CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso
Referee: N. Gamboa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.46
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.9%
1.46
BTTS Yes
67.4%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.75
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.7%
1.16
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Coquimbo Unido Win 69.9%
Draw 11.1%
Huachipato Win 19%
Expected Goals (xG)
Coquimbo Unido1.48
Huachipato1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido
WWDLW
45 GF / 35 GA
Huachipato Huachipato
WLDWL
37 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
20
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
18
4.33
Shots on Goal
4.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 35 matches
Huachipato Huachipato 29 matches
Coquimbo Unido Statistic Huachipato
14 Wins 9
12 Draws 4
9 Losses 16
45 Goals For 37
35 Goals Against 51
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
20 BTTS Yes 15
25 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 18
6 Over 3.5 10
10 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 10
4.33 Shots On Goal 4.55
11.63 Total Shots 12
5.74 Corners 3.86
48.3% Ball Possession 47.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Coquimbo Unido's more proactive style and Huachipato's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Huachipato arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Huachipato. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Coquimbo Unido expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Huachipato in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Huachipato having the stronger overall control.

Coquimbo Unido Analysis

So far, Coquimbo Unido have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 26 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 25:22 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nicolás Johansen (5 goals), Alejandro Camargo (2 goals), Guido Vadalá (2 goals), with creative support from Juan Cornejo (3 assists), Francisco Salinas (1 assists), Cristián Zavala (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Huachipato Analysis

Huachipato approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 24 points from 20 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 29:39, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Lionel Altamirano (6 goals), Maximiliano Gutiérrez (3 goals), Mario Briceño (2 goals), with creative support from Mario Briceño (3 assists), Nelson Guillermo Guaiquil (2 assists), Maximiliano Rodríguez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Coquimbo Unido won 6 times, Huachipato won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Coquimbo Unido's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Coquimbo Unido 4-2-3-1 / Huachipato 4-4-2
H2H summary: Coquimbo Unido wins 6, draws 5, Huachipato wins 4