BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Rei Pelé
Referee: B. Arleu
CRB
Match Timeline
Fortaleza EC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
Mikael · Assist: Dada Belmonte
CRB
🟨
40'
Kevin
CRB
🔄
46'
Kevin ↔ Wallace
CRB
🔄
46'
Ryan ↔ Rodrigo
Fortaleza EC
🔄
46'
G. Fuentes ↔ Paulo Baya
Fortaleza EC
🔄
74'
Lucas Sasha ↔ Pierre
Fortaleza EC
🔄
75'
Vitinho ↔ Welliton
Fortaleza EC
🟨
77'
Rodriguinho
Fortaleza EC
🔄
80'
Thiaguinho ↔ Douglas Baggio
CRB
🔄
80'
Dada Belmonte ↔ Reverson
CRB
81'
J. B. Miritello · Assist: Paulo Baya
Fortaleza EC
🔄
86'
Henri ↔ Guilherme Pato
CRB
🔄
87'
Mikael ↔ Luiz Phellype
CRB
🔄
90'
Luiz Fernando ↔ Lucas Crispim
Fortaleza EC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.2%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CRB Win 39%
Draw 16.8%
Fortaleza EC Win 44.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
CRB1.45
Fortaleza EC1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
CRB CRB
WWDLW
22 GF / 23 GA
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
WLDWL
15 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
9
BTTS Yes
4
9
Over 2.5
7
5.62
Shots on Goal
4.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CRB CRB 13 matches
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 13 matches
CRB Statistic Fortaleza EC
4 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
6 Losses 4
22 Goals For 15
23 Goals Against 14
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
9 BTTS Yes 4
11 Over 1.5 7
9 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 6
5.62 Shots On Goal 4.08
16.46 Total Shots 13.23
4.38 Corners 4.69
53% Ball Possession 43.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Fortaleza EC's more proactive style and CRB's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Fortaleza EC. Fortaleza EC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 21 points while CRB sit 15 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CRB expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Fortaleza EC in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortaleza EC having the stronger overall control.

CRB Analysis

With 15 points from 13 games and a place of 15, CRB still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 22:23, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Mikael (9 goals), Dadá Belmonte (3 goals), Pedro Castro (3 goals), with creative support from Hereda (3 assists), Mikael (2 assists), Dadá Belmonte (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fortaleza EC Analysis

Fortaleza EC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 21 points from 12 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 15:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. B. Miritello (3 goals), Vitinho (3 goals), Luiz Fernando (2 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Ruan Carvalho (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CRB won 5 times, Fortaleza EC won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:15 from CRB's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
Predicted formations: CRB 4-3-3 / Fortaleza EC 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: CRB wins 5, draws 3, Fortaleza EC wins 7
Stats
CRB CRB
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
10
7 Corner Kicks 7
4 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 2
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 10
11 Shots insidebox 17
4 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 6
356 Total passes 514
300 Passes accurate 466
1.11 expected_goals 2.06
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

CRB
Formation
Fortaleza EC
Vitor Caetano
Vitor Caetano
Kevin
Kevin
Henri
Henri
Fabio Alemao
Fabio Alemao
Lucas Lovat
Lucas Lovat
Pedro Castro
Pedro Castro
De Lucca
De Lucca
Crystopher Ribeiro
Crystopher Ribeiro
Thiaguinho
Thiaguinho
Mikael
Mikael
Dada Belmonte
🎯
Dada Belmonte
Joao Ricardo
Joao Ricardo
Lucas Gazal
Lucas Gazal
Luan Freitas
Luan Freitas
G. Fuentes
G. Fuentes
Rodriguinho
Rodriguinho
Lucas Sasha
Lucas Sasha
Ryan
Ryan
Mauricio Junior
Mauricio Junior
Vitinho
Vitinho
Luiz Fernando
Luiz Fernando
J. B. Miritello
J. B. Miritello
CRB 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Vitor Caetano
G
2
Kevin
↓ 46' 🟨 40'
D
44
Henri
↓ 86'
D
27
Fabio Alemao
D
36
Lucas Lovat
D
21
Pedro Castro
M
45
De Lucca
M
8
Crystopher Ribeiro
M
17
Thiaguinho
↓ 80'
F
28
Mikael
⚽ 6' ↓ 87'
F
97
Dada Belmonte
🎯 6' ↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
23
Fabio Henrique
G
20
Vinicius Barata
F
77
Leo Campos
D
33
Lyncon
D
82
Wallace
↑ 46'
D
14
Joao Pin
D
22
Bressan
D
19
Luiz Phellype
↑ 87'
F
7
Douglas Baggio
↑ 80'
F
6
Reverson
↑ 80'
D
11
Guilherme Pato
↑ 86'
F
16
Caua Carvalho
M
Fortaleza EC 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Joao Ricardo
G
3
Lucas Gazal
D
4
Luan Freitas
D
18
G. Fuentes
↓ 46'
D
75
Rodriguinho
🟨 77'
M
88
Lucas Sasha
↓ 74'
M
37
Ryan
↓ 46'
M
13
Mauricio Junior
M
11
Vitinho
↓ 75'
F
32
Luiz Fernando
↓ 90'
F
9
J. B. Miritello
⚽ 81'
F
Substitutes
25
Vinicius Silvestre
G
10
Lucas Crispim
↑ 90'
M
7
T. Pochettino
M
22
Mailton
D
5
Pierre
↑ 74'
M
29
Rodrigo
↑ 46'
M
8
Ronald
M
38
Lucca Prior
M
20
Matheus Rossetto
M
31
Welliton
↑ 75'
F
77
Paulo Baya
🎯 81' ↑ 46'
F
33
Kaua Rocha
D
Last matches: CRB
27.07.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
CRB
Ceara
1
0
W
16.07.26
Ser
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
CRB
Goias
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
CRB
Londrina
0
5
L
30.06.26
Ser
CRB
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
12.06.26
Ser
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
3
3
D
07.06.26
Ser
CRB
São Bernardo
2
3
L
31.05.26
Ser
CRB
Cuiaba
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
CRB
Sport Recife
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRB
Operario-PR
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
CRB
America Mineiro
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
CRB
Criciuma
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
2
D
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
29.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
1
2
L
18.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
1
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
03.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
2
1
W
16.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
0
3
L
09.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Avai
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Goias
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
2
1
W
31.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
0
4
L
H2H: CRB vs Fortaleza EC
21.06.26
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
14.05.26
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
22.04.26
H2H
Fortaleza EC
CRB
2
1
L
27.03.25
H2H
Fortaleza EC
CRB
0
1
W
09.06.24
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
2
0
W
06.06.24
H2H
Fortaleza EC
CRB
2
0
L
11.02.24
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
19.03.22
H2H
Fortaleza EC
CRB
2
0
L
04.08.21
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
29.07.21
H2H
Fortaleza EC
CRB
2
1
L
03.03.21
H2H
Fortaleza EC
CRB
1
0
L
21.08.18
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
25.04.18
H2H
Fortaleza EC
CRB
3
1
L
07.09.14
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
3
0
W
24.05.14
H2H
Fortaleza EC
CRB
0
0
D
Last matches: CRB
27.07.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
0
W
16.07.26
Ser
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
CRB
Goias
2
2
D
07.06.26
Ser
CRB
São Bernardo
2
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRB
Operario-PR
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
3
L
02.04.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
0
1
L
H2H at home: CRB
21.06.26
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
14.05.26
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
09.06.24
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
2
0
W
11.02.24
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
04.08.21
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
21.08.18
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
07.09.14
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
3
0
W
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
22.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
09.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Avai
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
0
4
L
H2H away: Fortaleza EC
21.06.26
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
14.05.26
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
09.06.24
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
2
0
L
11.02.24
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
0
L
04.08.21
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
0
1
W
21.08.18
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
2
1
L
07.09.14
H2H
CRB
Fortaleza EC
3
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 11 7 2 23:12 11 40
D W W W W
2 20 10 5 5 22:12 10 35
W L W W D
3 21 10 5 6 29:28 1 35
L L W D W
4 20 10 4 6 23:19 4 34
W L W L W
5 21 10 4 7 27:25 2 34
L L W L L
6 20 9 6 5 32:19 13 33
W L L L W
7 21 7 11 3 26:19 7 32
W D D D D
8 20 8 7 5 23:20 3 31
W W D W L
9 21 8 6 7 31:24 7 30
W L L D D
10
CRB Home
20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
11 20 8 5 7 21:26 -5 29
L D W D W
12 20 6 10 4 19:18 1 28
D W D D L
13 21 7 6 8 26:22 4 27
W L W D D
14 20 7 4 9 24:24 0 25
D W L L D
15 21 6 7 8 22:25 -3 25
W W L D D
16 20 5 10 5 15:15 0 25
D L L D W
17 20 5 5 10 27:31 -4 20
L L D D W
18 20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 21 2 5 14 15:33 -18 11
L W L D D
20 21 2 3 16 15:41 -26 9
L D L L L
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