TURKEY › 1. LIG
02.05.2026 13:00
Corum Stadyumu
Referee: M. Metoglu
Çorum FK
Match Timeline
Erzurumspor FK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
B. Samudio
Çorum FK
🟨
40'
Erkan Kaş
Çorum FK
🟨
43'
Giovanni Crociata
Erzurumspor FK
🔄
46'
B. Keser ↔ H. Yener
Erzurumspor FK
🟨
56'
Fredy
Çorum FK
🔄
63'
C. Sylla ↔ M. Rodriguez
Erzurumspor FK
🔄
63'
M. Akpinar ↔ E. Tozlu
Erzurumspor FK
🔄
65'
A. Ildiz ↔ F. Yazgan
Çorum FK
🔄
73'
M. Fettahoglu ↔ A. Ulgen
Erzurumspor FK
⚽
80'
E. Tozlu
Erzurumspor FK
🔄
82'
Fredy ↔ O. Gurbulak
Çorum FK
🔄
82'
Y. Erdogan ↔ B. Coban
Çorum FK
🔄
85'
Pedrinho ↔ M. Thiam
Çorum FK
🔄
88'
G. Crociata ↔ M. Onal
Erzurumspor FK
🟨
90+3'
Oğuz Gürbulak
Çorum FK

Çorum FK vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 42.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
61.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
42.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Çorum FK Win 33.1%
Draw 14.4%
Erzurumspor FK Win 52.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Çorum FK1.29
Erzurumspor FK1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Çorum FK Çorum FK
WWDLW
62 GF / 38 GA
Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK
WLDWL
81 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
2.19
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
21
BTTS Yes
17
19
Over 2.5
17
5.05
Shots on Goal
4.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Çorum FK Çorum FK 37 matches
Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 37 matches
Çorum FK Statistic Erzurumspor FK
21 Wins 23
7 Draws 11
9 Losses 3
62 Goals For 81
38 Goals Against 26
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 2.19
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
21 BTTS Yes 17
29 Over 1.5 34
19 Over 2.5 17
13 Over 3.5 9
11 Clean Sheets 19
7 Failed To Score 1
5.05 Shots On Goal 4.73
13.46 Total Shots 12.27
6.57 Corners 4.46
59.8% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Erzurumspor FK. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Çorum FK Analysis

Placed 4 with 70 points from 37 outings, Çorum FK continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 21 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 62:38 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through B. Coban (12 goals), E. Eze (10 goals), Mame Thiam (9 goals), with creative support from Yusuf Erdoğan (10 assists), Braian Samudio (5 assists), B. Coban (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Erzurumspor FK Analysis

Erzurumspor FK approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 80 points after 37 outings. The return of 23 wins, 11 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 81:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through E. Tozlu (20 goals), M. Fettahoglu (10 goals), B. Keser (8 goals), with creative support from S. Akgun (7 assists), E. Tozlu (6 assists), G. Crociata (6 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 11 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Çorum FK won 1 times, Erzurumspor FK won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:14 from Çorum FK's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: Çorum FK 4-1-4-1 / Erzurumspor FK 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Çorum FK wins 1, draws 3, Erzurumspor FK wins 6

Standings

1. Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 23 12 3 82:27 55 81
D D D W W
2 38 21 11 6 81:42 39 74
D D L D D
3 38 21 11 6 81:35 46 74
L D L W W
4 38 21 8 9 63:39 24 71
W W L W D
5 38 18 10 10 71:39 32 64
L W W L D
6 38 16 15 7 58:33 25 63
L D W D D
7 38 16 12 10 73:43 30 60
L W W L D
8 38 16 12 10 47:34 13 60
W D W D D
9 38 16 7 15 57:56 1 55
W L W W W
10 38 14 11 13 47:43 4 53
L W L L W
11 38 13 13 12 57:55 2 52
W W W W L
12 38 15 7 16 44:44 0 52
W W L W D
13 38 13 11 14 52:54 -2 50
D L D W L
14 38 13 10 15 52:47 5 49
L L W L W
15 38 14 6 18 61:57 4 48
W L W L L
16 38 13 7 18 47:51 -4 46
L W L D W
17 38 11 6 21 44:75 -31 39
L W L D L
18 38 8 10 20 45:72 -27 34
L L D L L
19 38 2 8 28 33:102 -69 14
W L D L W
20 38 1 3 34 22:169 -147 -57
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation