CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.54
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.79
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.5%
1.54
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.79
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.30
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Coquimbo Unido Win 69.5%
Draw 4.5%
D. La Serena Win 26%
Expected Goals (xG)
Coquimbo Unido1.54
D. La Serena1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido
WWDLW
41 GF / 30 GA
D. La Serena D. La Serena
WLDWL
34 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
16
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
14
4.73
Shots on Goal
4.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 30 matches
D. La Serena D. La Serena 24 matches
Coquimbo Unido Statistic D. La Serena
14 Wins 6
8 Draws 8
8 Losses 10
41 Goals For 34
30 Goals Against 43
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
16 BTTS Yes 14
21 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 11
9 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 6
4.73 Shots On Goal 4.24
12.09 Total Shots 11.29
5.68 Corners 4.41
48.6% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Coquimbo Unido's more proactive style and D. La Serena's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward D. La Serena having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors D. La Serena. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Coquimbo Unido Analysis

Placed 5 with 24 points from 15 outings, Coquimbo Unido continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 22:18 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Nicolás Johansen (4 goals), Guido Vadalá (2 goals), Sebastián Galani (1 goals), with creative support from Juan Cornejo (3 assists), Francisco Salinas (1 assists), Cristián Zavala (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

D. La Serena Analysis

D. La Serena are currently 12 in the standings with 19 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 24:28 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jeisson Vargas (3 goals), Felipe Chamorro (2 goals), Diego Rubio (2 goals), with creative support from Jeisson Vargas (4 assists), Bruno Gutiérrez (1 assists), Ángelo Henríquez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Coquimbo Unido won 5 times, D. La Serena won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:11 from Coquimbo Unido's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Coquimbo Unido 4-2-3-1 / D. La Serena 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Coquimbo Unido wins 5, draws 3, D. La Serena wins 3
Last matches: Coquimbo Unido
06.08.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
01.08.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Palestino
1
2
L
04.07.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Iquique
1
1
D
01.07.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
27.06.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
23.06.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
20.06.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Iquique
3
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
O'Higgins
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Limache
3
2
W
27.05.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Everton de Vina
1
1
D
19.05.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Tolima
3
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
3
0
W
08.05.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Colo Colo
1
3
L
29.04.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Tolima
0
3
L
24.04.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Union La Calera
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Nublense
1
1
D
15.04.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
2
0
W
08.04.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
1
1
D
Last matches: D. La Serena
02.08.26
Pri
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
1
2
L
26.07.26
Pri
D. La Serena
U. Catolica
3
3
D
12.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
0
1
L
05.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
01.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
28.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
2
1
W
24.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
0
0
D
21.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
13.06.26
Pri
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
2
4
L
24.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
4
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Palestino
1
5
L
26.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Huachipato
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Concepción
3
3
D
11.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Chile
0
4
L
15.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Nublense
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
3
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Concepcion
1
1
D
H2H: Coquimbo Unido vs D. La Serena
14.02.26
H2H
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
W
22.11.25
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
2
1
W
31.05.25
H2H
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
2
4
W
06.04.25
H2H
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
2
0
L
02.02.25
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
1
1
D
24.06.23
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
1
1
D
23.07.22
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
2
0
W
26.02.22
H2H
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
13.12.20
H2H
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
L
01.03.20
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
2
1
W
18.08.18
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
0
0
D
25.02.18
H2H
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
L
Last matches: Coquimbo Unido
06.08.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
W
23.06.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
20.06.26
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Iquique
3
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
O'Higgins
0
0
D
19.05.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Tolima
3
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
3
0
W
08.05.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Nublense
1
1
D
08.04.26
CON
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Cobresal
3
2
W
14.03.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Universidad de Chile
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Concepción
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Coquimbo Unido
Palestino
3
1
W
13.07.25
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Limache
2
3
L
08.06.25
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Union La Calera
2
1
W
10.05.25
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
3
0
W
23.03.25
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Cobresal
0
0
D
02.02.25
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
1
1
D
09.10.24
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
08.09.24
Cop
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Iquique
1
0
W
H2H at home: Coquimbo Unido
22.11.25
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
2
1
W
02.02.25
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
1
1
D
24.06.23
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
1
1
D
23.07.22
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
2
0
W
01.03.20
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
2
1
W
18.08.18
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
0
0
D
Last matches: D. La Serena
26.07.26
Pri
D. La Serena
U. Catolica
3
3
D
12.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
0
1
L
01.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
21.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
13.06.26
Pri
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Palestino
1
5
L
19.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Concepción
3
3
D
05.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Chile
0
4
L
15.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Nublense
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
0
1
L
07.09.25
Cop
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
0
2
L
16.07.25
Cop
D. La Serena
Santiago Wanderers
5
1
W
06.06.25
Cop
D. La Serena
San Luis
1
3
L
22.03.25
Cop
D. La Serena
San Marcos de Arica
0
1
L
02.02.25
Cop
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
27.01.25
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
2
1
W
16.06.24
Cop
D. La Serena
Trasandino
2
2
D
24.06.23
Cop
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
01.04.23
Cop
D. La Serena
Unión Compañías
3
1
W
H2H away: D. La Serena
22.11.25
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
2
1
L
02.02.25
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
1
1
D
24.06.23
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
1
1
D
23.07.22
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
2
0
L
01.03.20
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
2
1
L
18.08.18
H2H
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.86
Draw 4.14
Home 1.54
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.03
Draw 2.44
Home 2.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.25 1.58
Over 2.5 1.79
Over 2.75 2.01
Over 3.0 2.35
Over 3.25 2.66
Over 3.5 2.95
Over 4.5 5.56
Under 1.5 3.92
Under 2.25 2.39
Under 2.5 2.05
Under 2.75 1.83
Under 3.0 1.61
Under 3.25 1.48
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.15
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 4.00
Home 1.53
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.38
Home 2.05
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.62
Home 1.83
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.81
Draw 3.90
Home 1.49
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.57
Draw 2.40
Home 1.99
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.55
Draw 2.70
Home 1.82
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.12
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 1.75 1.26
Over 2.0 1.34
Over 2.25 1.53
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 2.75 1.97
Over 3.0 2.22
Over 3.25 2.45
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 3.75 3.33
Over 4.0 4.20
Over 4.25 4.73
Over 4.5 5.20
Over 4.75 6.48
Over 5.0 8.10
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 0.75 9.55
Under 1.0 8.10
Under 1.25 5.10
Under 1.5 3.80
Under 1.75 3.37
Under 2.0 2.90
Under 2.25 2.36
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 2.75 1.76
Under 3.0 1.59
Under 3.25 1.47
Under 3.5 1.38
Under 3.75 1.27
Under 4.0 1.18
Under 4.25 1.13
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 4.75 1.06
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.80
Draw 4.20
Home 1.49
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.40
Home 1.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.10
Draw 2.75
Home 1.84
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.0 1.32
Over 2.5 1.71
Over 3.0 2.23
Over 3.5 2.80
Over 4.0 4.35
Over 4.25 4.60
Over 4.5 4.90
Over 5.0 8.50
Under 1.5 3.80
Under 2.0 3.00
Under 2.5 1.98
Under 3.0 1.56
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 4.0 1.16
Under 4.25 1.14
Under 4.5 1.13
Under 5.0 1.04

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 14 0 3 36:16 20 42
W W W W W
2 17 8 6 3 21:11 10 30
W W W D W
3 17 8 3 6 38:26 12 27
L D W W L
4 17 8 3 6 25:24 1 27
W L W D W
5 16 6 7 3 20:19 1 25
W D W D L
6 16 7 3 6 23:20 3 24
L D W D W
7 17 7 3 7 26:27 -1 24
L D D L L
8 17 6 5 6 23:20 3 23
L D L W D
9 17 7 2 8 21:25 -4 23
W L L D L
10 16 6 3 7 31:26 5 21
L L L L L
11 17 6 2 9 19:23 -4 20
W W W L W
12 17 5 4 8 20:23 -3 19
W L D D W
13 17 4 7 6 25:30 -5 19
L D D L W
14 16 5 4 7 13:27 -14 19
L L D D W
15 17 5 2 10 26:32 -6 17
W D L L L
16 17 3 4 10 15:33 -18 13
L D D D L