BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: J. Rodrigues
Confiança
Match Timeline
Maranhão
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
Vagalume
Maranhão
🟨
38'
Iago Silva
Confiança
39'
Joao Pedro
Confiança
🟨
45+2'
Rodrigo
Maranhão
🔄
55'
Gustavo Nicola ↔ Guilherme Nunes
Confiança
63'
Vagalume
Maranhão
🔄
68'
Renilson ↔ C. Breiner
Confiança
🔄
68'
Iago Silva ↔ Sassa
Confiança
🟨
74'
Felipe Cruz
Maranhão
🔄
74'
Keven ↔ Tiburcio
Maranhão
🔄
79'
Weriton ↔ Mateus Ludke
Confiança
🔄
79'
Joao Pedro ↔ Danielzinho
Confiança
🔄
80'
Andre Radija ↔ Lucas Santos
Maranhão
🔄
80'
Vagalume ↔ Jorge Rocha
Maranhão
🔄
80'
Luis Gustavo ↔ Rafael Teixeira
Maranhão
🟨
81'
Lucas Santos
Maranhão
82'
Icaro
Confiança
🟨
83'
Joao Pedro
Confiança
🔄
88'
Ball ↔ Railson
Maranhão

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Confiança Win 20.2%
Draw 0%
Maranhão Win 79.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Confiança0.77
Maranhão1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Confiança Confiança
WWDLW
2 GF / 7 GA
Maranhão Maranhão
WLDWL
8 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.29
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
1
BTTS Yes
4
1
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Confiança Confiança 7 matches
Maranhão Maranhão 6 matches
Confiança Statistic Maranhão
1 Wins 3
0 Draws 1
6 Losses 2
2 Goals For 8
7 Goals Against 9
0.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
1 BTTS Yes 4
1 Over 1.5 6
1 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maranhão having the stronger overall control. Confiança have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Maranhão carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 10 points while Confiança sit 20 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Maranhão. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Confiança Analysis

Confiança sit 20 with 3 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 2:6 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Joao Pedro (1 goals), PK (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Maranhão Analysis

So far, Maranhão have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 10 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 8:9 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Felipe Cruz (2 goals), Vagalume (2 goals), Vander (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Confiança won 1 times, Maranhão won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Confiança's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Confiança wins 1, draws 0, Maranhão wins 0

Lineups

Confiança
Formation
Maranhão
Rafael Pascoal
Rafael Pascoal
Weriton
Weriton
Lucas Cunha
Lucas Cunha
Icaro
Icaro
Renilson
Renilson
Kelvyn
Kelvyn
Gustavo Nicola
Gustavo Nicola
Gabriel Zeca
Gabriel Zeca
Joao Pedro
Joao Pedro
PK
PK
Iago Silva
Iago Silva
Jean
Jean
Ball
Ball
Lucao
Lucao
Keven
Keven
Andre Radija
Andre Radija
Vander
Vander
Rosivan
Rosivan
Vagalume
Vagalume
Will
Will
Felipe Cruz
Felipe Cruz
Luis Gustavo
Luis Gustavo
Confiança 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Rafael Pascoal
2
Weriton
↓ 79'
3
Lucas Cunha
4
Icaro
⚽ 82'
5
Renilson
↓ 68'
6
Kelvyn
7
Gustavo Nicola
↓ 55'
8
Gabriel Zeca
9
Joao Pedro
⚽ 39' ↓ 79' 🟨 83'
10
PK
11
Iago Silva
↓ 68' 🟨 38'
Substitutes
12
Matheus Silva
13
Eduardo Moura
14
Mateus Ludke
↑ 79'
15
Joao Mandovani
16
Matheus Juliao
17
Danielzinho
↑ 79'
18
Guilherme Nunes
↑ 55'
19
Maikon Aquino
20
Fabricio Oya
21
C. Breiner
↑ 68'
22
Paulo Henrique
99
Sassa
↑ 68'
Maranhão 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Jean
2
Ball
↓ 88'
4
Lucao
18
Keven
↓ 74'
16
Andre Radija
↓ 80'
8
Vander
15
Rosivan
20
Vagalume
⚽ 63' ↓ 80' 🟨 37'
17
Will
29
Felipe Cruz
🟨 74'
26
Luis Gustavo
↓ 80'
Substitutes
12
Vitao
3
Edson Fernando
5
Railson
↑ 88'
6
Lucas Santos
↑ 80' 🟨 81'
7
Felipe Sales
9
Joelson
10
Jorge Rocha
↑ 80'
14
Tiburcio
↑ 74'
19
Rafael Teixeira
↑ 80'
22
Rodrigo
🟨 45+2'
Last matches: Confiança
12.07.26
Ser
Confiança
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Confiança
Barra
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
22.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Guarani Campinas
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Floresta
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Figueirense
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Ituano
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Brusque
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Caxias
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Amazonas
0
1
L
04.01.26
Fri
Confiança
Decisão
0
1
L
Last matches: Maranhão
12.07.26
Ser
Maranhão
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Maranhão
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Maranhão
Ituano
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Maranhão
Paysandu
0
1
L
15.06.26
Ser
Maranhão
Maringá
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Anápolis
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Caxias
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Botafogo PB
3
1
W
04.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Floresta
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Volta Redonda
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Amazonas
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Barra
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
20.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
14.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
06.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
ASA
3
0
W
30.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
ASA
1
0
W
24.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Central SC
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Central SC
2
1
W
10.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
H2H: Confiança vs Maranhão
18.05.26
H2H
Confiança
Maranhão
2
1
W
Last matches: Confiança
04.07.26
Ser
Confiança
Barra
1
2
L
22.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Guarani Campinas
2
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Figueirense
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Amazonas
0
1
L
H2H at home: Confiança
18.05.26
H2H
Confiança
Maranhão
2
1
W
Last matches: Maranhão
28.06.26
Ser
Maranhão
Ituano
0
0
D
15.06.26
Ser
Maranhão
Maringá
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Anápolis
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Maranhão
Floresta
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Amazonas
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Maranhão
Barra
0
3
L
20.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
06.09.25
Ser
Maranhão
ASA
3
0
W
24.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Central SC
0
0
D
10.08.25
Ser
Maranhão
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
26.07.25
Ser
Maranhão
Altos
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Maranhão
Imperatriz
0
1
L
05.07.25
Ser
Maranhão
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
15.06.25
Ser
Maranhão
Parnahyba
2
2
D
30.05.25
Ser
Maranhão
Iguatu
0
1
L
21.05.25
Ser
Maranhão
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
26.04.25
Ser
Maranhão
Maracanã
0
0
D
H2H away: Maranhão
18.05.26
H2H
Confiança
Maranhão
2
1
L

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 4 3 17:14 3 25
W W D L W
2 14 7 3 4 20:15 5 24
L W L W L
3 14 7 3 4 15:10 5 24
W W W L W
4 14 7 2 5 22:19 3 23
W L L W L
5 14 6 5 3 25:14 11 23
L D D L W
6 14 7 1 6 19:15 4 22
W W W W D
7 14 6 4 4 27:24 3 22
W W D D D
8 14 6 4 4 15:12 3 22
W L L W W
9 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
10 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
11 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L L D D D
12 14 5 3 6 17:19 -2 18
L W D W D
13 14 5 3 6 10:15 -5 18
D L W L W
14 14 5 2 7 13:19 -6 17
L L L D W
15 14 4 5 5 11:14 -3 17
W L D L D
16 14 4 5 5 12:18 -6 17
D L D D W
17 14 4 4 6 12:17 -5 16
W W W L D
18 14 3 6 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D L
19 14 3 2 9 8:14 -6 11
L L D W L
20 14 2 3 9 9:18 -9 9
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation