Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Comerciantes Unidos
22 matches
Cusco
27 matches
| Comerciantes Unidos | Statistic | Cusco |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 10 |
| 9 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 12 |
| 25 | Goals For | 35 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.35 | Shots On Goal | 4.27 |
| 13.25 | Total Shots | 11.42 |
| 3.75 | Corners | 3.46 |
| 46.6% | Ball Possession | 55% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cusco. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Comerciantes Unidos expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cusco in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cusco having the stronger overall control.
So far, Comerciantes Unidos have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 21 points from 17 matches. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 18:20 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Matías Sen (3 goals), Josuee Herrera (2 goals), Juan Rodríguez (1 goals), with creative support from Josuee Herrera (2 assists), Mathías Carpio (2 assists), Juan Rodríguez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Cusco have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 27 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 21:24 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Facundo Callejo (4 goals), Iván Colman (3 goals), José Miguel Manzaneda (2 goals), with creative support from Lucas Colitto (3 assists), Facundo Callejo (2 assists), Iván Colman (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Comerciantes Unidos won 2 times, Cusco won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:14 from Comerciantes Unidos's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Comerciantes Unidos
4
2
5
1
2
2
Lineups
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
Universitario
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
ADT
Cusco
Flamengo
Cusco
Atletico Grau
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
Cusco
Sport Boys
Cusco
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
Sporting Cristal
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
Cusco
Sport Huancayo
Cusco
FC Cajamarca
Cusco
Alianza Lima
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
Flamengo
Cusco
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
Universitario
Cusco
ADT
Cusco
Flamengo
Cusco
Sport Boys
Cusco
Sporting Cristal
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
Cusco
Alianza Lima
Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
Cusco
FBC Melgar
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
Cusco
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
Always Ready
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 39:13 | 26 | 51 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 31:30 | 1 | 41 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 32:22 | 10 | 39 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 37 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 36 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
Cusco
Away
|
22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
| 8 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 31 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Comerciantes Unidos
Home
|
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 29 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
| 11 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 28 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:23 | -4 | 26 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 25 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 31:47 | -16 | 24 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28:40 | -12 | 23 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26:33 | -7 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 21 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 25:38 | -13 | 15 |
L
L
D
L
D
|