BRAZIL SERIE C
16.08.2026 21:30
Confiança
Match Timeline
Maringá
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Icaro
Confiança
🟨
35'
Thiago Rosa
Maringá
🔄
46'
Guilherme Nunes ↔ Paulo Henrique
Confiança
🔄
46'
PK ↔ Joao Pedro
Confiança
🔄
46'
Luiz Thiago ↔ Maikon Aquino
Confiança
54'
Caique Calito
Maringá
🔄
59'
Caique Calito ↔ Rai Natalino
Maringá
60'
Icaro
Confiança
🔄
62'
Pedro Felipe ↔ C. Breiner
Confiança
🟨
64'
Lucas Bonifacio
Maringá
🟨
65'
Paulo Henrique
Confiança
🟨
68'
Maikon Aquino
Confiança
🔄
68'
Jhow Alecxander ↔ Iago Santana
Maringá
🔄
74'
Lucas Bonifacio ↔ Serginho
Maringá
🔄
75'
Iago Silva ↔ Danielzinho
Confiança
🔄
81'
Thiago Rosa ↔ Gabriel Santos
Maringá
🔄
81'
Ronald Camarao ↔ Rafinha
Maringá
🟨
82'
Madison
Confiança

Confiança vs Maringá Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46.5%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Confiança Win 36.1%
Draw 17.4%
Maringá Win 46.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Confiança1.05
Maringá1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Confiança Confiança
WWDLW
10 GF / 18 GA
Maringá Maringá
WLDWL
28 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
0.59
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
6
BTTS Yes
11
4
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Confiança Confiança 17 matches
Maringá Maringá 16 matches
Confiança Statistic Maringá
3 Wins 6
3 Draws 5
11 Losses 5
10 Goals For 28
18 Goals Against 28
0.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
6 BTTS Yes 11
8 Over 1.5 14
4 Over 2.5 11
0 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 3
9 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Maringá's more proactive style and Confiança's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maringá having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Maringá. Maringá carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 23 points while Confiança sit 20 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Confiança Analysis

Confiança sit 20 with 12 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 9:15 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Maringá Analysis

Maringá sit 8 with 23 points after 15 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 28:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Confiança won 0 times, Maringá won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Confiança's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.6%)
H2H summary: Confiança wins 0, draws 1, Maringá wins 1

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation