ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
--.--.---- --:--
The Broadfield Stadium
Referee: L. Swabey
Crawley Town
Match Timeline
Salford City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Charlie Barker
Crawley Town
🔄
32'
L. Copley ↔ T. Richards
Crawley Town
🔄
63'
R. Longelo-Mbule ↔ F. Borini
Salford City
🔄
63'
P. Ehibhatiomhan ↔ K. N'Mai
Salford City
🔄
68'
T. Adeyemo ↔ R. Loft
Crawley Town
🔄
77'
J. Austerfield ↔ K. Cesay
Salford City
🔄
77'
B. Cooper ↔ A. Dorrington
Salford City
🔄
81'
D. Pereira ↔ M. Anderson
Crawley Town
🔄
82'
A. Adeyemo ↔ A. Odimayo
Crawley Town
🔄
83'
O. Turton ↔ C. Stockton
Salford City
🟨
88'
Jacob Chapman
Crawley Town

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 33.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
33.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.9%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Crawley Town Win 21.5%
Draw 16.9%
Salford City Win 61.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Crawley Town1.03
Salford City1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Crawley Town Crawley Town
WWDLW
44 GF / 71 GA
Salford City Salford City
WLDWL
69 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
21
BTTS Yes
24
21
Over 2.5
22
4.16
Shots on Goal
4.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Crawley Town Crawley Town 46 matches
Salford City Salford City 49 matches
Crawley Town Statistic Salford City
8 Wins 27
15 Draws 6
23 Losses 16
44 Goals For 69
71 Goals Against 56
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
21 BTTS Yes 24
35 Over 1.5 33
21 Over 2.5 22
12 Over 3.5 14
11 Clean Sheets 15
18 Failed To Score 13
4.16 Shots On Goal 4.54
13.29 Total Shots 13.48
5.53 Corners 5.46
57% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Salford City's more proactive style and Crawley Town's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Salford City. Salford City carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 80 points while Crawley Town sit 22 on 39, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Crawley Town expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Salford City in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Salford City having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Crawley Town Analysis

Crawley Town sit 22 with 39 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 15 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 44:68 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Tshimanga (16 goals), Harry McKirdy (8 goals), H. Forster (4 goals), with creative support from H. Forster (5 assists), D. Pereira (5 assists), Harry McKirdy (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Salford City Analysis

Salford City approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 80 points after 45 outings. The return of 25 wins, 5 draws, and 15 defeats, together with goals at 61:51, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through D. Udoh (9 goals), A. Oluwo (6 goals), K. N'Mai (5 goals), with creative support from D. Udoh (7 assists), L. Garbutt (5 assists), K. N'Mai (4 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 11 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Crawley Town won 4 times, Salford City won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Crawley Town's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.1%)
Predicted formations: Crawley Town 4-4-2 / Salford City 5-3-2
H2H summary: Crawley Town wins 4, draws 5, Salford City wins 3
Stats
Crawley Town Crawley Town
Salford City Salford City
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
4
3 Corner Kicks 11
10 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 3
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 9
3 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 13
5 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
243 Total passes 306
117 Passes accurate 195
1.23 expected_goals 2.35
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Crawley Town
Formation
Salford City
J. Chapman
J. Chapman
A. Adeyemo
A. Adeyemo
C. Barker
C. Barker
S. Malone
S. Malone
J. Russell
J. Russell
D. Pereira
D. Pereira
J. Williams
J. Williams
L. Copley
L. Copley
H. Forster
H. Forster
L. Watson
L. Watson
T. Adeyemo
T. Adeyemo
M. Young
M. Young
O. Turton
O. Turton
A. Oluwo
A. Oluwo
B. Cooper
B. Cooper
L. Garbutt
L. Garbutt
R. Longelo-Mbule
R. Longelo-Mbule
J. Austerfield
J. Austerfield
M. Butcher
M. Butcher
P. Ehibhatiomhan
P. Ehibhatiomhan
R. Graydon
R. Graydon
D. Udoh
D. Udoh
Crawley Town 4-4-2
Starting XI
35
J. Chapman
🟨 88'
G
22
A. Adeyemo
↓ 82'
D
5
C. Barker
🟨 18'
D
2
S. Malone
D
16
J. Russell
19
D. Pereira
↓ 81'
M
26
J. Williams
M
30
L. Copley
↓ 32'
M
7
H. Forster
M
27
L. Watson
F
38
T. Adeyemo
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
34
J. Wollacott
G
31
A. Odimayo
↑ 82'
D
6
M. Anderson
↑ 81'
M
12
L. Richards
D
21
R. Loft
↑ 68'
F
32
T. Richards
↑ 32'
M
Salford City 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
M. Young
G
6
O. Turton
↓ 83'
D
22
A. Oluwo
D
15
B. Cooper
↓ 77'
D
29
L. Garbutt
D
45
R. Longelo-Mbule
↓ 63'
M
17
J. Austerfield
↓ 77'
M
18
M. Butcher
M
25
P. Ehibhatiomhan
↓ 63'
M
26
R. Graydon
F
23
D. Udoh
F
Substitutes
33
M. Howard
G
16
F. Borini
↑ 63'
F
9
C. Stockton
↑ 83'
F
21
K. Cesay
↑ 77'
D
24
A. Dorrington
↑ 77'
D
10
K. N'Mai
↑ 63'
M
19
H. Mnoga
D
Last matches: Crawley Town
25.07.26
Fri
Crawley Town
Eastleigh
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Accrington ST
3
3
D
18.04.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Shrewsbury
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Bristol Rovers
1
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Grimsby
0
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Newport County
2
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Gillingham
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Fleetwood Town
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Barnet
1
1
D
13.03.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Colchester
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Swindon Town
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Oldham
0
2
L
21.02.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Chesterfield
1
1
D
17.02.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Milton Keynes Dons
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Tranmere
0
2
L
10.02.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Cambridge United
0
3
L
07.02.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Crewe
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Harrogate Town
2
0
W
27.01.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Walsall
0
0
D
24.01.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Barrow
1
0
W
Last matches: Salford City
25.07.26
Fri
Salford City
Dundee Utd
3
2
W
18.07.26
Fri
Salford City
United of Manchester
4
1
W
25.05.26
Lea
Salford City
Notts County
0
3
L
15.05.26
Lea
Salford City
Grimsby
2
2
D
10.05.26
Lea
Salford City
Grimsby
2
1
W
23.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Bromley
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Oldham
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Gillingham
0
0
D
06.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Crewe
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Notts County
2
1
W
28.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Milton Keynes Dons
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Cambridge United
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Barrow
3
1
W
14.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Harrogate Town
1
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Walsall
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Barnet
2
0
W
03.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Grimsby
1
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Colchester
1
0
W
24.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Shrewsbury
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Cheltenham
2
3
L
H2H: Crawley Town vs Salford City
02.05.26
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
0
0
D
29.11.25
H2H
Salford City
Crawley Town
4
3
L
13.01.24
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
0
1
L
12.08.23
H2H
Salford City
Crawley Town
1
1
D
28.01.23
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
3
2
W
03.09.22
H2H
Salford City
Crawley Town
2
2
D
29.03.22
H2H
Salford City
Crawley Town
2
1
L
17.08.21
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
2
1
W
09.03.21
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
1
0
W
24.10.20
H2H
Salford City
Crawley Town
1
1
D
08.02.20
H2H
Salford City
Crawley Town
0
0
D
10.08.19
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
2
0
W
Last matches: Crawley Town
18.04.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Shrewsbury
0
0
D
06.04.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Grimsby
0
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Gillingham
2
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Barnet
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Swindon Town
2
2
D
21.02.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Chesterfield
1
1
D
10.02.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Cambridge United
0
3
L
07.02.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Crewe
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Harrogate Town
2
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Notts County
1
2
L
29.12.25
Lea
Crawley Town
Bromley
1
3
L
26.12.25
Lea
Crawley Town
Colchester
1
1
D
13.12.25
Lea
Crawley Town
Oldham
2
2
D
22.11.25
Lea
Crawley Town
Accrington ST
1
1
D
08.11.25
Lea
Crawley Town
Fleetwood Town
2
1
W
25.10.25
Lea
Crawley Town
Bristol Rovers
4
0
W
11.10.25
Lea
Crawley Town
Walsall
1
1
D
27.09.25
Lea
Crawley Town
Barrow
1
2
L
13.09.25
Lea
Crawley Town
Cheltenham
2
0
W
23.08.25
Lea
Crawley Town
Tranmere
0
2
L
H2H at home: Crawley Town
02.05.26
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
0
0
D
13.01.24
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
0
1
L
28.01.23
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
3
2
W
17.08.21
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
2
1
W
09.03.21
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
1
0
W
10.08.19
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
2
0
W
Last matches: Salford City
18.07.26
Fri
Salford City
United of Manchester
4
1
W
25.05.26
Lea
Salford City
Notts County
0
3
L
10.05.26
Lea
Salford City
Grimsby
2
1
W
18.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Oldham
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Crewe
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Cambridge United
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Harrogate Town
1
0
W
03.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Grimsby
1
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Colchester
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Cheltenham
2
3
L
14.02.26
FA
Salford City
Manchester City
0
2
L
05.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Accrington ST
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lea
Salford City
Tranmere
2
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Salford City
Swindon Town
3
2
W
01.01.26
Lea
Salford City
Barrow
2
1
W
20.12.25
Lea
Salford City
Barnet
3
1
W
09.12.25
Lea
Salford City
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
22.11.25
Lea
Salford City
Bromley
0
2
L
15.11.25
Lea
Salford City
Milton Keynes Dons
0
2
L
25.10.25
Lea
Salford City
Gillingham
2
1
W
H2H away: Salford City
02.05.26
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
0
0
D
13.01.24
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
0
1
W
28.01.23
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
3
2
L
17.08.21
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
2
1
L
09.03.21
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
1
0
L
10.08.19
H2H
Crawley Town
Salford City
2
0
L

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation