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ITALY › SERIE B
28.08.2026 18:30
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Referee: A. Rapuano
Cremonese
Match Timeline
Modena
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Simone Pontisso
Cremonese
🟨
24'
Giacomo Olzer
Modena
🟨
30'
Fabio Gerli
Cremonese
⚽
31'
G. Olzer · Assist: G. Brugman
Modena
⚽
45'
G. Olzer · Assist: G. Ambrosino
Modena
🔄
46'
G. Pezzella ↔ D. Lordkipanidze
Cremonese
🔄
46'
F. Bonazzoli ↔ M. Nasti
Cremonese
⚽
55'
G. Caso · Assist: G. Ambrosino
Modena
🔄
59'
G. Olzer ↔ P. Azzi
Modena
🔄
59'
G. Caso ↔ A. Imputato
Modena
🔄
64'
A. Vogliacco ↔ F. Folino
Cremonese
🔄
64'
F. Gerli ↔ S. Lottici Tessadri
Cremonese
🔄
71'
S. Pontisso ↔ T. Berti
Cremonese
🔄
78'
G. Brugman ↔ W. Acquah
Modena
🔄
87'
F. Zampano ↔ K. Bozhanaj
Modena
🔄
87'
G. Ambrosino ↔ D. Montevago
Modena

Cremonese vs Modena Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
87.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cremonese Win 60.9%
Draw 14.6%
Modena Win 24.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cremonese1.17
Modena1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cremonese Cremonese
WWDLW
7 GF / 2 GA
Modena Modena
WLDWL
10 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.67
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
3
2.5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cremonese Cremonese 5 matches
Modena Modena 6 matches
Cremonese Statistic Modena
2 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
7 Goals For 10
2 Goals Against 5
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
1 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
2.5 Shots On Goal 4
11 Total Shots 12
3.5 Corners 3.5
63% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Cremonese won 3 times, Modena won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:6 from Cremonese's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.4%)
Predicted formations: Cremonese 3-5-2 / Modena 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cremonese wins 3, draws 2, Modena wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 14:7 7 16
W W D W W
2 6 4 2 0 13:6 7 14
W D W D W
3 6 4 1 1 11:6 5 13
W W D L W
4 6 3 3 0 9:3 6 12
D W D W D
5 6 3 2 1 7:4 3 11
D W L W D
6 6 3 1 2 11:7 4 10
W L D W W
7 6 3 1 2 11:8 3 10
W D L W W
8 6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
W W W L D
9 6 2 1 3 12:10 2 7
L W L W D
10 6 2 1 3 5:8 -3 7
L L W L D
11 6 1 4 1 7:8 -1 7
L D D D W
12 6 2 1 3 6:13 -7 7
D L W L L
13 6 2 0 4 6:10 -4 6
L L L W L
14 6 1 3 2 8:7 1 6
D D W D L
15 6 1 3 2 5:7 -2 6
D D D W L
16 6 1 2 3 7:13 -6 5
L L D D L
17 6 1 1 4 4:6 -2 4
W L L L D
18 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
L W L L L
19 6 1 0 5 6:12 -6 3
L L W L L
20 6 1 3 2 5:8 -3 2
D D D L W
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation