BRAZIL SERIE C
22.06.2026 22:30
Referee: A. Goncalves
Confiança
Match Timeline
Guarani Campinas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Maranhao
Guarani Campinas
🟨
30'
Iago Silva
Confiança
🟨
33'
Nathan Melo
Guarani Campinas
47'
Maikon Aquino
Confiança
53'
Maikon Aquino
Confiança
🟨
56'
Rafael Donato
Guarani Campinas
🟨
57'
Nathan Melo
Guarani Campinas
🟥
57'
Nathan Melo
Guarani Campinas
🔄
62'
Isaque ↔ Kaua Jesus
Guarani Campinas
🔄
62'
Maranhao ↔ Herbert
Guarani Campinas
🔄
67'
Iago Silva ↔ Danielzinho
Confiança
🔄
70'
Gabriel Zeca ↔ Paulo Henrique
Confiança
🔄
70'
Maikon Aquino ↔ Weriton
Confiança
🟨
73'
Confiança
Confiança
🔄
75'
Carlos Eduardo ↔ Ynaia
Guarani Campinas
🔄
75'
Rian ↔ Edson Rogerio
Guarani Campinas
🔄
81'
PK ↔ Valdir Junior
Confiança
🔄
82'
Guilherme Cachoeira ↔ Lucca
Guarani Campinas
🟥
89'
Danielzinho
Confiança

Confiança vs Guarani Campinas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.2%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-3
-
-
Probability Distribution
Confiança Win 26.9%
Draw 12.9%
Guarani Campinas Win 60.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Confiança0.54
Guarani Campinas1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Confiança Confiança
WWDLW
4 GF / 10 GA
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas
WLDWL
22 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.36
Average Goals Scored
2.2
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
2
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Confiança Confiança 11 matches
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas 10 matches
Confiança Statistic Guarani Campinas
2 Wins 6
1 Draws 3
8 Losses 1
4 Goals For 22
10 Goals Against 8
0.36 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
2 BTTS Yes 5
2 Over 1.5 9
2 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Guarani Campinas's more proactive style and Confiança's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Guarani Campinas having the stronger overall control. Guarani Campinas look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Guarani Campinas. Guarani Campinas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 21 points while Confiança sit 18 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Confiança Analysis

Confiança approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 7 points from 10 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 4:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Joao Pedro (2 goals), Icaro (1 goals), PK (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Guarani Campinas Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 21 points from 10 games, Guarani Campinas bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, with a 22:8 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Hebert (4 goals), Guilherme Cachoeira (3 goals), Joao Paulo (3 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Confiança won 3 times, Guarani Campinas won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Confiança's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.1%)
H2H summary: Confiança wins 3, draws 0, Guarani Campinas wins 3

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
L D W D D
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W W D W L
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
D L L L W
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W W D W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation