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
26.03.26
Fri
Cruz Azul
Atletico Nacional
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Mazatlán
1
1
D
18.03.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
2
D
11.03.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Atletico San Luis
3
0
W
04.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
01.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
2
0
W
Last matches: Club Tijuana
26.04.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
23.04.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
FC Juarez
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Necaxa
0
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Leon
3
0
W
09.03.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Santos Laguna
1
2
L
05.03.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Atlas
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Mazatlán
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Toluca
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Puebla
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Monterrey
2
2
D
18.01.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Club Queretaro
2
1
W
10.01.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Club America
0
0
D
30.11.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
0
5
L
27.11.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
3
0
W
21.11.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
FC Juarez
3
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Atlas
2
0
W
H2H: Cruz Azul vs Club Tijuana
18.04.26
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
1
1
D
29.09.25
H2H
Club Tijuana
Cruz Azul
2
0
L
01.02.25
H2H
Club Tijuana
Cruz Azul
2
3
W
01.12.24
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
3
0
W
28.11.24
H2H
Club Tijuana
Cruz Azul
3
0
L
17.07.24
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
3
0
W
31.01.24
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
15.07.23
H2H
Club Tijuana
Cruz Azul
2
1
L
09.01.23
H2H
Club Tijuana
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
18.08.22
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
1
2
L
09.01.22
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
2
0
W
04.10.21
H2H
Club Tijuana
Cruz Azul
0
1
W
02.05.21
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
1
1
D
14.09.20
H2H
Club Tijuana
Cruz Azul
1
2
W
07.03.20
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
4
2
W
Last matches: Cruz Azul
22.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
0
D
14.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
2
2
D
10.05.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Atlas
1
0
W
27.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Necaxa
4
1
W
15.04.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Los Angeles FC
1
1
D
05.04.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
26.03.26
Fri
Cruz Azul
Atletico Nacional
3
0
W
18.03.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Atletico San Luis
3
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
2
1
W
15.02.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
13.02.26
CON
Cruz Azul
Vancouver FC
5
0
W
18.01.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Puebla
1
0
W
14.01.26
Lig
Cruz Azul
Atlas
2
0
W
04.12.25
Lig
Cruz Azul
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
01.12.25
Lig
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
3
2
W
09.11.25
Lig
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
3
L
26.10.25
Lig
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
2
0
W
19.10.25
Lig
Cruz Azul
Club America
2
1
W
25.09.25
Lig
Cruz Azul
Club Queretaro
2
2
D
H2H at home: Cruz Azul
18.04.26
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
1
1
D
01.12.24
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
3
0
W
17.07.24
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
3
0
W
31.01.24
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
18.08.22
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
1
2
L
09.01.22
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
2
0
W
02.05.21
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
1
1
D
07.03.20
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
4
2
W
Last matches: Club Tijuana
26.04.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
FC Juarez
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Necaxa
0
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Leon
3
0
W
05.03.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Atlas
1
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Toluca
0
1
L
01.02.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Monterrey
2
2
D
15.01.26
Lig
Club Tijuana
Club Queretaro
2
1
W
30.11.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
0
5
L
02.11.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
4
L
25.10.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
0
2
L
18.10.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Puebla
3
4
L
25.09.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Santos Laguna
0
1
L
15.09.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
17.08.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
CF Pachuca
2
0
W
10.08.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Mazatlán
2
2
D
17.07.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Club America
1
3
L
20.04.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Santos Laguna
4
0
W
17.04.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Mazatlán
2
0
W
30.03.25
Lig
Club Tijuana
Monterrey
2
1
W
H2H away: Club Tijuana
18.04.26
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
1
1
D
01.12.24
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
3
0
L
17.07.24
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
3
0
L
31.01.24
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
1
0
L
18.08.22
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
1
2
W
09.01.22
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
2
0
L
02.05.21
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
1
1
D
07.03.20
H2H
Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana
4
2
L

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2 17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3 17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6 17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7 17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8 17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9 17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10 17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11 17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12 17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13 17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14 17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15 17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16 17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17 17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18 17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs