ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
--.--.---- --:--
Alexandra Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
67.1%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Crewe Win 32.9%
Draw 25.7%
Northampton Win 41.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Crewe1.3
Northampton1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Crewe Crewe
WWDLW
9 GF / 5 GA
Northampton Northampton
WLDWL
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Crewe Crewe 6 matches
Northampton Northampton 6 matches
Crewe Statistic Northampton
3 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
1 Losses 1
9 Goals For 7
5 Goals Against 6
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Crewe won 2 times, Northampton won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:14 from Crewe's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.3%)
H2H summary: Crewe wins 2, draws 3, Northampton wins 4
Last matches: Crewe
15.08.26
Lea
Crewe
Crawley Town
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Crewe
Chester
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Crewe
Birmingham
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Crewe
AFC Telford United
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Crewe
Stoke City
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Crewe
Witton Albion
3
2
W
02.05.26
Lea
Crewe
Cambridge United
0
0
D
25.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Chesterfield
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Milton Keynes Dons
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Grimsby
2
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Salford City
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Accrington ST
0
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Oldham
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Shrewsbury
4
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Cheltenham
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Walsall
0
3
L
07.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Bristol Rovers
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Tranmere
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Swindon Town
2
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Fleetwood Town
0
1
L
Last matches: Northampton
15.08.26
Lea
Northampton
Swindon Town
0
0
D
01.08.26
Fri
Northampton
Solihull Moors
4
2
W
28.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Cambridge United
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Southend
3
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Coventry
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Leicester
0
3
L
02.05.26
Lea
Northampton
Plymouth
2
3
L
28.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Barnsley
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Cardiff
1
5
L
18.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Doncaster
1
3
L
15.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Luton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Wigan
1
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Bradford
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Mansfield Town
1
4
L
17.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Stockport County
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Burton Albion
0
2
L
08.03.26
Lea
Northampton
AFC Wimbledon
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Peterborough
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Port Vale
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
H2H: Crewe vs Northampton
18.03.23
H2H
Northampton
Crewe
1
0
L
20.08.22
H2H
Crewe
Northampton
2
2
D
20.03.21
H2H
Northampton
Crewe
0
1
W
12.12.20
H2H
Crewe
Northampton
2
1
W
04.04.20
H2H
Crewe
Northampton
0
0
D
16.11.19
H2H
Northampton
Crewe
4
1
L
02.03.19
H2H
Crewe
Northampton
0
2
L
03.11.18
H2H
Northampton
Crewe
2
0
L
31.03.12
H2H
Crewe
Northampton
1
1
D
10.12.11
H2H
Northampton
Crewe
1
1
D
Last matches: Crewe
25.07.26
Fri
Crewe
Birmingham
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Crewe
Stoke City
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lea
Crewe
Cambridge United
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Milton Keynes Dons
1
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Salford City
1
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Oldham
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Walsall
0
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Tranmere
2
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Fleetwood Town
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Gillingham
1
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Crewe
Colchester
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Crewe
Barrow
3
1
W
10.01.26
Lea
Crewe
Harrogate Town
1
1
D
01.01.26
Lea
Crewe
Cheltenham
4
1
W
19.12.25
Lea
Crewe
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
10.12.25
Lea
Crewe
Newport County
2
2
D
22.11.25
Lea
Crewe
Chesterfield
3
3
D
08.11.25
Lea
Crewe
Shrewsbury
3
1
W
01.11.25
FA
Crewe
Doncaster
1
2
L
25.10.25
Lea
Crewe
Grimsby
3
2
W
H2H at home: Crewe
20.08.22
H2H
Crewe
Northampton
2
2
D
12.12.20
H2H
Crewe
Northampton
2
1
W
04.04.20
H2H
Crewe
Northampton
0
0
D
02.03.19
H2H
Crewe
Northampton
0
2
L
31.03.12
H2H
Crewe
Northampton
1
1
D
Last matches: Northampton
01.08.26
Fri
Northampton
Solihull Moors
4
2
W
28.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Cambridge United
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Southend
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Leicester
0
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Cardiff
1
5
L
15.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Luton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Bradford
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Mansfield Town
1
4
L
17.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Stockport County
1
2
L
08.03.26
Lea
Northampton
AFC Wimbledon
0
1
L
17.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Lincoln
0
4
L
14.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Exeter City
0
0
D
03.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Barnsley
2
2
D
27.01.26
Lea
Northampton
Rotherham
1
2
L
24.01.26
Lea
Northampton
Blackpool
0
2
L
04.01.26
Lea
Northampton
Bolton
0
0
D
29.12.25
Lea
Northampton
Huddersfield
0
2
L
26.12.25
Lea
Northampton
Burton Albion
1
5
L
13.12.25
Lea
Northampton
Peterborough
1
2
L
29.11.25
Lea
Northampton
Plymouth
3
0
W
H2H away: Northampton
20.08.22
H2H
Crewe
Northampton
2
2
D
12.12.20
H2H
Crewe
Northampton
2
1
L
04.04.20
H2H
Crewe
Northampton
0
0
D
02.03.19
H2H
Crewe
Northampton
0
2
W
31.03.12
H2H
Crewe
Northampton
1
1
D

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
8
Crewe Home
1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
11 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
12 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
13 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
14 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
15 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
16 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
17 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
18 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
19 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
20 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
21 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League