Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Criciuma
Ceara
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Criciuma
12 matches
Ceara
12 matches
| Criciuma | Statistic | Ceara |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 2 | Losses | 4 |
| 14 | Goals For | 14 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 4.67 |
| 13.25 | Total Shots | 13.92 |
| 6.58 | Corners | 5.58 |
| 51.8% | Ball Possession | 49.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Criciuma's more proactive style and Ceara's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ceara. Ceara arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Criciuma arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 20 points compared to Ceara in 14 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ceara having the stronger overall control.
Criciuma come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 20 points from 12 matches. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 14:10 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Bruno Alves (3 goals), Fellipe Mateus (2 goals), Nicolas (2 goals), with creative support from Rómulo Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Nicolas (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
With 13 points from 11 games and a place of 14, Ceara still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats with a 12:13 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Melk (3 goals), Juan Alano (2 goals), Matheus Araujo (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (2 assists), Fernandinho (1 assists), Julio Cesar (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Criciuma won 2 times, Ceara won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:16 from Criciuma's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Criciuma
5
2
4
2
2
3
Lineups
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Criciuma
America Mineiro
Criciuma
Londrina
Criciuma
Avai
Criciuma
Operario-PR
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
Juventude
Criciuma
Cuiaba
Criciuma
CRB
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
Goias
Criciuma
Athletic Club
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Goias
Ceara
Juventude
Ceara
Botafogo SP
Ceara
Avai
Ceara
Operario-PR
Ceara
Novorizontino
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
Sport Recife
Ceara
Vila Nova
Ceara
Londrina
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Cuiaba
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Ceara
São Bernardo
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Criciuma
Londrina
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
CRB
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
Athletic Club
Ceara
Goias
Ceara
Juventude
Ceara
Novorizontino
Ceara
Sport Recife
Ceara
Londrina
Ceara
Cuiaba
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Criciuma
Home
|
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
| 2 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 22:18 | 4 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17:8 | 9 | 29 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18:23 | -5 | 25 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 24 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26:31 | -5 | 20 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 18 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 |
Ceara
Away
|
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 17 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11:33 | -22 | 8 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10:27 | -17 | 6 |
L
L
L
W
L
|