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17.10.2026 18:15
Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Referee: Piotr Lasyk, Poland
Cracovia Krakow
Match Timeline
Legia Warszawa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
26'
M. Sevcik · Assist: P. Wszolek
Legia Warszawa
🟨
39'
Paweł Wszołek
Legia Warszawa
🟨
40'
Vincent Burlet
Cracovia Krakow
⚽
44'
L. Nordas · Assist: G. Henriksson
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
46'
P. Wszolek ↔ A. Reca
Legia Warszawa
🔄
65'
M. Sevcik ↔ B. Viunnyk
Legia Warszawa
🔄
74'
M. Klich ↔ M. Berte
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
81'
L. Zjawinski ↔ J. Kuchta
Legia Warszawa
🔄
82'
R. Deziel ↔ Z. Arsenic
Legia Warszawa
🔄
85'
M. Minchev ↔ K. Zahiroleslam
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
88'
B. Kapustka ↔ D. Szymanski
Legia Warszawa

Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cracovia Krakow Win 26.6%
Draw 4%
Legia Warszawa Win 69.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cracovia Krakow1.23
Legia Warszawa1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
W L L L L
8 GF / 11 GA
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
W W W W D
15 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
2.16
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1
12
BTTS Yes
17
10
Over 2.5
13
4.6
Shots on Goal
5.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 18 matches
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 25 matches
Cracovia Krakow Statistic Legia Warszawa
6 Wins 16
5 Draws 8
7 Losses 1
25 Goals For 54
25 Goals Against 25
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 2.16
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1
12 BTTS Yes 17
14 Over 1.5 21
10 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 12
4 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 2
4.6 Shots On Goal 5.1
15.1 Total Shots 15.3
5.8 Corners 4.6
48.7% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Legia Warszawa's more proactive style and Cracovia Krakow's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Cracovia Krakow have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Legia Warszawa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 19 points while Cracovia Krakow sit 14 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Legia Warszawa. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cracovia Krakow expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Legia Warszawa in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Legia Warszawa having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Cracovia Krakow Analysis

With 8 points from 9 games and a place of 14, Cracovia Krakow still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 9:14, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through A. Hasić (1 goals), M. Perković (1 goals), M. Minchev (1 goals), with creative support from M. Klich (2 assists), A. Hasić (1 assists), M. Perković (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Legia Warszawa Analysis

Legia Warszawa come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 19 points from 9 matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 19:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Augustyniak (4 goals), Ł. Zjawiński (3 goals), B. Kapustka (2 goals), with creative support from P. Wszołek (4 assists), Rúben Vinagre (3 assists), R. Augustyniak (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cracovia Krakow won 6 times, Legia Warszawa won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Cracovia Krakow's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Cracovia Krakow 4-2-3-1 / Legia Warszawa 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Cracovia Krakow wins 6, draws 3, Legia Warszawa wins 6

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 9 1 1 29:10 19 28
W W W W L
2 12 8 3 1 21:11 10 27
D D W D W
3 11 7 3 1 19:9 10 24
W W W W W
4 12 6 5 1 23:11 12 23
L D W W D
5 12 6 3 3 19:15 4 21
W D L W W
6 12 6 2 4 22:18 4 20
W D W L W
7 12 5 4 3 15:15 0 19
D W L L W
8 12 6 0 6 22:17 5 18
L L W W W
9 12 5 3 4 14:18 -4 18
W L L W L
10 11 5 0 6 14:17 -3 15
W L L L L
11 11 4 2 5 10:16 -6 14
L W L W W
12 12 3 4 5 17:21 -4 13
D W W D L
13 12 3 3 6 14:19 -5 12
L D W L L
14 12 1 8 3 15:16 -1 11
D D L D D
15 12 2 3 7 16:22 -6 9
W L L L L
16 12 2 2 8 16:23 -7 8
L L L W D
17 12 2 2 8 12:28 -16 8
L L L L L
18 12 2 0 10 16:28 -12 6
L W L L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation