BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Rei Pelé
Referee: J. Ferreira
CRB
Match Timeline
São Bernardo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Douglas Baggio
CRB
26'
Felipe Garcia · Assist: Hyoran
São Bernardo
29'
Dada Belmonte · Assist: Mikael
CRB
🟨
36'
Alex Alves
São Bernardo
🟨
43'
Augusto
São Bernardo
🟨
44'
Wallace
CRB
🔄
46'
Wallace ↔ De Lucca
CRB
🔄
46'
Hyoran ↔ Romisson
São Bernardo
48'
Mario Sergio · Assist: Dudu Miraima
São Bernardo
55'
Mikael · Assist: Crystopher Ribeiro
CRB
🟨
57'
Jemerson
São Bernardo
🔄
61'
Pedro Vitor ↔ Lucas Rian
São Bernardo
🟨
62'
Echaporã
São Bernardo
🔄
62'
Echapora ↔ D. Davi
São Bernardo
🟨
65'
Felipe Garcia
São Bernardo
🔄
67'
Felipe Garcia ↔ Daniel Amorim
São Bernardo
🟨
71'
Fábio Alemão
CRB
74'
Rodrigo Ferreira · Assist: Dudu Miraima
São Bernardo
🔄
77'
Lucas Lovat ↔ Leo Campos
CRB
🔄
78'
Crystopher Ribeiro ↔ Luiz Phellype
CRB
🔄
78'
Dudu Miraima ↔ Marcao Silva
São Bernardo
🔄
84'
Hereda ↔ Pedro Castro
CRB
🔄
84'
Danielzinho ↔ Guilherme Pato
CRB

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.2%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
CRB Win 28.1%
Draw 6.7%
São Bernardo Win 65.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
CRB1.22
São Bernardo1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
CRB CRB
WWDLW
17 GF / 17 GA
São Bernardo São Bernardo
WLDWL
17 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
7
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
5
5.45
Shots on Goal
3.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CRB CRB 11 matches
São Bernardo São Bernardo 11 matches
CRB Statistic São Bernardo
4 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
5 Losses 2
17 Goals For 17
17 Goals Against 8
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
7 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 1
5.45 Shots On Goal 3.91
15.45 Total Shots 10.27
4.18 Corners 3.82
54.5% Ball Possession 43.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around São Bernardo's more proactive style and CRB's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. São Bernardo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 21 points while CRB sit 12 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. CRB come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors São Bernardo. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CRB expected to line up in 4-3-3 and São Bernardo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward São Bernardo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

CRB Analysis

So far, CRB have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 14 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 17:17 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on Mikael (6 goals), Pedro Castro (3 goals), Dadá Belmonte (2 goals), with creative support from Hereda (3 assists), De Lucca (2 assists), Mikael (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

São Bernardo Analysis

São Bernardo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 21 points after 11 matches. With 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Daniel Amorim (2 goals), Dudu Miraíma (2 goals), Foguinho (2 goals), with creative support from Pedro Vitor (2 assists), Echapora (2 assists), Fabricio Daniel (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, CRB won 0 times, São Bernardo won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from CRB's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
Predicted formations: CRB 4-3-3 / São Bernardo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CRB wins 0, draws 0, São Bernardo wins 1
Stats
CRB CRB
São Bernardo São Bernardo
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
15
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
11
Blocked Shots
2
8 Corner Kicks 0
11 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 0
59% Ball Possession 41%
32 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 5
15 Shots off Goal 3
11 Blocked Shots 2
17 Shots insidebox 5
15 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
410 Total passes 304
333 Passes accurate 232
1.93 expected_goals 1.69
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

CRB
Formation
São Bernardo
Vitor Caetano
Vitor Caetano
Hereda
Hereda
Henri
Henri
Fabio Alemao
Fabio Alemao
Lucas Lovat
Lucas Lovat
Wallace
Wallace
Thiaguinho
Thiaguinho
Danielzinho
Danielzinho
Crystopher Ribeiro
🎯
Crystopher Ribeiro
Dada Belmonte
Dada Belmonte
Mikael
🎯
Mikael
Alex Alves
Alex Alves
Rodrigo Ferreira
Rodrigo Ferreira
Jemerson
Jemerson
Augusto
Augusto
Mario Sergio
Mario Sergio
Dudu Miraima
🎯
Dudu Miraima
Foguinho
Foguinho
Pedro Vitor
Pedro Vitor
Hyoran
🎯
Hyoran
Echapora
Echapora
Felipe Garcia
Felipe Garcia
CRB 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Vitor Caetano
G
32
Hereda
↓ 84'
D
44
Henri
D
27
Fabio Alemao
🟨 71'
D
36
Lucas Lovat
↓ 77'
D
82
Wallace
↓ 46' 🟨 44'
M
17
Thiaguinho
M
10
Danielzinho
↓ 84'
M
8
Crystopher Ribeiro
🎯 55' ↓ 78'
M
97
Dada Belmonte
⚽ 29'
M
28
Mikael
⚽ 55' 🎯 29'
F
Substitutes
23
Fabio Henrique
G
21
Pedro Castro
↑ 84'
M
77
Leo Campos
↑ 77'
D
50
Luizao
M
45
De Lucca
↑ 46'
M
33
Lyncon
D
22
Bressan
D
19
Luiz Phellype
↑ 78'
F
7
Douglas Baggio
🟨 -5'
F
6
Reverson
D
11
Guilherme Pato
↑ 84'
F
16
David Braw
M
São Bernardo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Alex Alves
🟨 36'
G
2
Rodrigo Ferreira
⚽ 74'
D
35
Jemerson
🟨 57'
D
97
Augusto
🟨 43'
D
33
Mario Sergio
⚽ 48'
D
26
Dudu Miraima
🎯 48' 🎯 74' ↓ 78'
M
8
Foguinho
M
11
Pedro Vitor
↓ 61'
M
42
Hyoran
🎯 26' ↓ 46'
M
27
Echapora
↓ 62' 🟨 62'
M
9
Felipe Garcia
⚽ 26' ↓ 67' 🟨 65'
F
Substitutes
40
Matheus Nogueira
G
30
Junior Urso
M
22
Pablo Dyego
F
77
Marcao Silva
↑ 78'
M
90
Luizao
25
W. Gonzaga
7
Lucas Rian
↑ 61'
F
16
Jota
D
37
D. Davi
↑ 62'
F
89
Daniel Amorim
↑ 67'
F
17
Romisson
↑ 46'
M
21
Hugo Sanches
D
Last matches: CRB
27.07.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
CRB
Ceara
1
0
W
16.07.26
Ser
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
CRB
Goias
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
CRB
Londrina
0
5
L
30.06.26
Ser
CRB
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ser
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
3
3
D
31.05.26
Ser
CRB
Cuiaba
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
CRB
Sport Recife
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRB
Operario-PR
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
CRB
America Mineiro
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
CRB
Criciuma
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
2
D
Last matches: São Bernardo
07.08.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
3
1
W
26.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ceara
3
4
L
23.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
1
2
L
17.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Avai
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
2
2
D
06.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
1
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Criciuma
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Juventude
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
1
1
D
12.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Londrina
3
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Goias
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
3
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ceara
1
1
D
H2H: CRB vs São Bernardo
07.06.26
H2H
CRB
São Bernardo
2
3
L
Last matches: CRB
27.07.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
0
W
16.07.26
Ser
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
CRB
Goias
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRB
Operario-PR
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
3
L
02.04.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
0
1
L
H2H at home: CRB
07.06.26
H2H
CRB
São Bernardo
2
3
L
Last matches: São Bernardo
07.08.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
3
1
W
23.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
1
2
L
06.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
1
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Criciuma
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
12.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Londrina
3
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
3
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ceara
1
1
D
H2H away: São Bernardo
07.06.26
H2H
CRB
São Bernardo
2
3
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 11 7 3 23:14 9 40
L D W W W
2 21 11 5 5 23:12 11 38
W W L W W
3 21 10 5 6 24:20 4 35
D W L W L
4 21 10 5 6 29:28 1 35
L L W D W
5 21 10 4 7 27:25 2 34
L L W L L
6 21 9 6 6 32:20 12 33
L W L L L
7 21 9 5 7 22:26 -4 32
W L D W D
8 21 8 8 5 24:21 3 32
D W W D W
9 21 7 11 3 26:19 7 32
W D D D D
10 21 7 10 4 21:18 3 31
W D W D D
11 21 8 6 7 31:24 7 30
W L L D D
12
CRB Home
20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
13 21 7 6 8 26:22 4 27
W L W D D
14 21 7 5 9 25:25 0 26
D D W L L
15 21 5 11 5 16:16 0 26
D D L L D
16 21 6 7 8 22:25 -3 25
W W L D D
17 21 5 5 11 27:32 -5 20
L L L D D
18 20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 21 2 5 14 15:33 -18 11
L W L D D
20 21 2 3 16 15:41 -26 9
L D L L L
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