ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
--.--.---- --:--
Alexandra Stadium
Referee: N. Hair
Crewe
Match Timeline
Cambridge United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Sullay Kaikai
Cambridge United
🔄
46'
L. Appere ↔ E. Nevitt
Cambridge United
🟨
53'
Stan Dancey
Crewe
🟨
53'
James Gibbons
Cambridge United
🔄
62'
C. Thomas ↔ L. Moore
Crewe
🔄
74'
S. Kaikai ↔ J. Brophy
Cambridge United
🔄
79'
S. Dancey ↔ A. Pond
Crewe
🔄
82'
T. O'Reilly ↔ S. Tracey
Crewe
🔄
82'
R. Hutchinson ↔ C. Finney
Crewe
🔄
83'
E. Tezgel ↔ A. Thibaut
Crewe
🟨
84'
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu
Cambridge United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 41.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 41.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
41.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
41.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Crewe Win 39.5%
Draw 6.1%
Cambridge United Win 54.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Crewe1.15
Cambridge United1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Crewe Crewe
WWDLW
65 GF / 60 GA
Cambridge United Cambridge United
WLDWL
71 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
27
BTTS Yes
22
25
Over 2.5
18
3.78
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Crewe Crewe 46 matches
Cambridge United Cambridge United 48 matches
Crewe Statistic Cambridge United
19 Wins 23
9 Draws 16
18 Losses 9
65 Goals For 71
60 Goals Against 36
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
27 BTTS Yes 22
34 Over 1.5 35
25 Over 2.5 18
14 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 21
12 Failed To Score 11
3.78 Shots On Goal 3.6
11.78 Total Shots 11.32
4.84 Corners 5.55
49.4% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cambridge United. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Crewe expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cambridge United in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cambridge United having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Crewe have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Crewe Analysis

Crewe approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 66 points from 45 matches. Across the season they have posted 19 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 64:58 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. March (11 goals), E. Tezgel (10 goals), Tommi O'Reilly (7 goals), with creative support from Tommi O'Reilly (11 assists), J. March (5 assists), R. Hutchinson (5 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 12 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Cambridge United Analysis

Cambridge United arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 81 points after 45 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 22 wins, 15 draws, and 8 losses, while the 66:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ben Knight (11 goals), S. Kaikai (9 goals), James Gibbons (7 goals), with creative support from J. Brophy (8 assists), James Gibbons (6 assists), Ben Knight (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Crewe won 1 times, Cambridge United won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:16 from Crewe's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: Crewe 4-2-3-1 / Cambridge United 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Crewe wins 1, draws 3, Cambridge United wins 7
Stats
Crewe Crewe
Cambridge United Cambridge United
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
8 Corner Kicks 6
12 Fouls 20
3 Offsides 0
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 9
2 Shots outsidebox 1
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
359 Total passes 235
259 Passes accurate 130
0.62 expected_goals 2.69
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Crewe
Formation
Cambridge United
I. Lawlor
I. Lawlor
S. Dancey
S. Dancey
L. Billington
L. Billington
M. Demetriou
M. Demetriou
R. Hutchinson
R. Hutchinson
C. Thomas
C. Thomas
J. Powell
J. Powell
M. Holicek
M. Holicek
T. O'Reilly
T. O'Reilly
J. March
J. March
E. Tezgel
E. Tezgel
J. Eastwood
J. Eastwood
M. Jobe
M. Jobe
K. Watts
K. Watts
J. Gibbons
J. Gibbons
L. Bennett
L. Bennett
P. Mpanzu
P. Mpanzu
D. Ball
D. Ball
A. Mayor
A. Mayor
B. Knight
B. Knight
S. Kaikai
S. Kaikai
L. Appere
L. Appere
Crewe 4-3-2-1
Starting XI
41
I. Lawlor
G
30
S. Dancey
↓ 79'
2
L. Billington
D
5
M. Demetriou
D
3
R. Hutchinson
↓ 82'
D
8
C. Thomas
↓ 62'
M
23
J. Powell
M
17
M. Holicek
M
26
T. O'Reilly
↓ 82'
M
24
J. March
M
36
E. Tezgel
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
1
T. Booth
G
10
S. Tracey
↑ 82'
F
25
A. Pond
↑ 79'
D
14
C. Finney
↑ 82'
D
32
L. Moore
↑ 62'
M
29
A. Thibaut
↑ 83'
F
22
P. Croker
D
Cambridge United 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
J. Eastwood
G
23
M. Jobe
D
6
K. Watts
D
26
J. Gibbons
🟨 53'
D
2
L. Bennett
M
17
P. Mpanzu
🟨 84'
M
4
D. Ball
M
15
A. Mayor
M
14
B. Knight
F
11
S. Kaikai
↓ 74' 🟨 32'
F
9
L. Appere
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
25
B. Hughes
5
M. Morrison
D
8
K. Smith
M
3
B. Purrington
D
7
J. Brophy
↑ 74'
M
24
E. Nevitt
↑ 46'
F
10
E. Kachunga
F
Last matches: Crewe
25.07.26
Fri
Crewe
Birmingham
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Crewe
AFC Telford United
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Crewe
Stoke City
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Crewe
Witton Albion
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Chesterfield
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Milton Keynes Dons
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Grimsby
2
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Salford City
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Accrington ST
0
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Oldham
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Shrewsbury
4
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Cheltenham
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Walsall
0
3
L
07.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Bristol Rovers
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Tranmere
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Swindon Town
2
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Fleetwood Town
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Gillingham
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Crawley Town
1
0
W
03.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Barnet
1
1
D
Last matches: Cambridge United
24.07.26
Fri
Cambridge United
Preston
1
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Cambridge United
Southend
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Cambridge United
Cambridge City
3
1
W
25.04.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Barrow
3
0
W
21.04.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Grimsby
1
2
L
16.04.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Bromley
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Notts County
4
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Cheltenham
1
1
D
02.04.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Swindon Town
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Barnet
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Salford City
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Walsall
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Gillingham
5
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Accrington ST
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Newport County
2
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Colchester
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Bristol Rovers
3
1
W
10.02.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Crawley Town
3
0
W
07.02.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Harrogate Town
1
2
L
H2H: Crewe vs Cambridge United
02.05.26
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
0
0
D
29.11.25
H2H
Cambridge United
Crewe
2
1
L
22.01.22
H2H
Cambridge United
Crewe
1
0
L
02.10.21
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
2
2
D
25.04.20
H2H
Cambridge United
Crewe
0
0
D
14.09.19
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
2
3
L
12.03.19
H2H
Cambridge United
Crewe
0
0
D
27.11.18
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
2
0
W
30.12.17
H2H
Cambridge United
Crewe
3
1
L
12.09.17
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
0
1
L
01.04.17
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
1
2
L
17.12.16
H2H
Cambridge United
Crewe
2
1
L
Last matches: Crewe
25.07.26
Fri
Crewe
Birmingham
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Crewe
Stoke City
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Milton Keynes Dons
1
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Salford City
1
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Oldham
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Walsall
0
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Tranmere
2
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Fleetwood Town
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Crewe
Gillingham
1
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Crewe
Colchester
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Crewe
Barrow
3
1
W
10.01.26
Lea
Crewe
Harrogate Town
1
1
D
01.01.26
Lea
Crewe
Cheltenham
4
1
W
19.12.25
Lea
Crewe
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
10.12.25
Lea
Crewe
Newport County
2
2
D
22.11.25
Lea
Crewe
Chesterfield
3
3
D
08.11.25
Lea
Crewe
Shrewsbury
3
1
W
01.11.25
FA
Crewe
Doncaster
1
2
L
25.10.25
Lea
Crewe
Grimsby
3
2
W
11.10.25
Lea
Crewe
Bromley
0
1
L
H2H at home: Crewe
02.05.26
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
0
0
D
02.10.21
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
2
2
D
14.09.19
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
2
3
L
27.11.18
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
2
0
W
12.09.17
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
0
1
L
01.04.17
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
1
2
L
Last matches: Cambridge United
24.07.26
Fri
Cambridge United
Preston
1
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Cambridge United
Southend
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Cambridge United
Cambridge City
3
1
W
16.04.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Bromley
0
0
D
06.04.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Cheltenham
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Barnet
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Walsall
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Accrington ST
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Newport County
2
0
W
10.02.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Crawley Town
3
0
W
07.02.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Harrogate Town
1
2
L
31.01.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Oldham
3
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Cambridge United
Fleetwood Town
2
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Cambridge United
Chesterfield
1
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Cambridge United
Gillingham
1
1
D
13.12.25
Lea
Cambridge United
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
06.12.25
FA
Cambridge United
Stockport County
0
0
D
22.11.25
Lea
Cambridge United
Barrow
2
0
W
08.11.25
Lea
Cambridge United
Salford City
0
0
D
25.10.25
Lea
Cambridge United
Notts County
0
2
L
H2H away: Cambridge United
02.05.26
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
0
0
D
02.10.21
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
2
2
D
14.09.19
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
2
3
W
27.11.18
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
2
0
L
12.09.17
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
0
1
W
01.04.17
H2H
Crewe
Cambridge United
1
2
W

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11
Crewe Home
46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation