BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
CRAC
Match Timeline
Tombense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Iago Martins
CRAC
🟥
30'
CRAC
CRAC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.6%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CRAC Win 41.4%
Draw 15.4%
Tombense Win 43.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
CRAC0.66
Tombense1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
CRAC CRAC
WWDLW
7 GF / 7 GA
Tombense Tombense
WLDWL
13 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
1.3
0.7
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
3
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CRAC CRAC 10 matches
Tombense Tombense 10 matches
CRAC Statistic Tombense
3 Wins 4
4 Draws 5
3 Losses 1
7 Goals For 13
7 Goals Against 6
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
0.7 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
3 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs Tombense's more proactive style and CRAC's more cautious structure, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tombense having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tombense. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

CRAC Analysis

CRAC enter this tie with a season profile built on 13 points from 10 matches, placing them 3 in their league. The return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 7:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tombense Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Tombense arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 17 points after 10 matches. The return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 13:6 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Cesar (3 goals), Luiz Felipe (2 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, CRAC won 1 times, Tombense won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from CRAC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
H2H summary: CRAC wins 1, draws 1, Tombense wins 0
Last matches: CRAC
04.07.26
Ser
CRAC
Treze
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
CRAC
Tombense
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
CRAC
Ivinhema
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Operario Ferroviario
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Uberlandia
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
CRAC
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Ipatinga
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Ipatinga
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
CRAC
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
CRAC
Uberlandia
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRAC
Operario Ferroviario
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
CRAC
Ivinhema
0
1
L
Last matches: Tombense
27.06.26
Ser
Tombense
CRAC
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Tombense
Vitória ES
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Porto BA
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Real Noroeste
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Democrata GV
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Rio Branco ES
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Democrata GV
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Real Noroeste
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Porto BA
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Vitória ES
1
0
W
H2H: CRAC vs Tombense
27.06.26
H2H
Tombense
CRAC
0
0
D
21.06.26
H2H
CRAC
Tombense
1
0
W
Last matches: CRAC
04.07.26
Ser
CRAC
Treze
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
CRAC
Ivinhema
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Uberlandia
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
CRAC
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Ipatinga
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
CRAC
Operario Ferroviario
0
0
D
H2H at home: CRAC
21.06.26
H2H
CRAC
Tombense
1
0
W
Last matches: Tombense
30.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Porto BA
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Rio Branco ES
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Democrata GV
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Real Noroeste
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Vitória ES
1
0
W
H2H away: Tombense
21.06.26
H2H
CRAC
Tombense
1
0
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3
CRAC Home
10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)