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21.11.2026 13:45
Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Cracovia Krakow vs Jagiellonia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cracovia Krakow Win 28.6%
Draw 27.3%
Jagiellonia Win 44.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cracovia Krakow1.26
Jagiellonia1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
L L L D W
7 GF / 9 GA
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
W L W W L
5 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
16
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
19
4.71
Shots on Goal
4.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 22 matches
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 32 matches
Cracovia Krakow Statistic Jagiellonia
6 Wins 18
6 Draws 3
10 Losses 11
29 Goals For 51
33 Goals Against 37
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
16 BTTS Yes 17
18 Over 1.5 23
13 Over 2.5 19
8 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 10
4 Failed To Score 6
4.71 Shots On Goal 4.19
15.43 Total Shots 11.71
5.86 Corners 3.67
48.6% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Cracovia Krakow have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Jagiellonia. Jagiellonia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 21 points while Cracovia Krakow sit 15 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Cracovia Krakow Analysis

With 12 points from 14 games and a place of 15, Cracovia Krakow still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 16:23 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Hasić (5 goals), L. Nordås (2 goals), M. Berte (2 goals), with creative support from M. Klich (2 assists), A. Hasić (1 assists), M. Perković (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Jagiellonia Analysis

Jagiellonia are currently 9 in the standings with 21 points from 13 matches. The record of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 18:18 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jesús Imaz (4 goals), N. Prelec (3 goals), O. Sow (3 goals), with creative support from K. Szmyt (2 assists), N. Prelec (1 assists), Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cracovia Krakow won 5 times, Jagiellonia won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:25 from Cracovia Krakow's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.7%)
Predicted formations: Cracovia Krakow 4-2-3-1 / Jagiellonia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cracovia Krakow wins 5, draws 4, Jagiellonia wins 6

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 10 2 1 34:13 21 32
D W W W W
2 14 9 4 1 23:12 11 31
W D D D W
3 14 6 6 2 25:15 10 24
L D L D W
4 13 7 3 3 20:15 5 24
L L W W W
5 14 7 3 4 22:19 3 24
W L W D L
6 14 6 5 3 18:17 1 23
D W D W L
7 14 6 4 4 24:20 4 22
D D W D W
8 14 7 0 7 25:20 5 21
L W L L W
9 13 7 0 6 18:18 0 21
W W W L L
10 14 5 4 5 22:24 -2 19
W W D W W
11 14 5 3 6 14:21 -7 18
L L W L L
12 13 4 3 6 14:21 -7 15
L D L W L
13 14 2 8 4 20:19 1 14
W L D D L
14 14 4 2 8 17:29 -12 14
W W L L L
15 14 3 3 8 16:23 -7 12
L L L D W
16 14 4 0 10 23:31 -8 12
W W L W L
17 14 2 4 8 17:25 -8 10
D L W L L
18 14 2 2 10 18:28 -10 8
L L L L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation