Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
CRB
Vila Nova
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
CRB
19 matches
Vila Nova
19 matches
| CRB | Statistic | Vila Nova |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 10 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 5 |
| 29 | Goals For | 27 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.47 | Shots On Goal | 3.58 |
| 16.26 | Total Shots | 12.63 |
| 4.84 | Corners | 4.37 |
| 51.3% | Ball Possession | 52.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Vila Nova's more proactive style and CRB's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Vila Nova carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 31 points while CRB sit 13 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CRB expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Vila Nova in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vila Nova having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vila Nova. Vila Nova arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
CRB sit 13 with 23 points after 18 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 28:32 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mikael (10 goals), Pedro Castro (3 goals), Dadá Belmonte (2 goals), with creative support from Mikael (3 assists), Dadá Belmonte (3 assists), Crystopher (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Vila Nova sit 4 with 31 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 25:21, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Ryan Lima (3 goals), Rafael Silva (3 goals), Janderson (2 goals), with creative support from Janderson (4 assists), Marquinhos Gabriel (4 assists), Ryan Lima (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CRB won 6 times, Vila Nova won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from CRB's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
CRB
10
4
9
7
3
1
Lineups
CRB
Juventude
CRB
Athletic Club
CRB
Novorizontino
CRB
Avai
CRB
Ceara
CRB
Nautico Recife
CRB
Goias
CRB
Londrina
CRB
Botafogo SP
CRB
Fortaleza EC
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
CRB
São Bernardo
CRB
Cuiaba
CRB
Ponte Preta
CRB
Sport Recife
CRB
Operario-PR
CRB
America Mineiro
CRB
Criciuma
CRB
Juventude
CRB
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
Criciuma
Vila Nova
Juventude
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Londrina
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Avai
Vila Nova
Goias
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Ceara
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
CRB
Novorizontino
CRB
Nautico Recife
CRB
Goias
CRB
Fortaleza EC
CRB
São Bernardo
CRB
Ponte Preta
CRB
Operario-PR
CRB
Juventude
CRB
Athletic Club
CRB
Avai
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
Criciuma
Vila Nova
Juventude
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
Londrina
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Goias
Vila Nova
Ceara
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 |
Vila Nova
Away
|
24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
CRB
Home
|
24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|