ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Referee: D. Chiffi
Cremonese
Match Timeline
Lazio
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
21'
F. Baschirotto ↔ M. Bianchetti
Cremonese
29'
F. Bonazzoli · Assist: R. Floriani
Cremonese
🟨
40'
Oliver Provstgaard
Lazio
🔄
46'
Patric ↔ N. Rovella
Lazio
🔄
46'
D. Maldini ↔ T. Noslin
Lazio
53'
G. Isaksen · Assist: T. Noslin
Lazio
🔄
60'
M. Zaccagni ↔ Pedro
Lazio
🔄
61'
A. Zerbin ↔ M. Payero
Cremonese
🔄
61'
A. Sanabria ↔ J. Vardy
Cremonese
🔄
61'
A. Grassi ↔ W. Bondo
Cremonese
🔄
68'
R. Floriani ↔ T. Barbieri
Cremonese
🔄
71'
K. Taylor ↔ F. Dele-Bashiru
Lazio
🟨
76'
Tommaso Barbieri
Cremonese
🔄
81'
G. Isaksen ↔ B. Dia
Lazio
🟨
88'
Nuno Tavares
Lazio
90'
T. Noslin · Assist: B. Dia
Lazio

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 87.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 39.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
87.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
39.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.5%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cremonese Win 5.6%
Draw 7.1%
Lazio Win 87.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cremonese0.83
Lazio1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cremonese Cremonese
WWDLW
26 GF / 51 GA
Lazio Lazio
WLDWL
42 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
0.74
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
14
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
10
3.11
Shots on Goal
3.84

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cremonese Cremonese 35 matches
Lazio Lazio 38 matches
Cremonese Statistic Lazio
6 Wins 13
11 Draws 15
18 Losses 10
26 Goals For 42
51 Goals Against 37
0.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
14 BTTS Yes 12
23 Over 1.5 24
14 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 16
18 Failed To Score 15
3.11 Shots On Goal 3.84
9.03 Total Shots 10.76
3.43 Corners 3.71
46.6% Ball Possession 49.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lazio's more proactive style and Cremonese's more cautious structure. Lazio seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lazio. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cremonese have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Lazio carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 48 points while Cremonese sit 18 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cremonese expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Lazio in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lazio having the stronger overall control.

Cremonese Analysis

Cremonese sit 18 with 28 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 10 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 26:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Bonazzoli (7 goals), Jamie Vardy (5 goals), Filippo Terracciano (4 goals), with creative support from J. Vandeputte (4 assists), F. Bonazzoli (2 assists), Jamie Vardy (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with F. Moumbagna unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Lazio Analysis

Lazio sit 10 with 48 points after 34 league matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 37:33 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Isaksen (4 goals), M. Cancellieri (4 goals), Pedro (4 goals), with creative support from Danilo Cataldi (3 assists), T. Basic (3 assists), Valentín Castellanos (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. Although they are without S. Gigot, I. Provedel, D. Cataldi, M. Cancellieri, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Cremonese won 0 times, Lazio won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:13 from Cremonese's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Cremonese 4-4-2 / Lazio 4-3-3
Missing players: Cremonese 1, Lazio 5
H2H summary: Cremonese wins 0, draws 1, Lazio wins 4
Stats
Cremonese Cremonese
Lazio Lazio
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 3
16 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 4
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 1
5 Shots insidebox 6
8 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
444 Total passes 630
375 Passes accurate 568
0.55 expected_goals 0.80
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cremonese
Formation
Lazio
E. Audero
E. Audero
F. Terracciano
F. Terracciano
F. Baschirotto
F. Baschirotto
S. Luperto
S. Luperto
R. Floriani
🎯
R. Floriani
A. Grassi
A. Grassi
Y. Maleh
Y. Maleh
G. Pezzella
G. Pezzella
F. Bonazzoli
F. Bonazzoli
A. Sanabria
A. Sanabria
A. Zerbin
A. Zerbin
E. Motta
E. Motta
A. Marusic
A. Marusic
A. Romagnoli
A. Romagnoli
O. Provstgaard
O. Provstgaard
N. Tavares
N. Tavares
T. Basic
T. Basic
Patric
Patric
K. Taylor
K. Taylor
G. Isaksen
G. Isaksen
D. Maldini
D. Maldini
M. Zaccagni
M. Zaccagni
Cremonese 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
E. Audero
G
24
F. Terracciano
D
6
F. Baschirotto
↓ 21'
D
5
S. Luperto
D
22
R. Floriani
🎯 29' ↓ 68'
M
33
A. Grassi
↓ 61'
M
29
Y. Maleh
M
3
G. Pezzella
M
90
F. Bonazzoli
⚽ 29'
F
99
A. Sanabria
↓ 61'
F
7
A. Zerbin
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
16
M. Silvestri
G
69
L. Nava
G
9
M. Djuric
F
2
M. Thorsby
M
77
D. Okereke
F
18
M. Collocolo
M
32
M. Payero
↑ 61'
M
55
F. Folino
D
10
J. Vardy
↑ 61'
F
23
F. Ceccherini
D
15
M. Bianchetti
↑ 21'
D
4
T. Barbieri
↑ 68' 🟨 76'
D
38
W. Bondo
↑ 61'
M
30
M. Faye
D
Lazio 4-3-3
Starting XI
40
E. Motta
G
77
A. Marusic
D
13
A. Romagnoli
D
25
O. Provstgaard
🟨 40'
D
17
N. Tavares
🟨 88'
D
26
T. Basic
M
4
Patric
↓ 46'
M
24
K. Taylor
↓ 71'
M
18
G. Isaksen
⚽ 53' ↓ 81'
F
27
D. Maldini
↓ 46'
F
10
M. Zaccagni
↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
99
G. Giacomone
G
72
N. Pannozzo
G
9
Pedro
↑ 60'
F
29
M. Lazzari
M
3
L. Pellegrini
D
6
N. Rovella
↑ 46'
M
14
T. Noslin
⚽ 90' 🎯 53' ↑ 46'
F
7
F. Dele-Bashiru
↑ 71'
M
19
B. Dia
🎯 90' ↑ 81'
F
20
P. Ratkov
F
21
R. Belahyane
M
28
A. Przyborek
M
Last matches: Cremonese
24.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Como
1
4
L
17.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Udinese
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Pisa
3
0
W
24.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Napoli
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Torino
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Cagliari
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Bologna
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Parma
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Fiorentina
1
4
L
08.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Lecce
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
AC Milan
0
2
L
22.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
AS Roma
0
3
L
15.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Genoa
0
0
D
09.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Atalanta
1
2
L
01.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Inter
0
2
L
25.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Sassuolo
0
1
L
19.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
12.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Juventus
0
5
L
08.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Cagliari
2
2
D
04.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Fiorentina
0
1
L
Last matches: Lazio
23.05.26
Ser
Lazio
Pisa
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Lazio
AS Roma
0
2
L
13.05.26
Cop
Lazio
Inter
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Lazio
Inter
0
3
L
27.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Udinese
3
3
D
22.04.26
Cop
Lazio
Atalanta
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Napoli
2
0
W
13.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Fiorentina
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Parma
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Bologna
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Lazio
AC Milan
1
0
W
09.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Sassuolo
2
1
W
04.03.26
Cop
Lazio
Atalanta
2
2
D
01.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Torino
0
2
L
21.02.26
Ser
Lazio
Cagliari
0
0
D
14.02.26
Ser
Lazio
Atalanta
0
2
L
11.02.26
Cop
Lazio
Bologna
1
1
D
08.02.26
Ser
Lazio
Juventus
2
2
D
30.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Genoa
3
2
W
24.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Lecce
0
0
D
H2H: Cremonese vs Lazio
04.05.26
H2H
Cremonese
Lazio
1
2
L
20.12.25
H2H
Lazio
Cremonese
0
0
D
28.05.23
H2H
Lazio
Cremonese
3
2
L
18.09.22
H2H
Cremonese
Lazio
0
4
L
14.01.20
H2H
Lazio
Cremonese
4
0
L
Last matches: Cremonese
24.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Como
1
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Pisa
3
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Torino
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Bologna
1
2
L
16.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Fiorentina
1
4
L
01.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
AC Milan
0
2
L
15.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Genoa
0
0
D
01.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Inter
0
2
L
19.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
08.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Cagliari
2
2
D
28.12.25
Ser
Cremonese
Napoli
0
2
L
07.12.25
Ser
Cremonese
Lecce
2
0
W
23.11.25
Ser
Cremonese
AS Roma
1
3
L
01.11.25
Ser
Cremonese
Juventus
1
2
L
25.10.25
Ser
Cremonese
Atalanta
1
1
D
20.10.25
Ser
Cremonese
Udinese
1
1
D
21.09.25
Ser
Cremonese
Parma
0
0
D
29.08.25
Ser
Cremonese
Sassuolo
3
2
W
16.08.25
Cop
Cremonese
Palermo
0
0
D
H2H at home: Cremonese
04.05.26
H2H
Cremonese
Lazio
1
2
L
18.09.22
H2H
Cremonese
Lazio
0
4
L
Last matches: Lazio
17.05.26
Ser
Lazio
AS Roma
0
2
L
22.04.26
Cop
Lazio
Atalanta
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Napoli
2
0
W
13.04.26
Ser
Lazio
Fiorentina
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Bologna
2
0
W
01.03.26
Ser
Lazio
Torino
0
2
L
21.02.26
Ser
Lazio
Cagliari
0
0
D
11.02.26
Cop
Lazio
Bologna
1
1
D
08.02.26
Ser
Lazio
Juventus
2
2
D
24.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Lecce
0
0
D
11.01.26
Ser
Lazio
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
27.12.25
Ser
Lazio
Udinese
1
1
D
13.12.25
Ser
Lazio
Parma
1
0
W
29.11.25
Ser
Lazio
AC Milan
0
1
L
09.11.25
Ser
Lazio
Inter
0
2
L
30.10.25
Ser
Lazio
Pisa
0
0
D
19.10.25
Ser
Lazio
Atalanta
0
0
D
29.09.25
Ser
Lazio
Genoa
3
0
W
14.09.25
Ser
Lazio
Sassuolo
0
1
L
24.08.25
Ser
Lazio
Como
0
2
L
H2H away: Lazio
04.05.26
H2H
Cremonese
Lazio
1
2
W
18.09.22
H2H
Cremonese
Lazio
0
4
W

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9
Lazio Away
38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Cremonese 1 missing
-
F. Moumbagna
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
Lazio 5 missing
-
S. Gigot
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
I. Provedel
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
D. Cataldi
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
M. Gila
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
M. Cancellieri
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT