Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Concepción Win 0%
Draw 0%
A. Italiano Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Concepción1.29
A. Italiano1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Concepción
WWDLW
33 GF / 31 GA
A. Italiano
WLDWL
32 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
10
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
15
3.63
Shots on Goal
3.11
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Concepción
26 matches
A. Italiano
25 matches
| Concepción | Statistic | A. Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 9 |
| 3 | Draws | 6 |
| 11 | Losses | 10 |
| 33 | Goals For | 32 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.63 | Shots On Goal | 3.11 |
| 12.68 | Total Shots | 10.42 |
| 4.32 | Corners | 3.63 |
| 45.5% | Ball Possession | 47.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Concepción won 0 times, A. Italiano won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from Concepción's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Concepción 4-2-3-1 / A. Italiano 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Concepción wins 0, draws 1, A. Italiano wins 2
Last matches: Concepción
16.08.26
Pri
Concepción
Cobresal
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pri
Concepción
Universidad de Concepcion
1
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Concepción
U. Catolica
3
0
W
27.07.26
Pri
Concepción
O'Higgins
2
0
W
12.07.26
Cop
Concepción
D. Puerto Montt
2
0
W
06.07.26
Cop
Concepción
Deportes Temuco
2
0
W
02.07.26
Cop
Concepción
Huachipato
2
1
W
29.06.26
Cop
Concepción
D. Puerto Montt
0
2
L
24.06.26
Cop
Concepción
Huachipato
3
2
W
21.06.26
Cop
Concepción
Deportes Temuco
1
1
D
14.06.26
Pri
Concepción
Deportes Limache
3
2
W
30.05.26
Pri
Concepción
Universidad de Chile
1
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Concepción
Huachipato
2
0
W
18.05.26
Pri
Concepción
Everton de Vina
0
2
L
24.04.26
Pri
Concepción
Palestino
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Concepción
D. La Serena
3
3
D
14.04.26
Pri
Concepción
Union La Calera
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Concepción
Colo Colo
0
1
L
13.03.26
Pri
Concepción
A. Italiano
0
3
L
06.03.26
Pri
Concepción
Nublense
0
2
L
Last matches: A. Italiano
16.08.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Everton de Vina
1
1
D
11.08.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Nublense
2
2
D
01.08.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Universidad de Concepcion
1
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Universidad de Chile
1
2
L
11.07.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Magallanes
1
0
W
05.07.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
2
L
30.06.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Palestino
3
2
W
27.06.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Magallanes
2
1
W
24.06.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Palestino
2
1
W
19.06.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
1
L
13.06.26
Pri
A. Italiano
D. La Serena
1
1
D
01.06.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Palestino
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Cobresal
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Coquimbo Unido
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Deportes Limache
2
2
D
20.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Huachipato
2
3
L
11.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
U. Catolica
3
4
L
03.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
O'Higgins
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Concepción
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Colo Colo
0
1
L
H2H: Concepción vs A. Italiano
13.03.26
H2H
A. Italiano
Concepción
3
0
L
07.05.25
H2H
A. Italiano
Concepción
2
1
L
06.04.25
H2H
Concepción
A. Italiano
0
0
D
Last matches: Concepción
09.08.26
Pri
Concepción
Universidad de Concepcion
1
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Concepción
U. Catolica
3
0
W
27.07.26
Pri
Concepción
O'Higgins
2
0
W
12.07.26
Cop
Concepción
D. Puerto Montt
2
0
W
06.07.26
Cop
Concepción
Deportes Temuco
2
0
W
24.06.26
Cop
Concepción
Huachipato
3
2
W
14.06.26
Pri
Concepción
Deportes Limache
3
2
W
24.05.26
Pri
Concepción
Huachipato
2
0
W
18.05.26
Pri
Concepción
Everton de Vina
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Concepción
D. La Serena
3
3
D
05.04.26
Pri
Concepción
Colo Colo
0
1
L
06.03.26
Pri
Concepción
Nublense
0
2
L
20.02.26
Pri
Concepción
Cobresal
1
1
D
14.01.26
Fri
Concepción
Coquimbo Unido
1
2
L
02.07.25
Cop
Concepción
Huachipato
1
1
D
07.06.25
Cop
Concepción
Union Espanola
1
0
W
06.04.25
Cop
Concepción
A. Italiano
0
0
D
23.03.25
Cop
Concepción
Palestino
3
2
W
26.06.24
Cop
Concepción
Linares Unido
2
3
L
27.03.22
Cop
Concepción
Fernández Vial
0
2
L
H2H at home: Concepción
06.04.25
H2H
Concepción
A. Italiano
0
0
D
Last matches: A. Italiano
16.08.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Everton de Vina
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Universidad de Concepcion
1
0
W
11.07.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Magallanes
1
0
W
05.07.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
2
L
24.06.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Palestino
2
1
W
01.06.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Palestino
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Coquimbo Unido
0
3
L
20.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Huachipato
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
O'Higgins
1
2
L
27.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Union La Calera
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Nublense
0
1
L
30.01.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
05.10.25
Cop
A. Italiano
Huachipato
2
4
L
09.07.25
Cop
A. Italiano
Curico Unido
1
0
W
07.06.25
Cop
A. Italiano
Deportes Temuco
2
1
W
06.04.25
Cop
A. Italiano
Concepción
0
0
D
21.03.25
Cop
A. Italiano
Union Espanola
0
0
D
27.01.25
Cop
A. Italiano
Palestino
2
0
W
23.06.24
Cop
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
1
D
15.06.24
Cop
A. Italiano
Recoleta
3
1
W
H2H away: A. Italiano
06.04.25
H2H
Concepción
A. Italiano
0
0
D
Standings
Primera División
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 46 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 30 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 30 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 27 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Concepción
Home
|
19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 25 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 24 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 28:31 | -3 | 23 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
A. Italiano
Away
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 21 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13:30 | -17 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26:36 | -10 | 17 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17:37 | -20 | 13 |
L
L
L
D
D
|