ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Referee: L. Zufferli
Como
Match Timeline
Parma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
53'
M. Caqueret ↔ J. Rodriguez
Como
58'
A. Moreno · Assist: J. Rodriguez
Como
🔄
59'
G. Strefezza ↔ N. Elphege
Parma
🟨
65'
Alberto Moreno
Como
🔄
70'
C. Ordonez ↔ O. Sorensen
Parma
🔄
71'
I. Van der Brempt ↔ I. Smolcic
Como
🔄
71'
H. Nicolussi Caviglia ↔ N. Estevez
Parma
🔄
71'
F. Carboni ↔ E. Valeri
Parma
VAR
76'
Mateo Pellegrino
Parma
🔄
82'
A. Douvikas ↔ A. Morata
Como
🔄
82'
M. O. Kempf ↔ Diego Carlos
Como
🔄
82'
M. Baturina ↔ S. Roberto
Como
🔄
85'
↔ D. Mikolajewski
Parma
🟨
88'
Jacobo Ramón
Como

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Como Win 78.7%
Draw 0%
Parma Win 21.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Como1.53
Parma0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Como Como
WWDLW
72 GF / 34 GA
Parma Parma
WLDWL
32 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
0.82
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
19
BTTS Yes
17
20
Over 2.5
13
5.19
Shots on Goal
3.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Como Como 42 matches
Parma Parma 39 matches
Como Statistic Parma
21 Wins 11
13 Draws 13
8 Losses 15
72 Goals For 32
34 Goals Against 49
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
19 BTTS Yes 17
31 Over 1.5 25
20 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 7
20 Clean Sheets 13
10 Failed To Score 15
5.19 Shots On Goal 3.03
14 Total Shots 10.97
4.4 Corners 3.97
60.7% Ball Possession 43.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Como's more proactive style and Parma's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Como arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 65 points compared to Parma in 13 on 42, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Parma. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Como expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Parma in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Parma having the stronger overall control.

Como Analysis

So far, Como have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 65 points from 36 matches. Their overall return of 18 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 60:28 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Douvikas (13 goals), Nico Paz (12 goals), M. Baturina (6 goals), with creative support from J. Rodriguez (7 assists), Nico Paz (6 assists), M. Caqueret (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Parma Analysis

Parma are currently 13 in the standings with 42 points from 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 12 draws, and 14 losses, while the 27:45 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Pellegrino (8 goals), A. Bernabe (3 goals), Enrico Del Prato (2 goals), with creative support from G. Strefezza (2 assists), A. Benedyczak (2 assists), E. Valeri (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Como won 3 times, Parma won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:10 from Como's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Como 4-2-3-1 / Parma 3-5-2
Missing players: Como 3, Parma 7
H2H summary: Como wins 3, draws 4, Parma wins 3
Stats
Como Como
Parma Parma
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
11
Blocked Shots
0
15 Corner Kicks 2
10 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 4
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 0
11 Blocked Shots 0
15 Shots insidebox 2
8 Shots outsidebox 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
453 Total passes 227
387 Passes accurate 166
2.77 expected_goals 0.43
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Como
Formation
Parma
J. Butez
J. Butez
I. Van der Brempt
I. Van der Brempt
J. Ramon
J. Ramon
M. O. Kempf
M. O. Kempf
A. Moreno
A. Moreno
L. Da Cunha
L. Da Cunha
M. Perrone
M. Perrone
M. Caqueret
M. Caqueret
M. Baturina
M. Baturina
A. Diao
A. Diao
A. Douvikas
A. Douvikas
Z. Suzuki
Z. Suzuki
A. Circati
A. Circati
M. Troilo
M. Troilo
L. Valenti
L. Valenti
E. Delprato
E. Delprato
M. Keita
M. Keita
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
C. Ordonez
C. Ordonez
F. Carboni
F. Carboni
M. Pellegrino
M. Pellegrino
G. Strefezza
G. Strefezza
Como 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Butez
G
77
I. Van der Brempt
↓ 71'
D
14
J. Ramon
🟨 88'
D
2
M. O. Kempf
↓ 82'
D
18
A. Moreno
⚽ 58' 🟨 65'
D
33
L. Da Cunha
M
23
M. Perrone
M
6
M. Caqueret
↓ 53'
M
20
M. Baturina
↓ 82'
M
38
A. Diao
M
11
A. Douvikas
↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
22
M. Vigorito
G
44
N. Cavlina
G
21
N. Tornqvist
G
7
A. Morata
↑ 82'
F
34
Diego Carlos
↑ 82'
D
31
M. Vojvoda
D
28
I. Smolcic
↑ 71'
D
17
J. Rodriguez
🎯 58' ↑ 53'
F
8
S. Roberto
↑ 82'
M
5
E. Goldaniga
D
19
N. Kuhn
F
15
A. Lahdo
M
49
R. Cassano
M
Parma 3-5-2
Starting XI
31
Z. Suzuki
G
39
A. Circati
D
37
M. Troilo
D
5
L. Valenti
D
15
E. Delprato
M
16
M. Keita
M
41
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
↓ 71'
M
24
C. Ordonez
↓ 70'
M
29
F. Carboni
↓ 71'
M
9
M. Pellegrino
F
7
G. Strefezza
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
64
G. Astaldi
G
40
E. Corvi
G
8
N. Estevez
↑ 71'
M
11
P. Almqvist
F
3
A. Ndiaye
D
63
M. Mena
D
23
N. Elphege
↑ 59'
F
75
A. Cardinali
F
77
E. Tigani
M
14
E. Valeri
↑ 71'
D
22
O. Sorensen
↑ 70'
M
76
D. Mikolajewski
↑ 85'
F
Last matches: Como
24.05.26
Ser
Como
Cremonese
4
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Como
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Como
Napoli
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Como
Genoa
2
0
W
21.04.26
Cop
Como
Inter
2
3
L
17.04.26
Ser
Como
Sassuolo
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Como
Inter
3
4
L
06.04.26
Ser
Como
Udinese
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Como
Pisa
5
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Como
AS Roma
2
1
W
07.03.26
Ser
Como
Cagliari
2
1
W
03.03.26
Cop
Como
Inter
0
0
D
28.02.26
Ser
Como
Lecce
3
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Como
Juventus
2
0
W
18.02.26
Ser
Como
AC Milan
1
1
D
14.02.26
Ser
Como
Fiorentina
1
2
L
10.02.26
Cop
Como
Napoli
1
1
D
01.02.26
Ser
Como
Atalanta
0
0
D
27.01.26
Cop
Como
Fiorentina
3
1
W
24.01.26
Ser
Como
Torino
6
0
W
Last matches: Parma
24.05.26
Ser
Parma
Sassuolo
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Parma
AS Roma
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Parma
Inter
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Parma
Pisa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Parma
Udinese
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Parma
Napoli
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Parma
Lazio
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Parma
Cremonese
0
2
L
13.03.26
Ser
Parma
Torino
1
4
L
08.03.26
Ser
Parma
Fiorentina
0
0
D
27.02.26
Ser
Parma
Cagliari
1
1
D
22.02.26
Ser
Parma
AC Milan
1
0
W
15.02.26
Ser
Parma
Hellas Verona
2
1
W
08.02.26
Ser
Parma
Bologna
1
0
W
01.02.26
Ser
Parma
Juventus
1
4
L
25.01.26
Ser
Parma
Atalanta
0
4
L
18.01.26
Ser
Parma
Genoa
0
0
D
14.01.26
Ser
Parma
Napoli
0
0
D
11.01.26
Ser
Parma
Lecce
2
1
W
07.01.26
Ser
Parma
Inter
0
2
L
H2H: Como vs Parma
17.05.26
H2H
Como
Parma
1
0
W
25.10.25
H2H
Parma
Como
0
0
D
03.05.25
H2H
Parma
Como
0
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
Como
Parma
1
1
D
24.02.24
H2H
Como
Parma
1
1
D
20.10.23
H2H
Parma
Como
2
1
L
18.03.23
H2H
como
Parma
2
0
L
29.10.22
H2H
Parma
como
1
0
L
06.04.22
H2H
Parma
como
4
3
L
28.11.21
H2H
como
Parma
1
1
D
Last matches: Como
02.05.26
Ser
Como
Napoli
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Como
Inter
3
4
L
22.03.26
Ser
Como
Pisa
5
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Como
AS Roma
2
1
W
03.03.26
Cop
Como
Inter
0
0
D
28.02.26
Ser
Como
Lecce
3
1
W
14.02.26
Ser
Como
Fiorentina
1
2
L
01.02.26
Ser
Como
Atalanta
0
0
D
24.01.26
Ser
Como
Torino
6
0
W
15.01.26
Ser
Como
AC Milan
1
3
L
10.01.26
Ser
Como
Bologna
1
1
D
03.01.26
Ser
Como
Udinese
1
0
W
28.11.25
Ser
Como
Sassuolo
2
0
W
08.11.25
Ser
Como
Cagliari
0
0
D
29.10.25
Ser
Como
Hellas Verona
3
1
W
19.10.25
Ser
Como
Juventus
2
0
W
27.09.25
Ser
Como
Cremonese
1
1
D
24.09.25
Cop
Como
Sassuolo
3
0
W
15.09.25
Ser
Como
Genoa
1
1
D
24.08.25
Ser
Como
Lazio
2
0
W
H2H at home: Como
17.05.26
H2H
Como
Parma
1
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
Como
Parma
1
1
D
24.02.24
H2H
Como
Parma
1
1
D
Last matches: Parma
03.05.26
Ser
Parma
Inter
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Parma
Udinese
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Parma
Lazio
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Parma
Torino
1
4
L
08.03.26
Ser
Parma
Fiorentina
0
0
D
22.02.26
Ser
Parma
AC Milan
1
0
W
08.02.26
Ser
Parma
Bologna
1
0
W
25.01.26
Ser
Parma
Atalanta
0
4
L
14.01.26
Ser
Parma
Napoli
0
0
D
11.01.26
Ser
Parma
Lecce
2
1
W
03.01.26
Ser
Parma
Sassuolo
1
1
D
08.12.25
Ser
Parma
Pisa
1
0
W
04.12.25
Cop
Parma
Bologna
1
2
L
23.11.25
Ser
Parma
Hellas Verona
2
1
W
29.10.25
Ser
Parma
AS Roma
1
2
L
19.10.25
Ser
Parma
Genoa
0
0
D
21.09.25
Ser
Parma
Cremonese
0
0
D
13.09.25
Ser
Parma
Cagliari
0
2
L
24.08.25
Ser
Parma
Juventus
0
2
L
25.05.25
Ser
Parma
Atalanta
3
2
W
H2H away: Parma
17.05.26
H2H
Como
Parma
1
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
Como
Parma
1
1
D
24.02.24
H2H
Como
Parma
1
1
D
18.03.23
H2H
como
Parma
2
0
L
28.11.21
H2H
como
Parma
1
1
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4
Como Home
38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13
Parma Away
38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L

Missing Players

Como 3 missing
-
J. Addai
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
A. Valle
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
N. Paz
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Parma 7 missing
-
S. Britschgi
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
A. Bernabe
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
B. Cremaschi
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Ondrejka
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
G. Oristanio
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
G. Strefezza
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
M. Frigan
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT