Crewe
Match Timeline
Stoke City
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
77.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Crewe Win 77.2%
Draw 11.4%
Stoke City Win 11.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Crewe2.2
Stoke City0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Crewe
WWDLW
3 GF / 2 GA
Stoke City
WLDWL
0 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
0
2
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
0
1
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Crewe
1 matches
Stoke City
1 matches
| Crewe | Statistic | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 0 |
| 0 | Draws | 0 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 3 | Goals For | 0 |
| 2 | Goals Against | 1 |
| 3 | Avg Goals Scored | 0 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 0 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Crewe won 0 times, Stoke City won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Crewe's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.6%)
Predicted formations: Crewe - / Stoke City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Crewe wins 0, draws 1, Stoke City wins 3
Lineups
Crewe
Formation
Stoke City
I. Lawlor
L. Billington
L. Offord
M. Demetriou
R. Hutchinson
J. Tabiner
M. Holicek
O. Lunt
C. Agius
J. March
J. Gibson
J. Griffiths
J. Tchamadeu
B. Lawal
L. Graham
E. Bocat
D. Soumare
E. Galbraith
S. Ingelsson
S. Gallagher
S. Thomas
R. Bozenik
Crewe
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
41
I. Lawlor
↓ 60'
2
L. Billington
15
L. Offord
↓ 60'
5
M. Demetriou
↓ 60'
3
R. Hutchinson
↓ 60'
11
J. Tabiner
↓ 60'
17
M. Holicek
↓ 60'
19
O. Lunt
↓ 60'
20
C. Agius
↓ 60'
24
J. March
↓ 60'
25
J. Gibson
↓ 60'
Substitutes
1
T. Booth
↑ 60'
67
D. Rankine
↑ 60'
99
Trialist
↑ 60'
22
P. Croker
↑ 60'
8
C. Thomas
↑ 60'
32
L. Moore
↑ 60'
7
J. Lankester
↑ 60'
29
A. Thibaut
⚽ 76'
↑ 60'
33
F. Roberts
↑ 60'
35
R. Chadwick
40
P. Mlynarski
↑ 60'
Stoke City
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
24
J. Griffiths
↓ 60'
22
J. Tchamadeu
↓ 54'
🟨 47'
18
B. Lawal
↓ 60'
5
L. Graham
↓ 46'
17
E. Bocat
↓ 60'
27
D. Soumare
8
E. Galbraith
↓ 46'
6
S. Ingelsson
↓ 60'
20
S. Gallagher
⚽ 43'
↓ 60'
7
S. Thomas
↓ 60'
11
R. Bozenik
↓ 60'
Substitutes
34
F. Fielding
↑ 60'
40
M. Talovierov
↑ 54'
16
B. Wilmot
↑ 46'
23
B. Gibson
↑ 60'
3
A. Cresswell
↑ 60'
4
B. Pearson
↑ 60'
19
T. Rigo
12
T. Seko
↑ 46'
14
T. Martin
↑ 60'
29
L. Cisse
↑ 60'
49
M. Smit
↑ 60'
55
R. Curley
↑ 76'
Last matches: Crewe
25.07.26
Fri
Crewe
Birmingham
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Crewe
AFC Telford United
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Crewe
Witton Albion
3
2
W
02.05.26
Lea
Crewe
Cambridge United
0
0
D
25.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Chesterfield
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Milton Keynes Dons
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Grimsby
2
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Salford City
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Accrington ST
0
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Oldham
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Shrewsbury
4
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Cheltenham
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Walsall
0
3
L
07.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Bristol Rovers
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Tranmere
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Swindon Town
2
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Fleetwood Town
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Gillingham
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Crawley Town
1
0
W
03.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Barnet
1
1
D
Last matches: Stoke City
28.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Everton
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
SC Braga
0
1
L
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Derby
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
14.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
11.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
West Brom
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Southampton
0
2
L
H2H: Crewe vs Stoke City
18.07.26
H2H
Crewe
Stoke City
1
1
D
23.07.25
H2H
Crewe
Stoke City
1
2
L
23.07.24
H2H
Crewe
Stoke City
1
2
L
20.07.21
H2H
Crewe
Stoke City
2
3
L
Last matches: Crewe
25.07.26
Fri
Crewe
Birmingham
1
2
L
02.05.26
Lea
Crewe
Cambridge United
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Milton Keynes Dons
1
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Salford City
1
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Oldham
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Walsall
0
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Tranmere
2
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Fleetwood Town
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Gillingham
1
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Crewe
Colchester
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Crewe
Barrow
3
1
W
10.01.26
Lea
Crewe
Harrogate Town
1
1
D
01.01.26
Lea
Crewe
Cheltenham
4
1
W
19.12.25
Lea
Crewe
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
10.12.25
Lea
Crewe
Newport County
2
2
D
22.11.25
Lea
Crewe
Chesterfield
3
3
D
08.11.25
Lea
Crewe
Shrewsbury
3
1
W
01.11.25
FA
Crewe
Doncaster
1
2
L
25.10.25
Lea
Crewe
Grimsby
3
2
W
11.10.25
Lea
Crewe
Bromley
0
1
L
H2H at home: Crewe
18.07.26
H2H
Crewe
Stoke City
1
1
D
23.07.25
H2H
Crewe
Stoke City
1
2
L
23.07.24
H2H
Crewe
Stoke City
1
2
L
20.07.21
H2H
Crewe
Stoke City
2
3
L
Last matches: Stoke City
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Derby
0
2
L
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
11.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
West Brom
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
1
D
04.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Norwich
2
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Hull City
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
0
1
L
10.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
0
1
L
06.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Utd
0
4
L
22.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
1
2
L
04.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
3
0
W
25.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
0
2
L
04.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
30.09.25
Cha
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
H2H away: Stoke City
18.07.26
H2H
Crewe
Stoke City
1
1
D
23.07.25
H2H
Crewe
Stoke City
1
2
W
23.07.24
H2H
Crewe
Stoke City
1
2
W
20.07.21
H2H
Crewe
Stoke City
2
3
W