CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
19.04.2026 16:30
Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso
Referee: Nicolas Millas, Chile
Coquimbo Unido
Match Timeline
Nublense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Manuel Fernández
Coquimbo Unido
17'
N. Johansen
Coquimbo Unido
🟨
38'
Sebastián Valencia
Nublense
🔄
46'
G. Avalos ↔ F. Rami
Nublense
🟨
48'
Benjamín Gazzolo
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
59'
N. Johansen ↔ L. Pratto
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
60'
M. A. Mundaca Barraza ↔ A. E. Azocar Machuca
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
60'
G. Vadala ↔ B. Chandia
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
64'
I. Jeraldino ↔ F. Ovelar
Nublense
🔄
64'
M. Rivera ↔ D. Cespedes
Nublense
🔄
64'
M. Plaza ↔ I. Tapia
Nublense
🟨
65'
Manuel Fernández
Coquimbo Unido
🟥
65'
Manuel Fernández
Coquimbo Unido
68'
F. Rami
Nublense
VAR
71'
Franco Rami
Nublense
🔄
72'
L. Riveros ↔ D. Glaby
Coquimbo Unido
🟨
76'
Ignacio Tapia
Nublense
🟨
77'
Diego Sanhueza
Nublense
🔄
82'
S. Cabrera ↔ C. Zavala
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
82'
D. Sanhueza ↔ A. Valdes
Nublense
🟨
90+2'
Jovany Campusano
Nublense

Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
52.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Coquimbo Unido Win 43.2%
Draw 15.4%
Nublense Win 41.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Coquimbo Unido1.07
Nublense1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido
WWDLW
16 GF / 12 GA
Nublense Nublense
WLDWL
10 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
6
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
2
4.5
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 12 matches
Nublense Nublense 9 matches
Coquimbo Unido Statistic Nublense
6 Wins 4
2 Draws 4
4 Losses 1
16 Goals For 10
12 Goals Against 6
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
6 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 1
4.5 Shots On Goal 3.33
13 Total Shots 11.89
6.1 Corners 4.89
49.2% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Coquimbo Unido expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Nublense in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nublense having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Coquimbo Unido have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nublense.

Coquimbo Unido Analysis

Coquimbo Unido approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 12 points from 8 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 11:10 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. E. Azocar Machuca (2 goals), Alejandro Camargo (2 goals), Cristián Zavala (2 goals), with creative support from J. Cornejo (4 assists), L. Riveros (2 assists), B. Chandia (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Nublense Analysis

Placed 4 with 16 points from 9 outings, Nublense continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 10:6 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Jeraldino (3 goals), D. Sanhueza (1 goals), Diego Céspedes (1 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Graciani (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Coquimbo Unido won 4 times, Nublense won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:10 from Coquimbo Unido's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
Predicted formations: Coquimbo Unido 4-2-3-1 / Nublense 3-4-3
H2H summary: Coquimbo Unido wins 4, draws 3, Nublense wins 3

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 17 1 3 47:21 26 52
W W D W W
2 21 11 3 7 46:31 15 36
W W L W L
3 21 10 6 5 28:17 11 36
L L W W W
4 21 9 6 6 34:23 11 33
W W D W L
5 21 10 3 8 32:29 3 33
L W W L W
6 20 8 8 4 26:24 2 32
L W W D W
7 21 9 3 9 24:24 0 30
W D W W W
8 20 8 5 7 27:24 3 29
W L D D L
9 20 8 3 9 38:34 4 27
L W L W L
10 21 6 9 6 32:34 -2 27
W D W D L
11 21 7 3 11 26:34 -8 24
L L D L W
12 20 7 3 10 29:39 -10 24
L L L L D
13 21 5 7 9 24:31 -7 22
L D D D W
14 21 6 4 11 16:35 -19 22
L W L L L
15 21 6 3 12 31:39 -8 21
W D L L W
16 21 3 5 13 17:38 -21 14
L D L L L