BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: J. Negreiros
Confiança
Match Timeline
Barra
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
26'
Marcelinho
Barra
🟨
43'
Tete
Barra
45'
Maikon Aquino
Confiança
🔄
46'
Mateus Ludke ↔ Valdir Junior
Confiança
🔄
46'
Nikolas Francisco ↔ Pablo Gabriel
Barra
🔄
46'
Tete ↔ Natan Costa
Barra
🔄
64'
Kelvyn ↔ Marcelo Nunes
Confiança
🔄
64'
Iago Silva ↔ C. Breiner
Confiança
🔄
64'
Vinicius Popo ↔ Matheuzinho
Barra
🔄
70'
Maikon Aquino ↔ Sassa
Confiança
🔄
70'
Marcelinho ↔ Renan Bernabe
Barra
🔄
77'
Renilson ↔ Weriton
Confiança
🔄
84'
Cleo Silva ↔ Saymon
Barra
🟨
86'
Saymon
Barra
🟨
90+3'
Saymon
Barra
🟥
90+3'
Saymon
Barra
🟨
90+6'
Barra
Barra
90'
Saymon
Barra

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.9%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Confiança Win 51.7%
Draw 15.1%
Barra Win 33.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Confiança0.76
Barra1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Confiança Confiança
WWDLW
7 GF / 11 GA
Barra Barra
WLDWL
14 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.54
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
3
BTTS Yes
6
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Confiança Confiança 13 matches
Barra Barra 12 matches
Confiança Statistic Barra
3 Wins 2
2 Draws 6
8 Losses 4
7 Goals For 14
11 Goals Against 13
0.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
3 BTTS Yes 6
4 Over 1.5 9
2 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Barra's more proactive style and Confiança's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Barra. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Barra having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Confiança Analysis

With 10 points from 11 games and a place of 18, Confiança still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 6:9, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barra Analysis

Barra approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 12 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 13:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Confiança won 0 times, Barra won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Confiança's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
H2H summary: Confiança wins 0, draws 0, Barra wins 1

Lineups

Confiança
Formation
Barra
Rafael Pascoal
Rafael Pascoal
Mateus Ludke
Mateus Ludke
Lucas Cunha
Lucas Cunha
Icaro
Icaro
Renilson
Renilson
Kelvyn
Kelvyn
Joao Pedro
Joao Pedro
Gabriel Zeca
Gabriel Zeca
Maikon Aquino
Maikon Aquino
PK
PK
Iago Silva
Iago Silva
Ewerton
Ewerton
Fabio
Fabio
Jean Pierre
Jean Pierre
Everton Alemao
Everton Alemao
Tete
Tete
Vava Franca
Vava Franca
Marcelinho
Marcelinho
Nikolas Francisco
Nikolas Francisco
Vinicius Popo
Vinicius Popo
Warley Jr
Warley Jr
Cleo Silva
Cleo Silva
Confiança 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Rafael Pascoal
2
Mateus Ludke
↓ 46'
3
Lucas Cunha
4
Icaro
13
Renilson
↓ 77'
6
Kelvyn
↓ 64'
7
Joao Pedro
8
Gabriel Zeca
9
Maikon Aquino
⚽ 45' ↓ 70'
10
PK
11
Iago Silva
↓ 64'
Substitutes
12
Matheus Silva
5
Paulo Henrique
14
Joao Mandovani
16
Marcelo Nunes
↑ 64'
17
Danielzinho
18
Fabricio
19
Keirrison
20
Matheus Juliao
21
C. Breiner
↑ 64'
22
Valdir Junior
↑ 46'
23
Weriton
↑ 77'
99
Sassa
↑ 70'
Barra 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Ewerton
2
Fabio
3
Jean Pierre
4
Everton Alemao
5
Tete
↓ 46' 🟨 43'
6
Vava Franca
7
Marcelinho
⚽ 26' ↓ 70'
8
Nikolas Francisco
↓ 46'
9
Vinicius Popo
↓ 64'
10
Warley Jr
11
Cleo Silva
↓ 84'
Substitutes
12
Fabian Volpi
13
Da Rocha
14
Pablo Gabriel
↑ 46'
15
Natan Costa
↑ 46'
16
Nicolas
17
Matheuzinho
↑ 64'
18
Lucas Vargas
19
Saymon
⚽ 90' ↑ 84' 🟨 86' 🟨 90+3' 🟥 90+3'
20
Renan Bernabe
↑ 70'
Last matches: Confiança
12.07.26
Ser
Confiança
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
22.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Guarani Campinas
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Floresta
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Figueirense
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Maranhão
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Ituano
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Brusque
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Caxias
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Amazonas
0
1
L
04.01.26
Fri
Confiança
Decisão
0
1
L
Last matches: Barra
12.07.26
Ser
Barra
Santa Cruz
1
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
Barra
Floresta
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Barra
Amazonas
1
1
D
15.06.26
Ser
Barra
Ferroviária
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Barra
Brusque
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Barra
Guarani Campinas
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Barra
Anápolis
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Barra
Caxias
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Barra
Figueirense
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Barra
Inter De Limeira
2
2
D
18.04.26
Ser
Barra
Paysandu
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Barra
Maranhão
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Barra
Botafogo PB
0
1
L
04.10.25
Ser
Barra
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
27.09.25
Ser
Barra
Santa Cruz
2
1
W
20.09.25
Ser
Barra
Inter De Limeira
3
2
W
13.09.25
Ser
Barra
Inter De Limeira
2
0
W
06.09.25
Ser
Barra
Cianorte
1
0
W
31.08.25
Ser
Barra
Cianorte
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Barra
Ceilândia
1
0
W
H2H: Confiança vs Barra
04.07.26
H2H
Confiança
Barra
1
2
L
Last matches: Confiança
22.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Guarani Campinas
2
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Figueirense
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Maranhão
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Amazonas
0
1
L
H2H at home: Confiança
04.07.26
H2H
Confiança
Barra
1
2
L
Last matches: Barra
27.06.26
Ser
Barra
Floresta
1
2
L
15.06.26
Ser
Barra
Ferroviária
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Barra
Anápolis
1
1
D
04.05.26
Ser
Barra
Figueirense
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Barra
Paysandu
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Barra
Botafogo PB
0
1
L
27.09.25
Ser
Barra
Santa Cruz
2
1
W
20.09.25
Ser
Barra
Inter De Limeira
3
2
W
31.08.25
Ser
Barra
Cianorte
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
Barra
Ceilândia
1
1
D
02.08.25
Ser
Barra
Cascavel
1
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Barra
São Luiz
2
0
W
14.07.25
Ser
Barra
Marcílio Dias
0
1
L
14.06.25
Ser
Barra
Sao Jose
3
3
D
01.06.25
Ser
Barra
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
17.05.25
Ser
Barra
Joinville
1
2
L
10.05.25
Ser
Barra
Azuriz
1
0
W
19.04.25
Ser
Barra
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
1
L
H2H away: Barra
04.07.26
H2H
Confiança
Barra
1
2
W

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 4 3 17:14 3 25
W W D L W
2 14 7 3 4 20:15 5 24
L W L W L
3 14 7 3 4 15:10 5 24
W W W L W
4 14 7 2 5 22:19 3 23
W L L W L
5 14 6 5 3 25:14 11 23
L D D L W
6 14 7 1 6 19:15 4 22
W W W W D
7 14 6 4 4 27:24 3 22
W W D D D
8 14 6 4 4 15:12 3 22
W L L W W
9 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
10 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
11 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L L D D D
12 14 5 3 6 17:19 -2 18
L W D W D
13 14 5 3 6 10:15 -5 18
D L W L W
14 14 5 2 7 13:19 -6 17
L L L D W
15 14 4 5 5 11:14 -3 17
W L D L D
16 14 4 5 5 12:18 -6 17
D L D D W
17 14 4 4 6 12:17 -5 16
W W W L D
18
Barra Away
14 3 6 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D L
19 14 3 2 9 8:14 -6 11
L L D W L
20 14 2 3 9 9:18 -9 9
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation