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ITALY › SERIE A
11.10.2026 10:30
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Referee: Michael Fabbri
Como
Match Timeline
AS Roma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+2'
Assane Diao Diaoune
Como
🔄
45'
Lorenzo Pellegrini ↔ Matias Soule
AS Roma
🟨
46'
Marten de Roon
AS Roma
🟥
53'
Donyell Malen
AS Roma
🟨
57'
Manu Koné
AS Roma
🔄
60'
Mario Hermoso ↔ Leonardo Balerdi
AS Roma
🟨
62'
Matias Soule
AS Roma
🔄
66'
Maxence Caqueret ↔ Jesús Rodríguez
Como
🔄
78'
Lucas Da Cunha ↔ Martin Baturina
Como
🔄
82'
Nahuel Molina ↔ Devyne Rensch
AS Roma
🔄
88'
Maximo Perrone ↔ Luis Milla
Como
🔄
88'
Assane Diao Diaoune ↔ Jayden Addai
Como
🔄
88'
Yan Couto ↔ Marc-Oliver Kempf
Como
🔄
89'
Paulo Dybala ↔ Emanuele Lulli
AS Roma
🔄
89'
Manu Koné ↔ Niccolò Pisilli
AS Roma
🟨
90'
Martin Baturina
Como

Como vs AS Roma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.61
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93%
1.28 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.61 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Como Win 46.9%
Draw 7%
AS Roma Win 46.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Como1.69
AS Roma1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Como Como
WWDLW
16 GF / 10 GA
AS Roma AS Roma
WLDWL
25 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
2.27
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
7
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
9
7
Shots on Goal
6.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Como Como 9 matches
AS Roma AS Roma 11 matches
Como Statistic AS Roma
4 Wins 5
4 Draws 4
1 Losses 2
16 Goals For 25
10 Goals Against 17
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 2.27
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
7 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
7 Shots On Goal 6.33
21.83 Total Shots 18.5
6.83 Corners 5.33
59.5% Ball Possession 57.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. AS Roma carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 13 points while Como sit 8 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward AS Roma. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Como expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and AS Roma in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AS Roma having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. AS Roma look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Como Analysis

Como sit 8 with 10 points after 5 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 9:6 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Assane Diao (2 goals), Martin Baturina (2 goals), Anastasios Douvikas (2 goals), with creative support from Assane Diao (1 assists), Martin Baturina (1 assists), Nico Paz (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

AS Roma Analysis

AS Roma come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 13 points after 5 matches. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 14:3, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Donyell Malen (6 goals), Matías Soulé (2 goals), Manu Koné (2 goals), with creative support from Paulo Dybala (4 assists), Gianluca Mancini (2 assists), Matías Soulé (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Como won 2 times, AS Roma won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Como's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: Como 4-2-3-1 / AS Roma 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Como 1, AS Roma 4
H2H summary: Como wins 2, draws 0, AS Roma wins 2

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 18:8 10 16
W D W W W
2 6 4 2 0 14:3 11 14
D D W W W
3 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
4 5 4 0 1 5:2 3 12
W W W L W
5 5 3 2 0 10:4 6 11
W D D W W
6
Como Home
6 3 2 1 9:6 3 11
D L W W W
7 6 3 1 2 10:6 4 10
W D W L L
8 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
W L D W W
9 6 3 1 2 9:7 2 10
L W D W W
10 5 2 1 2 9:9 0 7
L W D W L
11 5 2 0 3 5:7 -2 6
L L L W W
12 5 2 0 3 5:10 -5 6
L W L L W
13 5 1 1 3 8:11 -3 4
L L L W D
14 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
D L W L L
15 5 1 1 3 8:12 -4 4
W L D L L
16 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
W L D L L
17 6 1 1 4 4:10 -6 4
L W L D L
18 6 1 1 4 7:14 -7 4
L D W L L
19 5 0 2 3 3:6 -3 2
D L D L L
20 5 0 0 5 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
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