Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
81.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Criciuma
Vila Nova
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Criciuma
17 matches
Vila Nova
17 matches
| Criciuma | Statistic | Vila Nova |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 9 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 2 | Losses | 4 |
| 20 | Goals For | 25 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.82 | Shots On Goal | 3.65 |
| 13.35 | Total Shots | 12.82 |
| 6.06 | Corners | 4.53 |
| 51.6% | Ball Possession | 52.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Criciuma come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Vila Nova. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Criciuma expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Vila Nova in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vila Nova having the stronger overall control.
Operating from 1 place with 33 points from 17 games, Criciuma bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 20:12, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Fellipe Mateus (3 goals), R. Otero (2 goals), Waguininho (2 goals), with creative support from R. Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Waguininho (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Vila Nova approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 2 with 31 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats with a 25:19 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Ryan Lima (3 goals), Rafael Silva (3 goals), Janderson (2 goals), with creative support from Janderson (4 assists), Marquinhos Gabriel (4 assists), Ryan Lima (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Criciuma won 7 times, Vila Nova won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:9 from Criciuma's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.
Criciuma
4
2
2
3
3
7
Lineups
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
Goias
Criciuma
Athletic Club
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Novorizontino
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Criciuma
America Mineiro
Criciuma
Ceara
Criciuma
Londrina
Criciuma
Avai
Criciuma
Operario-PR
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
Juventude
Criciuma
Cuiaba
Criciuma
CRB
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
CRB
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
Juventude
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Londrina
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Avai
Vila Nova
Goias
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Ceara
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Goias
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Criciuma
Ceara
Criciuma
Londrina
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
CRB
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
CRB
Vila Nova
Juventude
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
Londrina
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Goias
Vila Nova
Ceara
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Criciuma
Home
|
24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 3 |
Vila Nova
Away
|
24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|