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14.11.2026 19:30
Estádio Rei Pelé

CRB vs Ceara Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
CRB Win 63.7%
Draw 20.9%
Ceara Win 15.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
CRB1.43
Ceara1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
CRB CRB
W L W L D
8 GF / 6 GA
Ceara Ceara
L L L D L
3 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
21
BTTS Yes
19
24
Over 2.5
14
6.68
Shots on Goal
4.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CRB CRB 37 matches
Ceara Ceara 37 matches
CRB Statistic Ceara
17 Wins 11
7 Draws 10
13 Losses 16
57 Goals For 38
51 Goals Against 47
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
21 BTTS Yes 19
29 Over 1.5 26
24 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 13
6.68 Shots On Goal 4.16
19.43 Total Shots 14.11
5.78 Corners 5.51
52.5% Ball Possession 51.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by CRB's more proactive style and Ceara's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. CRB arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 55 points compared to Ceara in 16 on 43, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ceara. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ceara arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CRB expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Ceara in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ceara having the stronger overall control.

CRB Analysis

So far, CRB have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 55 points from 36 matches. The record of 16 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 54:51 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Mikael (14 goals), Crystopher (7 goals), Thiaguinho (5 goals), with creative support from Crystopher (6 assists), Mikael (5 assists), Dadá Belmonte (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Ceara Analysis

Ceara approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 43 points from 36 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 38:46, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Lucas Lima (5 goals), Richard (4 goals), Melk (4 goals), with creative support from Lucas Lima (3 assists), Richard (3 assists), Melk (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CRB won 6 times, Ceara won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:16 from CRB's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (84.5%)
Predicted formations: CRB 4-1-4-1 / Ceara 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CRB wins 6, draws 4, Ceara wins 5

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 20 10 7 66:32 34 70
W W W D W
2 37 19 11 7 49:26 23 68
W D W D D
3 37 19 9 9 53:38 15 66
W D L D W
4 37 18 8 11 38:31 7 62
L W L W W
5 37 16 14 7 44:33 11 62
L D D W D
6
CRB Home
37 17 7 13 57:51 6 58
W L W L D
7 37 17 7 13 39:41 -2 58
W W W D W
8 37 15 13 9 45:35 10 58
W D L D D
9 37 14 13 10 50:42 8 55
L D W L D
10 37 15 9 13 49:50 -1 54
W L W L L
11 37 14 10 13 52:42 10 52
L W W L D
12 37 14 9 14 45:39 6 51
W D W W W
13 37 11 14 12 34:32 2 47
L L L L L
14 37 11 14 12 44:44 0 47
L W L D D
15 37 12 10 15 40:49 -9 46
L W L D L
16
Ceara Away
37 11 10 16 38:47 -9 43
L L L D L
17 37 11 7 19 35:47 -12 40
W L L D W
18 37 8 8 21 45:58 -13 32
L L L W D
19 37 8 5 24 27:55 -28 29
W W W W L
20 37 3 6 28 21:79 -58 15
L L D D L
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