BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Confiança
Match Timeline
AO Itabaiana
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
Rodrigo Alves
AO Itabaiana
🟨
14'
Madison
Confiança
🟨
16'
Gustavo Crecci
AO Itabaiana
🔄
30'
Madison ↔ Pedro Felipe
Confiança
🔄
46'
Joao Pedro ↔ Iago Silva
Confiança
🔄
46'
Tarcisio ↔ Tito
AO Itabaiana
49'
Alisson
Confiança
🔄
59'
Kelvyn ↔ Matheus Juliao
Confiança
🔄
66'
Renatinho ↔ Everton Kanela
AO Itabaiana
🔄
71'
Maikon Aquino ↔ Paulo Henrique
Confiança
🔄
71'
Gabriel Zeca ↔ Welder
Confiança
🔄
82'
Cleiton ↔ Valdenilson
AO Itabaiana
🔄
90'
Leilson ↔ Elimar
AO Itabaiana
🔄
90'
Rodrigo Alves ↔ Caio Felipe
AO Itabaiana

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 62.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
62.2%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Confiança Win 37.8%
Draw 21%
AO Itabaiana Win 41.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Confiança0.8
AO Itabaiana0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Confiança Confiança
WWDLW
8 GF / 15 GA
AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana
WLDWL
12 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.53
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
4
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Confiança Confiança 15 matches
AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana 14 matches
Confiança Statistic AO Itabaiana
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 4
10 Losses 6
8 Goals For 12
15 Goals Against 17
0.53 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
4 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AO Itabaiana. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AO Itabaiana having the stronger overall control. Confiança have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Confiança Analysis

With 11 points from 14 games and a place of 19, Confiança still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats with a 8:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

AO Itabaiana Analysis

AO Itabaiana sit 17 with 16 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats with a 12:17 goal balance points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Confiança won 5 times, AO Itabaiana won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:14 from Confiança's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79%)
H2H summary: Confiança wins 5, draws 5, AO Itabaiana wins 5

Lineups

Confiança
Formation
AO Itabaiana
Matheus Silva
Matheus Silva
Valdir Junior
Valdir Junior
Alisson
Alisson
Icaro
Icaro
Renilson
Renilson
Kelvyn
Kelvyn
Madison
Madison
Gabriel Zeca
Gabriel Zeca
Maikon Aquino
Maikon Aquino
PK
PK
Joao Pedro
Joao Pedro
Jefferson
Jefferson
Ricardo Cerqueira
Ricardo Cerqueira
Gustavo Fagundes
Gustavo Fagundes
Ligger
Ligger
Gustavo Crecci
Gustavo Crecci
Tarcisio
Tarcisio
Dyego
Dyego
Renatinho
Renatinho
Leilson
Leilson
Cleiton
Cleiton
Rodrigo Alves
Rodrigo Alves
Confiança 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Matheus Silva
2
Valdir Junior
3
Alisson
⚽ 49'
4
Icaro
5
Renilson
6
Kelvyn
↓ 59'
7
Madison
↓ 30' 🟨 14'
8
Gabriel Zeca
↓ 71'
9
Maikon Aquino
↓ 71'
10
PK
11
Joao Pedro
↓ 46'
Substitutes
12
Cadu
13
Joao Mandovani
14
Mateus Ludke
15
Paulo Henrique
↑ 71'
16
Matheus Juliao
↑ 59'
17
Pedro Felipe
↑ 30'
18
Guilherme Nunes
19
Welder
↑ 71'
20
Iago Silva
↑ 46'
21
C. Breiner
22
Fabricio
23
Eduardo Moura
AO Itabaiana 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Jefferson
2
Ricardo Cerqueira
3
Gustavo Fagundes
4
Ligger
5
Gustavo Crecci
🟨 16'
6
Tarcisio
↓ 46'
8
Dyego
11
Renatinho
↓ 66'
7
Leilson
↓ 90'
9
Cleiton
↓ 82'
10
Rodrigo Alves
⚽ 4' ↓ 90'
Substitutes
12
Geaze
13
Lucao
14
Gustavo Cintra
15
Isaque
16
Tito
↑ 46'
17
Dudu
18
Elimar
↑ 90'
19
Everton Kanela
↑ 66'
20
Valdenilson
↑ 82'
21
Caio Felipe
↑ 90'
22
Vitinho
23
Julio Henrique
Last matches: Confiança
22.08.26
Ser
Confiança
Anápolis
0
1
L
16.08.26
Ser
Confiança
Maringá
1
1
D
10.08.26
Ser
Confiança
Paysandu
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Confiança
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Confiança
Barra
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
22.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Guarani Campinas
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Floresta
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Figueirense
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Maranhão
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Ituano
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Brusque
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Caxias
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Amazonas
0
1
L
04.01.26
Fri
Confiança
Decisão
0
1
L
Last matches: AO Itabaiana
23.08.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Maranhão
1
4
L
16.08.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Barra
0
1
L
09.08.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Caxias
0
2
L
13.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Brusque
1
0
W
07.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Amazonas
2
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ferroviária
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Anápolis
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ituano
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Figueirense
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Floresta
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Maringá
2
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Paysandu
1
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ypiranga-RS
1
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
H2H: Confiança vs AO Itabaiana
25.07.26
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
1
D
09.04.26
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Confiança
0
1
W
28.02.26
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Confiança
0
2
W
25.02.26
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
2
L
08.02.26
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
12.07.25
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Confiança
0
0
D
29.03.25
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
1
D
22.03.25
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Confiança
1
2
W
23.02.25
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
0
0
D
07.04.24
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
03.04.24
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Confiança
2
2
D
03.03.24
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
22.04.23
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
0
2
L
16.04.23
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Confiança
2
0
L
29.01.23
H2H
AO Itabaiana
Confiança
2
0
L
Last matches: Confiança
22.08.26
Ser
Confiança
Anápolis
0
1
L
16.08.26
Ser
Confiança
Maringá
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Confiança
Barra
1
2
L
22.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Guarani Campinas
2
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Figueirense
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Maranhão
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Amazonas
0
1
L
H2H at home: Confiança
25.07.26
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
1
D
25.02.26
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
2
L
08.02.26
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
29.03.25
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
1
D
23.02.25
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
0
0
D
07.04.24
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
03.03.24
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
22.04.23
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
0
2
L
Last matches: AO Itabaiana
23.08.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Maranhão
1
4
L
16.08.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Barra
0
1
L
07.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Amazonas
2
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Anápolis
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Figueirense
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Maringá
2
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
H2H away: AO Itabaiana
25.07.26
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
1
D
25.02.26
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
2
W
08.02.26
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
0
L
29.03.25
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
1
D
23.02.25
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
0
0
D
07.04.24
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
0
L
03.03.24
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
0
1
W
22.04.23
H2H
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
0
2
W

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 9 4 5 26:20 6 31
D W L W L
2 18 9 3 6 26:19 7 30
W D D W W
3 18 9 2 7 26:26 0 29
W L W L W
4 18 8 5 5 22:20 2 29
D L W L W
5 18 8 4 6 19:14 5 28
W L D L W
6 18 8 4 6 25:22 3 28
W D W W L
7 18 7 6 5 32:22 10 27
L D L W L
8 18 7 6 5 21:15 6 27
L W D D W
9 18 7 6 5 18:16 2 27
W W W D W
10 18 7 6 5 31:30 1 27
W D L D W
11 18 7 6 5 20:20 0 27
W W L D D
12 18 7 4 7 19:21 -2 25
D D W W L
13 18 6 7 5 17:21 -4 25
D W D W D
14 18 6 6 6 17:16 1 24
L L W L D
15 18 6 4 8 18:19 -1 22
L L W L L
16 18 6 3 9 13:23 -10 21
L W L L D
17 18 5 3 10 16:21 -5 18
W L W W L
18 18 4 6 8 19:21 -2 18
L W L L L
19 18 4 5 9 14:25 -11 17
L L L D W
20 18 3 4 11 11:19 -8 13
L D L D L
Play-offs
Relegation