BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: I. Guimaraes
Confiança
Match Timeline
Figueirense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
57'
Guilherme Vieira ↔ Emerson Galego
Figueirense
🟨
64'
Igor Bolt
Figueirense
🔄
71'
C. Breiner ↔ Andrey Quintino
Confiança
🟨
75'
Figueirense
Figueirense
🔄
80'
Igor Bolt ↔ Joao Choco
Figueirense
🔄
80'
Lucas Alves ↔ Jose Carlos
Figueirense
🔄
84'
Joao Pedro ↔ Sassa
Confiança
🔄
88'
Gabriel Zeca ↔ Paulo Henrique
Confiança
🔄
88'
PK ↔ Fabricio Oya
Confiança
🔄
90+2'
Breno ↔ Rafinha Potiguar
Figueirense
🔄
90+2'
Raynan ↔ Arthur Martins
Figueirense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Confiança Win 39.4%
Draw 31.4%
Figueirense Win 29.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Confiança0.98
Figueirense0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Confiança Confiança
WWDLW
4 GF / 8 GA
Figueirense Figueirense
WLDWL
6 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
2
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Confiança Confiança 8 matches
Figueirense Figueirense 7 matches
Confiança Statistic Figueirense
2 Wins 2
0 Draws 1
6 Losses 4
4 Goals For 6
8 Goals Against 12
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
2 BTTS Yes 4
2 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Figueirense having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Figueirense. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Confiança Analysis

With 6 points from 7 games and a place of 16, Confiança still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats with a 4:7 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Joao Pedro (2 goals), Icaro (1 goals), PK (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Figueirense Analysis

Figueirense approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 7 points from 7 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 6:12, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Igor Bolt (2 goals), Arthur Martins (1 goals), Breno (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Confiança won 1 times, Figueirense won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Confiança's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (70.8%)
H2H summary: Confiança wins 1, draws 5, Figueirense wins 1

Lineups

Confiança
Formation
Figueirense
Rafael Pascoal
Rafael Pascoal
Mateus Ludke
Mateus Ludke
Lucas Cunha
Lucas Cunha
Icaro
Icaro
Renilson
Renilson
Kelvyn
Kelvyn
Gabriel Zeca
Gabriel Zeca
Joao Pedro
Joao Pedro
PK
PK
Iago Silva
Iago Silva
C. Breiner
C. Breiner
Igo Gabriel
Igo Gabriel
Leo Maia
Leo Maia
Lucas Dias
Lucas Dias
Leonan Santos
Leonan Santos
Ryan Carlos
Ryan Carlos
Breno
Breno
Jean Mangabeira
Jean Mangabeira
Raynan
Raynan
Igor Bolt
Igor Bolt
Guilherme Vieira
Guilherme Vieira
Lucas Alves
Lucas Alves
Confiança 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Rafael Pascoal
2
Mateus Ludke
3
Lucas Cunha
4
Icaro
13
Renilson
6
Kelvyn
8
Gabriel Zeca
↓ 88'
9
Joao Pedro
↓ 84'
10
PK
↓ 88'
11
Iago Silva
21
C. Breiner
↓ 71'
Substitutes
12
Matheus Silva
5
Gustavo Nicola
7
Wendel
14
Eduardo Moura
15
Joao Mandovani
16
Matheus Juliao
17
Andrey Quintino
↑ 71'
18
Paulo Henrique
↑ 88'
19
Maikon Aquino
20
Fabricio Oya
↑ 88'
22
Weriton
99
Sassa
↑ 84'
Figueirense 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
52
Igo Gabriel
2
Leo Maia
37
Lucas Dias
3
Leonan Santos
66
Ryan Carlos
14
Breno
↓ 90+2'
30
Jean Mangabeira
7
Raynan
↓ 90+2'
70
Igor Bolt
↓ 80' 🟨 64'
20
Guilherme Vieira
↓ 57'
9
Lucas Alves
↓ 80'
Substitutes
12
Fabricio Santana
22
Vitor Ricardo
25
Jhonnathan
6
Arthur Henrique
28
Rafinha Potiguar
↑ 90+2'
77
Joao Choco
↑ 80'
11
Arthur Martins
↑ 90+2'
82
Jose Carlos
↑ 80'
99
Emerson Galego
↑ 57'
Last matches: Confiança
12.07.26
Ser
Confiança
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Confiança
Barra
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
22.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Guarani Campinas
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Floresta
0
1
L
18.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Maranhão
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Ituano
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Brusque
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Caxias
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Amazonas
0
1
L
04.01.26
Fri
Confiança
Decisão
0
1
L
Last matches: Figueirense
13.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Volta Redonda
0
0
D
06.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Brusque
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ituano
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Floresta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Amazonas
1
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Barra
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Anápolis
1
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Maringá
1
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
H2H: Confiança vs Figueirense
24.05.26
H2H
Confiança
Figueirense
0
0
D
29.06.25
H2H
Figueirense
Confiança
1
1
D
16.06.24
H2H
Figueirense
Confiança
2
0
L
13.05.23
H2H
Confiança
Figueirense
1
0
W
12.06.22
H2H
Figueirense
Confiança
0
0
D
01.12.20
H2H
Confiança
Figueirense
1
1
D
30.08.20
H2H
Figueirense
Confiança
0
0
D
Last matches: Confiança
04.07.26
Ser
Confiança
Barra
1
2
L
22.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Guarani Campinas
2
0
W
18.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Maranhão
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Amazonas
0
1
L
H2H at home: Confiança
24.05.26
H2H
Confiança
Figueirense
0
0
D
13.05.23
H2H
Confiança
Figueirense
1
0
W
01.12.20
H2H
Confiança
Figueirense
1
1
D
Last matches: Figueirense
06.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Brusque
1
3
L
20.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ituano
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Floresta
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Amazonas
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Anápolis
1
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
H2H away: Figueirense
24.05.26
H2H
Confiança
Figueirense
0
0
D
13.05.23
H2H
Confiança
Figueirense
1
0
L
01.12.20
H2H
Confiança
Figueirense
1
1
D

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 4 3 17:14 3 25
W W D L W
2 14 7 3 4 20:15 5 24
L W L W L
3 14 7 3 4 15:10 5 24
W W W L W
4 14 7 2 5 22:19 3 23
W L L W L
5 14 6 5 3 25:14 11 23
L D D L W
6 14 7 1 6 19:15 4 22
W W W W D
7 14 6 4 4 27:24 3 22
W W D D D
8 14 6 4 4 15:12 3 22
W L L W W
9 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
10 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
11 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L L D D D
12 14 5 3 6 17:19 -2 18
L W D W D
13 14 5 3 6 10:15 -5 18
D L W L W
14 14 5 2 7 13:19 -6 17
L L L D W
15 14 4 5 5 11:14 -3 17
W L D L D
16 14 4 5 5 12:18 -6 17
D L D D W
17 14 4 4 6 12:17 -5 16
W W W L D
18 14 3 6 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D L
19 14 3 2 9 8:14 -6 11
L L D W L
20 14 2 3 9 9:18 -9 9
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation