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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
20.10.2026 18:45
Broadfield Stadium

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.5%
Odds 2.43
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.84
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.5%
2.43 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.84 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.21 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Crawley Town Win 14.6%
Draw 19.9%
Shrewsbury Win 65.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Crawley Town1.02
Shrewsbury1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Crawley Town Crawley Town
WWDLW
11 GF / 21 GA
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury
WLDWL
17 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
7
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
3.67
Shots on Goal
3.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Crawley Town Crawley Town 12 matches
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 17 matches
Crawley Town Statistic Shrewsbury
2 Wins 6
2 Draws 5
8 Losses 6
11 Goals For 17
21 Goals Against 20
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
7 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 6
3.67 Shots On Goal 3.64
13 Total Shots 12.91
4 Corners 5.55
54.3% Ball Possession 42.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Crawley Town have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Shrewsbury. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Crawley Town expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Shrewsbury in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shrewsbury having the stronger overall control.

Crawley Town Analysis

Crawley Town approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 24 with 5 points from 8 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 8:15, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through P. Aderoju (2 goals), G. Di Biase (2 goals), D. Orsi (1 goals), with creative support from D. Orsi (1 assists), K. Gordon (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shrewsbury Analysis

Shrewsbury sit 18 with 11 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 9:15, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through G. Lloyd (2 goals), K. M. Brown (2 goals), W. Boyle (1 goals), with creative support from W. Boyle (2 assists), T. Sang (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Crawley Town won 2 times, Shrewsbury won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:17 from Crawley Town's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.9 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (85.4%)
Predicted formations: Crawley Town 4-4-2 / Shrewsbury 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Crawley Town wins 2, draws 4, Shrewsbury wins 4

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 1 3 17:11 6 22
W W W W W
2 9 6 3 0 22:12 10 21
W W W W D
3 11 5 6 0 15:9 6 21
W W W D D
4 10 4 4 2 18:12 6 16
D D W L W
5 10 3 7 0 13:7 6 16
D D D W D
6 11 4 4 3 16:13 3 16
L W D L W
7 11 4 3 4 17:15 2 15
L D W L W
8 11 4 3 4 17:20 -3 15
L L L W D
9 11 5 0 6 15:18 -3 15
L L L W L
10 11 3 5 3 16:15 1 14
W D W D D
11 11 3 5 3 14:13 1 14
D W D W D
12 11 3 5 3 12:11 1 14
W D L L L
13 11 4 2 5 13:15 -2 14
L D W W W
14 11 4 2 5 10:15 -5 14
W L W D D
15 11 3 4 4 13:13 0 13
L L L L W
16 11 3 4 4 6:6 0 13
D W W L D
17 11 2 6 3 14:15 -1 12
L D L D D
18 11 3 3 5 10:15 -5 12
D L L D L
19 10 3 2 5 13:14 -1 11
W D L L L
20 10 2 5 3 10:13 -3 11
D L D D D
21 9 3 2 4 5:9 -4 11
W W L W L
22 9 2 4 3 6:7 -1 10
W D L L W
23 11 2 4 5 12:18 -6 10
L L L D W
24 9 1 2 6 9:17 -8 5
L D L L L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League