BRAZIL SERIE C
24.05.2026 21:00
Referee: I. Guimaraes
Confiança
Match Timeline
Figueirense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
57'
Guilherme Vieira ↔ Emerson Galego
Figueirense
🟨
64'
Igor Bolt
Figueirense
🔄
71'
C. Breiner ↔ Andrey Quintino
Confiança
🟨
75'
Figueirense
Figueirense
🔄
80'
Igor Bolt ↔ Joao Choco
Figueirense
🔄
80'
Lucas Alves ↔ Jose Carlos
Figueirense
🔄
84'
Joao Pedro ↔ Sassa
Confiança
🔄
88'
Gabriel Zeca ↔ Paulo Henrique
Confiança
🔄
88'
PK ↔ Fabricio Oya
Confiança
🔄
90+2'
Breno ↔ Rafinha Potiguar
Figueirense
🔄
90+2'
Raynan ↔ Arthur Martins
Figueirense

Confiança vs Figueirense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Confiança Win 39.4%
Draw 31.4%
Figueirense Win 29.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Confiança0.98
Figueirense0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Confiança Confiança
WWDLW
4 GF / 8 GA
Figueirense Figueirense
WLDWL
6 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
2
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Confiança Confiança 8 matches
Figueirense Figueirense 7 matches
Confiança Statistic Figueirense
2 Wins 2
0 Draws 1
6 Losses 4
4 Goals For 6
8 Goals Against 12
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
2 BTTS Yes 4
2 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Figueirense having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Figueirense. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Confiança Analysis

With 6 points from 7 games and a place of 16, Confiança still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats with a 4:7 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Joao Pedro (2 goals), Icaro (1 goals), PK (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Figueirense Analysis

Figueirense approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 7 points from 7 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 6:12, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Igor Bolt (2 goals), Arthur Martins (1 goals), Breno (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Confiança won 1 times, Figueirense won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Confiança's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (70.8%)
H2H summary: Confiança wins 1, draws 5, Figueirense wins 1

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L W W D
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
L W W W D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation