BRAZIL SERIE B
16.06.2026 00:00
Referee: J. Vitor Gobi
Criciuma
Match Timeline
Ceara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
20'
Julio Cesar ↔ Richardson
Ceara
25'
Fellipe Mateus · Assist: Waguininho
Criciuma
🔄
60'
Fernando ↔ Matheusinho
Ceara
🔄
60'
Gabriel Amaral ↔ Lucca
Ceara
🔄
61'
Waguininho ↔ Caue Santos
Criciuma
🔄
62'
R. Otero ↔ Diego Goncalves
Criciuma
🔄
76'
Gilmar ↔ Pedro Esli
Ceara
🔄
76'
R. Ramos ↔ Enzo Lodovico
Ceara
🔄
79'
Fellipe Mateus ↔ Thiaguinho
Criciuma
80'
Joao Gabriel · Assist: Matheusinho
Ceara
🔄
86'
Eduardo ↔ Nicolas
Criciuma
🔄
87'
Bruno Alves ↔ Jhonata Robert
Criciuma

Criciuma vs Ceara Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Criciuma Win 70%
Draw 4.6%
Ceara Win 25.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Criciuma1.17
Ceara1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Criciuma Criciuma
WWDLW
14 GF / 10 GA
Ceara Ceara
WLDWL
14 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
7
BTTS Yes
7
3
Over 2.5
5
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Criciuma Criciuma 12 matches
Ceara Ceara 12 matches
Criciuma Statistic Ceara
5 Wins 4
5 Draws 4
2 Losses 4
14 Goals For 14
10 Goals Against 14
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
7 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 9
3 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
3.67 Shots On Goal 4.67
13.25 Total Shots 13.92
6.58 Corners 5.58
51.8% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Criciuma's more proactive style and Ceara's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ceara. Ceara arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Criciuma arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 20 points compared to Ceara in 14 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ceara having the stronger overall control.

Criciuma Analysis

Criciuma come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 20 points from 12 matches. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 14:10 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Bruno Alves (3 goals), Fellipe Mateus (2 goals), Nicolas (2 goals), with creative support from Rómulo Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Nicolas (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Ceara Analysis

With 13 points from 11 games and a place of 14, Ceara still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats with a 12:13 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Melk (3 goals), Juan Alano (2 goals), Matheus Araujo (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (2 assists), Fernandinho (1 assists), Julio Cesar (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Criciuma won 2 times, Ceara won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:16 from Criciuma's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Criciuma 3-4-2-1 / Ceara 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Criciuma wins 2, draws 4, Ceara wins 5

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 7 5 26:13 13 46
D W W D W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17
Ceara Away
25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 25 5 7 13 29:36 -7 22
D L D L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
Promotion
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Relegation