BRAZIL SERIE B
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Referee: A. Filho

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.7%
Odds 1.30
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.09
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.7%
1.30
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.09
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.11
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
CRB Win 39%
Draw 15.3%
Goias Win 45.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
CRB1.42
Goias1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
CRB CRB
WWDLW
24 GF / 29 GA
Goias Goias
WLDWL
16 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1
1.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
10
BTTS Yes
5
10
Over 2.5
5
5.63
Shots on Goal
3.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CRB CRB 16 matches
Goias Goias 16 matches
CRB Statistic Goias
5 Wins 7
4 Draws 3
7 Losses 6
24 Goals For 16
29 Goals Against 21
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
10 BTTS Yes 5
13 Over 1.5 11
10 Over 2.5 5
7 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 5
5.63 Shots On Goal 3.44
16 Total Shots 10.75
5.06 Corners 4.19
52.3% Ball Possession 48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Goias. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CRB expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Goias in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Goias having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

CRB Analysis

CRB approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 19 points from 16 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 24:29, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Mikael (8 goals), Pedro Castro (3 goals), Dadá Belmonte (2 goals), with creative support from Mikael (2 assists), Dadá Belmonte (2 assists), Hereda (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Goias Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Goias have collected 24 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 16:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Gegê (2 goals), Esli García (1 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Juninho (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CRB won 5 times, Goias won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:19 from CRB's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.7%)
Predicted formations: CRB 4-1-4-1 / Goias 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: CRB wins 5, draws 2, Goias wins 8
Last matches: CRB
04.07.26
Ser
CRB
Londrina
0
5
L
30.06.26
Ser
CRB
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ser
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
3
3
D
07.06.26
Ser
CRB
São Bernardo
2
3
L
31.05.26
Ser
CRB
Cuiaba
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
CRB
Sport Recife
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRB
Operario-PR
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
CRB
America Mineiro
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
CRB
Criciuma
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
2
D
Last matches: Goias
04.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Goias
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
07.04.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
3
1
W
H2H: CRB vs Goias
08.10.25
H2H
Goias
CRB
1
2
W
14.06.25
H2H
CRB
Goias
2
0
W
09.11.24
H2H
CRB
Goias
0
1
L
26.07.24
H2H
Goias
CRB
1
1
D
12.09.21
H2H
CRB
Goias
0
1
L
16.06.21
H2H
Goias
CRB
1
0
L
22.02.19
H2H
Goias
CRB
1
1
D
19.10.18
H2H
CRB
Goias
2
0
W
27.06.18
H2H
Goias
CRB
2
1
L
14.11.17
H2H
CRB
Goias
2
1
W
29.07.17
H2H
Goias
CRB
3
0
L
25.10.16
H2H
Goias
CRB
3
0
L
03.07.16
H2H
CRB
Goias
2
1
W
08.09.12
H2H
CRB
Goias
0
2
L
02.06.12
H2H
Goias
CRB
1
0
L
Last matches: CRB
21.06.26
Ser
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
CRB
São Bernardo
2
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRB
Operario-PR
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
3
L
02.04.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
0
1
L
H2H at home: CRB
14.06.25
H2H
CRB
Goias
2
0
W
09.11.24
H2H
CRB
Goias
0
1
L
12.09.21
H2H
CRB
Goias
0
1
L
19.10.18
H2H
CRB
Goias
2
0
W
14.11.17
H2H
CRB
Goias
2
1
W
03.07.16
H2H
CRB
Goias
2
1
W
08.09.12
H2H
CRB
Goias
0
2
L
Last matches: Goias
28.06.26
Ser
Goias
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
2
2
D
H2H away: Goias
14.06.25
H2H
CRB
Goias
2
0
L
09.11.24
H2H
CRB
Goias
0
1
W
12.09.21
H2H
CRB
Goias
0
1
W
19.10.18
H2H
CRB
Goias
2
0
L
14.11.17
H2H
CRB
Goias
2
1
L
03.07.16
H2H
CRB
Goias
2
1
L
08.09.12
H2H
CRB
Goias
0
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.24
Draw 3.46
Home 1.94
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.87
Draw 2.23
Home 2.55
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.35
Over 1.75 1.44
Over 2.0 1.57
Over 2.25 1.83
Over 2.5 2.09
Over 2.75 2.40
Over 3.0 2.89
Over 3.5 3.69
Over 4.5 7.44
Under 1.5 3.27
Under 1.75 2.90
Under 2.0 2.50
Under 2.25 2.04
Under 2.5 1.79
Under 2.75 1.60
Under 3.0 1.43
Under 3.5 1.29
Under 4.5 1.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 3.40
Home 1.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.20
Home 2.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.50
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.05
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 3.40
Home 1.89
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.76
Draw 2.05
Home 2.49
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.17
Draw 2.40
Home 2.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.16
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 1.75 1.37
Over 2.0 1.49
Over 2.25 1.78
Over 2.5 2.02
Over 2.75 2.32
Over 3.0 2.77
Over 3.25 3.08
Over 3.5 3.42
Over 3.75 4.29
Over 4.0 5.95
Over 4.25 6.30
Over 4.5 6.70
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 8.40
Under 0.75 7.75
Under 1.0 7.10
Under 1.25 4.10
Under 1.5 3.05
Under 1.75 2.74
Under 2.0 2.36
Under 2.25 1.98
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 2.75 1.57
Under 3.0 1.36
Under 3.25 1.28
Under 3.5 1.23
Under 3.75 1.15
Under 4.0 1.07
Under 4.25 1.06
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.85
Draw 3.40
Home 1.92
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 2.20
Home 2.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 2.55
Home 2.32
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.0 1.49
Over 2.25 1.74
Over 2.5 1.98
Over 2.75 2.25
Over 3.0 2.80
Over 3.25 3.15
Over 3.5 3.45
Over 4.5 7.00
Under 0.5 9.50
Under 1.5 3.35
Under 2.0 2.55
Under 2.25 2.05
Under 2.5 1.79
Under 2.75 1.60
Under 3.0 1.41
Under 3.25 1.34
Under 3.5 1.27
Under 4.5 1.07

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 9 6 2 20:12 8 33
W W W W D
2 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W L W L
3 16 8 6 2 27:14 13 30
W W W D W
4 17 8 5 4 17:8 9 29
W D W W W
5 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W D L W
6 16 8 4 4 20:17 3 28
W W W L W
7 17 6 8 3 21:15 6 26
D L L D D
8 16 7 4 5 21:14 7 25
L L L D W
9
Goias Away
16 7 3 6 16:21 -5 24
W W L D L
10 16 5 8 3 12:9 3 23
W D L W W
11 16 5 7 4 16:16 0 22
L W L D D
12 16 6 3 7 21:19 2 21
D L L D L
13 16 5 6 5 18:19 -1 21
L W D D W
14 17 5 5 7 20:18 2 20
D W L W W
15
CRB Home
16 5 4 7 24:29 -5 19
L W D D L
16 16 5 3 8 24:24 0 18
W D W W L
17 16 4 5 7 15:20 -5 17
L L L D W
18 16 3 4 9 16:24 -8 13
L L W L L
19 17 2 2 13 11:33 -22 8
L L L L L
20 16 1 3 12 10:27 -17 6
L L L W L
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