BRAZIL SERIE C
04.07.2026 22:00
Referee: J. Negreiros
Confiança
Match Timeline
Barra
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
26'
Marcelinho
Barra
🟨
43'
Tete
Barra
45'
Maikon Aquino
Confiança
🔄
46'
Mateus Ludke ↔ Valdir Junior
Confiança
🔄
46'
Nikolas Francisco ↔ Pablo Gabriel
Barra
🔄
46'
Tete ↔ Natan Costa
Barra
🔄
64'
Kelvyn ↔ Marcelo Nunes
Confiança
🔄
64'
Iago Silva ↔ C. Breiner
Confiança
🔄
64'
Vinicius Popo ↔ Matheuzinho
Barra
🔄
70'
Maikon Aquino ↔ Sassa
Confiança
🔄
70'
Marcelinho ↔ Renan Bernabe
Barra
🔄
77'
Renilson ↔ Weriton
Confiança
🔄
84'
Cleo Silva ↔ Saymon
Barra
🟨
86'
Saymon
Barra
🟨
90+3'
Saymon
Barra
🟥
90+3'
Saymon
Barra
🟨
90+6'
Barra
Barra
90'
Saymon
Barra

Confiança vs Barra Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.9%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Confiança Win 51.7%
Draw 15.1%
Barra Win 33.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Confiança0.76
Barra1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Confiança Confiança
WWDLW
7 GF / 11 GA
Barra Barra
WLDWL
14 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.54
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
3
BTTS Yes
6
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Confiança Confiança 13 matches
Barra Barra 12 matches
Confiança Statistic Barra
3 Wins 2
2 Draws 6
8 Losses 4
7 Goals For 14
11 Goals Against 13
0.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
3 BTTS Yes 6
4 Over 1.5 9
2 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Barra's more proactive style and Confiança's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Barra. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Barra having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Confiança Analysis

With 10 points from 11 games and a place of 18, Confiança still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 6:9, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barra Analysis

Barra approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 12 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 13:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Confiança won 0 times, Barra won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Confiança's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
H2H summary: Confiança wins 0, draws 0, Barra wins 1

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L W W D
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
L W W W D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17
Barra Away
19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation