ITALY SERIE B
28.08.2026 18:30
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Referee: Antonio Rapuano, Italy
Cremonese
Match Timeline
Modena
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Simone Pontisso
Cremonese
🟨
24'
Giacomo Olzer
Modena
🟨
30'
Fabio Gerli
Cremonese
31'
G. Olzer · Assist: G. Brugman
Modena
45'
G. Olzer · Assist: G. Ambrosino
Modena
🔄
46'
G. Pezzella ↔ D. Lordkipanidze
Cremonese
🔄
46'
F. Bonazzoli ↔ M. Nasti
Cremonese
55'
G. Caso · Assist: G. Ambrosino
Modena
🔄
59'
G. Olzer ↔ P. Azzi
Modena
🔄
59'
G. Caso ↔ A. Imputato
Modena
🔄
64'
A. Vogliacco ↔ F. Folino
Cremonese
🔄
64'
F. Gerli ↔ S. Lottici Tessadri
Cremonese
🔄
71'
S. Pontisso ↔ T. Berti
Cremonese
🔄
78'
G. Brugman ↔ W. Acquah
Modena
🔄
87'
F. Zampano ↔ K. Bozhanaj
Modena
🔄
87'
G. Ambrosino ↔ D. Montevago
Modena

Cremonese vs Modena Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.9%
Odds 1.79
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.9%
1.79
BTTS Yes
58.2%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.40
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
87.5%
1.26
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Cremonese Win 60.9%
Draw 14.6%
Modena Win 24.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cremonese1.17
Modena1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cremonese Cremonese
WWDLW
7 GF / 2 GA
Modena Modena
WLDWL
10 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.67
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
3
2.5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cremonese Cremonese 5 matches
Modena Modena 6 matches
Cremonese Statistic Modena
2 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
7 Goals For 10
2 Goals Against 5
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
1 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
2.5 Shots On Goal 4
11 Total Shots 12
3.5 Corners 3.5
63% Ball Possession 43.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Cremonese won 3 times, Modena won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:6 from Cremonese's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.4%)
Predicted formations: Cremonese 3-5-2 / Modena 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cremonese wins 3, draws 2, Modena wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 8:3 5 10
W D W W
2 4 3 1 0 8:4 4 10
D W W W
3 4 2 2 0 5:2 3 8
D W D W
4 4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
D W W L
5 4 2 1 1 4:4 0 7
W L D W
6 4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
D L W W
7 4 2 1 1 4:3 1 7
L W D W
8 4 1 3 0 6:5 1 6
D D W D
9 4 2 0 2 6:6 0 6
L W W L
10 4 2 0 2 3:4 -1 6
L W L W
11 4 2 0 2 5:9 -4 6
W L L W
12 4 1 2 1 6:8 -2 5
D D L W
13 4 1 1 2 5:5 0 4
W L D L
14 4 1 1 2 7:6 1 4
W D L L
15 4 1 1 2 5:7 -2 4
D W L L
16 4 1 1 2 8:6 2 4
L W D L
17 4 1 0 3 4:7 -3 3
W L L L
18 4 1 1 2 3:6 -3 2
D L W L
19 4 0 1 3 2:5 -3 1
L L D L
20 4 0 1 3 3:8 -5 1
L L L D
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation