Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
83.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
66.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Como
Napoli
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Como
40 matches
Napoli
46 matches
| Como | Statistic | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 25 |
| 12 | Draws | 10 |
| 8 | Losses | 11 |
| 71 | Goals For | 67 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1.78 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.46 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 18 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 5.23 | Shots On Goal | 4.59 |
| 14.03 | Total Shots | 12.93 |
| 4.38 | Corners | 5.72 |
| 60.8% | Ball Possession | 56.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Napoli. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Como expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Napoli in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Napoli having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Placed 5 with 61 points from 34 outings, Como continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses, while the 59:28 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Douvikas (12 goals), Nico Paz (12 goals), M. Baturina (6 goals), with creative support from J. Rodriguez (7 assists), Nico Paz (6 assists), M. Caqueret (5 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Napoli approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 69 points after 34 outings. The return of 21 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 52:33, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Hojlund (10 goals), S. McTominay (9 goals), K. De Bruyne (5 goals), with creative support from M. Politano (5 assists), R. Hojlund (3 assists), S. McTominay (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Como won 1 times, Napoli won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Como's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Como
5
1
8
4
3
3
Lineups
Como
Cremonese
Como
Parma
Como
Hellas Verona
Como
Genoa
Como
Inter
Como
Sassuolo
Como
Inter
Como
Udinese
Como
Pisa
Como
AS Roma
Como
Cagliari
Como
Inter
Como
Lecce
Como
Juventus
Como
AC Milan
Como
Fiorentina
Como
Napoli
Como
Atalanta
Como
Fiorentina
Como
Torino
Napoli
Udinese
Napoli
Pisa
Napoli
Bologna
Napoli
Cremonese
Napoli
Lazio
Napoli
Parma
Napoli
AC Milan
Napoli
Cagliari
Napoli
Lecce
Napoli
Torino
Napoli
Hellas Verona
Napoli
Atalanta
Napoli
AS Roma
Napoli
Como
Napoli
Genoa
Napoli
Fiorentina
Napoli
Chelsea
Napoli
Juventus
Napoli
FC Copenhagen
Napoli
Sassuolo
Como
Parma
Como
Inter
Como
Pisa
Como
AS Roma
Como
Inter
Como
Lecce
Como
Fiorentina
Como
Atalanta
Como
Torino
Como
AC Milan
Como
Bologna
Como
Udinese
Como
Sassuolo
Como
Cagliari
Como
Hellas Verona
Como
Juventus
Como
Cremonese
Como
Sassuolo
Como
Genoa
Como
Lazio
Napoli
Pisa
Napoli
Parma
Napoli
Cagliari
Napoli
Hellas Verona
Napoli
Atalanta
Napoli
Genoa
Napoli
Juventus
Napoli
FC Copenhagen
Napoli
Inter
Napoli
Lazio
Napoli
Cremonese
Napoli
Udinese
Napoli
Benfica
Napoli
AS Roma
Napoli
Bologna
Napoli
Lecce
Napoli
PSV Eindhoven
Napoli
Torino
Napoli
AC Milan
Napoli
Manchester City
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 |
Napoli
Away
|
38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Como
Home
|
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|