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24.10.2026 13:00
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Referee: Davide Di Marco, Italy
Como
Match Timeline
Sassuolo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
W. Kambwala ↔ J. Ramon
Como
🔄
46'
S. Ricci ↔ L. Milla
Como
🔄
46'
M. Baturina ↔ J. Addai
Como
⚽
49'
A. Douvikas · Assist: M. Caqueret
Como
⚽
60'
A. Douvikas · Assist: Kaiki
Como
🔄
62'
R. Obrador ↔ J. Doig
Sassuolo
🔄
62'
B. Dominguez ↔ A. Lauriente
Sassuolo
🔄
62'
N. Matic ↔ L. Lipani
Sassuolo
🟨
63'
Domenico Berardi
Sassuolo
🟨
65'
Yan Couto
Como
🔄
67'
Y. Couto ↔ I. Smolcic
Como
🔄
74'
D. Berardi ↔ C. Volpato
Sassuolo
🔄
86'
V. Adzic ↔ S. Esposito
Sassuolo
🟨
87'
Ignace Van der Brempt
Sassuolo
🔄
89'
L. Da Cunha ↔ A. Lahdo
Como
🟨
90+1'
Luis Milla
Como

Como vs Sassuolo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Como Win 76.6%
Draw 10.3%
Sassuolo Win 13.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Como1.82
Sassuolo1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Como Como
W W L D L
9 GF / 7 GA
Sassuolo Sassuolo
L D L W D
9 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
10
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
10
6.7
Shots on Goal
6.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Como Como 13 matches
Sassuolo Sassuolo 15 matches
Como Statistic Sassuolo
6 Wins 4
5 Draws 5
2 Losses 6
25 Goals For 23
15 Goals Against 25
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
10 BTTS Yes 11
11 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
6.7 Shots On Goal 6.22
18.8 Total Shots 15
5.4 Corners 4.44
58.3% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Como's more proactive style and Sassuolo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Como arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 11 points compared to Sassuolo in 11 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sassuolo. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Como Analysis

Como are currently 8 in the standings with 11 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 9:6 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Assane Diao (2 goals), M. Baturina (2 goals), T. Douvikas (2 goals), with creative support from Assane Diao (1 assists), M. Baturina (1 assists), N. Paz (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Sassuolo Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Sassuolo have collected 8 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 12:14 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Vasilije Adžić (3 goals), D. Berardi (2 goals), C. Odenthal (2 goals), with creative support from D. Bakola (2 assists), Vasilije Adžić (1 assists), A. Laurienté (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Como won 2 times, Sassuolo won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:2 from Como's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.7%)
Predicted formations: Como 4-2-3-1 / Sassuolo 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Como 5, Sassuolo 5
H2H summary: Como wins 2, draws 0, Sassuolo wins 1

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 22:7 15 25
W W W W W
2 10 8 1 1 26:13 13 25
L W W W W
3 10 7 3 0 28:10 18 24
W W D W D
4
Como Home
10 7 2 1 18:8 10 23
W W W W D
5 10 6 3 1 21:12 9 21
W L W W D
6 9 5 2 2 22:14 8 17
W D W L W
7 9 4 2 3 17:11 6 14
W D L W D
8 10 4 2 4 14:13 1 14
W W W L W
9 9 4 2 3 11:10 1 14
L W L D W
10 9 4 1 4 14:14 0 13
L W W W D
11 9 4 1 4 8:13 -5 13
L L L D W
12 9 3 2 4 16:17 -1 11
D D L W L
13 9 3 1 5 8:13 -5 10
W W L W L
14 9 3 0 6 10:19 -9 9
L L W L L
15 9 2 2 5 14:22 -8 8
L L L D L
16 10 2 1 7 17:24 -7 7
L L L W L
17 9 1 2 6 11:21 -10 5
D L L L D
18 9 1 2 6 5:15 -10 5
D L L L W
19 10 1 2 7 11:23 -12 5
L D L L L
20 10 1 0 9 6:20 -14 3
L L L W L
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Play-offs
Relegation