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12.10.2026 22:30
Estadio Heriberto Hülse
Referee: Paulo Schleich Vollkopf, Brazil
Criciuma
Match Timeline
America Mineiro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Rafael Raul Barcelos
America Mineiro
VAR
13'
Nicolas Godinho Johann
Criciuma
🟨
17'
Luidy Montes Carneiro
America Mineiro
🟨
41'
Marcelo Hermes
Criciuma
VAR
45+4'
Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva
Criciuma
🔄
46'
Waguininho ↔ R. Otero
Criciuma
⚽
49'
Cesar Martins · Assist: R. Otero
Criciuma
🔄
58'
L. Montes ↔ Guilherme Parede
America Mineiro
🟨
68'
Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva
Criciuma
🔄
68'
Gui Lobo ↔ Jean Irmer
Criciuma
VAR
72'
Bruno Brigido
America Mineiro
🔄
76'
Nicolas ↔ Yuri Tanque
Criciuma
🔄
76'
Jhonata Robert ↔ Diego Goncalves
Criciuma
🔄
76'
Paulo Victor ↔ F. Elizari
America Mineiro
🔄
84'
Fellipe Mateus ↔ Eduardo
Criciuma
🟨
86'
Eduardo Biasi
Criciuma
🔄
88'
Jorge Jimenez ↔ Otavio Goncalves
America Mineiro
🔄
88'
M. Segovia ↔ Julio Cesar
America Mineiro

Criciuma vs America Mineiro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 51.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.5%
- ▥
BTTS No
51.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Criciuma Win 87.5%
Draw 6.3%
America Mineiro Win 6.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Criciuma1.28
America Mineiro0.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Criciuma Criciuma
L W W L L
5 GF / 7 GA
America Mineiro America Mineiro
L L L L L
0 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
0.66
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.66
11
BTTS Yes
14
7
Over 2.5
16
3.72
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Criciuma Criciuma 32 matches
America Mineiro America Mineiro 32 matches
Criciuma Statistic America Mineiro
15 Wins 4
8 Draws 5
9 Losses 23
33 Goals For 21
28 Goals Against 53
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 0.66
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.66
11 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 23
7 Over 2.5 16
3 Over 3.5 4
14 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 15
3.72 Shots On Goal 4.5
14.13 Total Shots 13.53
6.88 Corners 5.38
53.4% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Criciuma's more proactive style and America Mineiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward America Mineiro. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward America Mineiro having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Criciuma arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 53 points compared to America Mineiro in 19 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Criciuma Analysis

With 53 points from 31 games and a place of 4, Criciuma still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 15 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 33:27 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Fellipe Mateus (4 goals), Willean Lepo (3 goals), R. Otero (2 goals), with creative support from R. Otero (4 assists), Romarinho (3 assists), Willean Lepo (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

America Mineiro Analysis

With 17 points from 31 games and a place of 19, America Mineiro still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 21:52 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gonzalo Mastriani (4 goals), Willian (3 goals), Paulo Victor (2 goals), with creative support from Willian (2 assists), Paulo Victor (2 assists), M. Segovia (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 13 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Criciuma won 2 times, America Mineiro won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:20 from Criciuma's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.8%)
Predicted formations: Criciuma 4-3-3 / America Mineiro 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Criciuma wins 2, draws 6, America Mineiro wins 5

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 20 10 7 66:32 34 70
W W W D W
2 37 19 11 7 49:26 23 68
W D W D D
3 37 19 9 9 53:38 15 66
W D L D W
4 37 18 8 11 38:31 7 62
L W L W W
5 37 16 14 7 44:33 11 62
L D D W D
6 37 17 7 13 57:51 6 58
W L W L D
7 37 17 7 13 39:41 -2 58
W W W D W
8 37 15 13 9 45:35 10 58
W D L D D
9 37 14 13 10 50:42 8 55
L D W L D
10 37 15 9 13 49:50 -1 54
W L W L L
11 37 14 10 13 52:42 10 52
L W W L D
12 37 14 9 14 45:39 6 51
W D W W W
13 37 11 14 12 34:32 2 47
L L L L L
14 37 11 14 12 44:44 0 47
L W L D D
15 37 12 10 15 40:49 -9 46
L W L D L
16 37 11 10 16 38:47 -9 43
L L L D L
17 37 11 7 19 35:47 -12 40
W L L D W
18 37 8 8 21 45:58 -13 32
L L L W D
19 37 8 5 24 27:55 -28 29
W W W W L
20 37 3 6 28 21:79 -58 15
L L D D L
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