Concepción vs Union La Calera Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.4%
|
2.00 | |
| BTTS | No |
60.3%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
1.70 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
72.1%
|
1.25 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
8.50 |
Concepción
Union La Calera
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Concepción
34 matches
Union La Calera
31 matches
| Concepción | Statistic | Union La Calera |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 9 |
| 5 | Draws | 9 |
| 14 | Losses | 13 |
| 42 | Goals For | 37 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.19 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.7 | Shots On Goal | 3.61 |
| 13.17 | Total Shots | 10.83 |
| 4.43 | Corners | 5.35 |
| 46.7% | Ball Possession | 50% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Union La Calera arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Union La Calera. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Union La Calera having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Concepción arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 31 points compared to Union La Calera in 16 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Concepción sit 8 with 31 points after 23 league matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 25:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Larrivey (7 goals), Cecilio Waterman (5 goals), J. Henríquez (2 goals), with creative support from J. Henríquez (2 assists), Yerco Oyanedel (2 assists), Agustín Urzi (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Union La Calera sit 16 with 17 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 19:40, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. Sáez (4 goals), K. Méndez (3 goals), F. Pozzo (2 goals), with creative support from K. Méndez (6 assists), Christopher Díaz (3 assists), N. Avellaneda (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Concepción won 0 times, Union La Calera won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from Concepción's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 48:22 | 26 | 54 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50:33 | 17 | 42 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 37:25 | 12 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 36 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 43:35 | 8 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 28:31 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Concepción
Home
|
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 31 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
| 9 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:39 | -6 | 31 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 30 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 29 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:31 | -5 | 28 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 28:38 | -10 | 27 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 25 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18:40 | -22 | 23 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 |
Union La Calera
Away
|
23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19:40 | -21 | 17 |
W
L
L
D
L
|