12.09.2026 16:30
Llanelian Road
Referee: T. Owen

Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.7%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.10
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.7%
1.25
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.10
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.28
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Colwyn Bay Win 41.2%
Draw 10.3%
GAP Connah S Quay FC Win 48.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colwyn Bay1.2
GAP Connah S Quay FC1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay
WWDLW
19 GF / 19 GA
GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC
WLDWL
21 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.91
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
5
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 13 matches
GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC 11 matches
Colwyn Bay Statistic GAP Connah S Quay FC
6 Wins 6
2 Draws 2
5 Losses 3
19 Goals For 21
19 Goals Against 9
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
5 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by GAP Connah S Quay FC's more proactive style and Colwyn Bay's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward GAP Connah S Quay FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward GAP Connah S Quay FC having the stronger overall control. GAP Connah S Quay FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 16 points while Colwyn Bay sit 9 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. GAP Connah S Quay FC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Colwyn Bay Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Colwyn Bay have collected 10 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 8:10 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

GAP Connah S Quay FC Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 16 points from 7 games, GAP Connah S Quay FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 18:5, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Colwyn Bay won 1 times, GAP Connah S Quay FC won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:15 from Colwyn Bay's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.7%)
H2H summary: Colwyn Bay wins 1, draws 3, GAP Connah S Quay FC wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 19:3 16 22
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 21:9 12 21
W L W W W
3 8 6 0 2 23:9 14 18
W W L W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:5 7 18
W W D D W
5 7 5 1 1 18:5 13 16
D W W W W
6 8 5 0 3 16:11 5 15
L W L W L
7 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 14
D D W W L
8 8 4 0 4 13:11 2 12
L W W L L
9 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D D L W
10 7 3 1 3 8:11 -3 10
L W L W L
11 8 2 1 5 6:14 -8 7
W D W L L
12 8 2 1 5 6:15 -9 7
L L L L W
13 8 0 2 6 7:15 -8 2
D L L D L
14 8 0 2 6 3:19 -16 2
L D L D L
15 8 0 2 6 4:21 -17 2
L L L D L
16 8 0 1 7 11:29 -18 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)