16.05.2026 00:00
Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso
Referee: J. Lara
Coquimbo Unido
Match Timeline
A. Italiano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
30'
G. Vadala · Assist: C. Zavala
Coquimbo Unido
🟨
38'
Ignacio Fuenzalida
A. Italiano
⚽
45'
N. Johansen · Assist: J. Cornejo
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
46'
M. Valdes ↔ O. J. Rojas Munoz
A. Italiano
🟨
48'
Giovani Chiaverano
A. Italiano
🟨
49'
Benjamín Gazzolo
Coquimbo Unido
VAR
61'
Cristián Zavala
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
62'
A. Camargo ↔ D. Glaby
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
62'
M. A. Mundaca Barraza ↔ L. Riveros
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
62'
C. Zavala ↔ B. Chandia
Coquimbo Unido
🟨
65'
Michael Vadulli
A. Italiano
🔄
66'
D. Pina ↔ F. Loyola
A. Italiano
🔄
66'
I. Fuenzalida ↔ D. Coelho
A. Italiano
🟨
70'
Favian Loyola
A. Italiano
🔄
72'
N. Johansen ↔ L. Pratto
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
76'
M. Collao ↔ F. Mateos
A. Italiano
🔄
76'
M. Fuentes ↔ R. Cabral
A. Italiano
🔄
77'
G. Vadala ↔ A. E. Azocar Machuca
Coquimbo Unido
⚽
86'
S. Galani · Assist: A. E. Azocar Machuca
Coquimbo Unido

Coquimbo Unido vs A. Italiano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 96.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 93.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
96.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
93.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Coquimbo Unido Win 96.8%
Draw 0%
A. Italiano Win 3.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Coquimbo Unido1.35
A. Italiano1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido
WWDLW
22 GF / 21 GA
A. Italiano A. Italiano
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
10
BTTS Yes
4
9
Over 2.5
7
4.4
Shots on Goal
3.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 17 matches
A. Italiano A. Italiano 11 matches
Coquimbo Unido Statistic A. Italiano
8 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
6 Losses 6
22 Goals For 15
21 Goals Against 16
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
10 BTTS Yes 4
12 Over 1.5 7
9 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 4
4.4 Shots On Goal 3.27
11.67 Total Shots 10.36
5.6 Corners 3.73
46.7% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward A. Italiano. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Coquimbo Unido expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and A. Italiano in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward A. Italiano having the stronger overall control. A. Italiano arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Coquimbo Unido Analysis

Coquimbo Unido sit 8 with 16 points after 11 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 15:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. E. Azocar Machuca (2 goals), Alejandro Camargo (2 goals), Cristián Zavala (2 goals), with creative support from J. Cornejo (4 assists), L. Riveros (3 assists), Cristián Zavala (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

A. Italiano Analysis

A. Italiano sit 13 with 11 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 15:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Troyansky (3 goals), G. Chiaverano (3 goals), D. Coelho (1 goals), with creative support from E. Matus (3 assists), N. Aedo (2 assists), G. Chiaverano (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Coquimbo Unido won 6 times, A. Italiano won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:10 from Coquimbo Unido's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.85 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Coquimbo Unido 4-2-3-1 / A. Italiano 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Coquimbo Unido wins 6, draws 4, A. Italiano wins 3

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 48:22 26 54
D D W W D
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 23 10 6 7 37:25 12 36
W L W W D
5 23 11 3 9 36:33 3 36
L W L W W
6 23 10 3 10 43:35 8 33
L W W L W
7 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
8 23 9 4 10 25:26 -1 31
D L W D W
9 23 7 9 7 34:38 -4 30
L W W D W
10 22 8 5 9 31:31 0 29
L L L W L
11 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
12 23 8 3 12 28:36 -8 27
L W L L D
13 21 7 4 10 29:39 -10 25
W D L L L
14 23 7 3 13 34:44 -10 24
W L W D L
15 22 6 4 12 17:37 -20 22
L L W L L
16 23 4 5 14 19:40 -21 17
W L L D L