Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw |
39.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
45.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
- |
Concarneau
Villefranche
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Concarneau
34 matches
Villefranche
31 matches
| Concarneau | Statistic | Villefranche |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 10 |
| 13 | Draws | 6 |
| 11 | Losses | 15 |
| 37 | Goals For | 32 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 14 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 2 | Corners | 0 |
| 44% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Villefranche. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Villefranche having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
So far, Concarneau have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 37 points from 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 13 draws, and 10 losses, while the 30:35 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Soukouna (7 goals), J. Tell (4 goals), D. Seba (3 goals), with creative support from J. Tell (2 assists), S. Baldoni (2 assists), G. Gbelle (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Villefranche sit 11 with 36 points after 31 league matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 32:43 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Leye (9 goals), M. Assef (5 goals), K. Mixtur (3 goals), with creative support from R. Mroivili (3 assists), M. Louzif (3 assists), S. Keita (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Concarneau won 4 times, Villefranche won 1 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:12 from Concarneau's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.31 goals per game.
Lineups
Concarneau
Caen
Concarneau
Gobelins
Concarneau
Stade Briochin
Concarneau
Rouen
Concarneau
Orleans
Concarneau
Le Puy Foot
Concarneau
Chateauroux
Concarneau
Valenciennes
Concarneau
Sochaux
Concarneau
Dijon
Concarneau
Fleury 91
Concarneau
Versailles
Concarneau
Quevilly
Concarneau
Aubagne
Concarneau
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Concarneau
Caen
Concarneau
Nantes
Concarneau
Gobelins
Concarneau
Stade Briochin
Concarneau
Stade Briochin
Villefranche
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Villefranche
Caen
Villefranche
Gobelins
Villefranche
Stade Briochin
Villefranche
Rouen
Villefranche
Orleans
Villefranche
Le Puy Foot
Villefranche
Chateauroux
Villefranche
Valenciennes
Villefranche
Sochaux
Villefranche
Dijon
Villefranche
Fleury 91
Villefranche
Versailles
Villefranche
Quevilly
Villefranche
Aubagne
Villefranche
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Villefranche
Caen
Villefranche
Gobelins
Villefranche
Stade Briochin
Villefranche
Rouen
Concarneau
Gobelins
Concarneau
Rouen
Concarneau
Le Puy Foot
Concarneau
Valenciennes
Concarneau
Dijon
Concarneau
Versailles
Concarneau
Aubagne
Concarneau
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Concarneau
Caen
Concarneau
Nantes
Concarneau
Stade Briochin
Concarneau
Stade Briochin
Concarneau
Orleans
Concarneau
Chateauroux
Concarneau
Sochaux
Concarneau
Fleury 91
Concarneau
Quevilly
Villefranche
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Villefranche
Caen
Villefranche
Stade Briochin
Villefranche
Orleans
Villefranche
Chateauroux
Villefranche
Sochaux
Villefranche
Fleury 91
Villefranche
Quevilly
Villefranche
Gobelins
Villefranche
Rouen
Villefranche
Le Puy Foot
Villefranche
Versailles
Villefranche
Valenciennes
Villefranche
Dijon
Villefranche
Aubagne
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 52:25 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 58 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 43:29 | 14 | 55 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 54 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 53 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:42 | 0 | 51 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 47 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 39:34 | 5 | 40 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Concarneau
Home
|
32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 38 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
| 10 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 37 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 37 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Villefranche
Away
|
32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:45 | -11 | 37 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
| 13 | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:45 | -11 | 33 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 31 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
D
W
W
L
D
|