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23.10.2026 18:45
Llanelian Road

Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Colwyn Bay Win 64.3%
Draw 3.8%
Cardiff MET Win 31.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colwyn Bay1.47
Cardiff MET1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay
WWDLW
33 GF / 23 GA
Cardiff MET Cardiff MET
WLDWL
35 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
1.94
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
7
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 19 matches
Cardiff MET Cardiff MET 18 matches
Colwyn Bay Statistic Cardiff MET
11 Wins 9
2 Draws 5
6 Losses 4
33 Goals For 35
23 Goals Against 19
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
7 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cardiff MET. Colwyn Bay come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cardiff MET having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Colwyn Bay Analysis

Colwyn Bay approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 25 points after 13 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, with a 22:15 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Cardiff MET Analysis

Cardiff MET are currently 7 in the standings with 21 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 24:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Colwyn Bay won 2 times, Cardiff MET won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:7 from Colwyn Bay's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
H2H summary: Colwyn Bay wins 2, draws 2, Cardiff MET wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 12 1 0 44:6 38 37
W W W W W
2 13 10 1 2 30:9 21 31
W W W W W
3 13 9 3 1 25:11 14 30
W L W W W
4 13 8 2 3 37:15 22 26
W L D W D
5 13 8 1 4 22:15 7 25
W L W W W
6 13 8 1 4 28:23 5 25
L W L L D
7 13 6 3 4 24:16 8 21
L W W D L
8 13 7 0 6 25:18 7 21
W W L W L
9 13 5 3 5 21:33 -12 18
L L W L W
10 13 5 1 7 22:23 -1 16
L L L L D
11 13 3 3 7 12:22 -10 12
L W D D L
12 13 3 1 9 8:19 -11 10
L L L L W
13 13 2 3 8 10:32 -22 9
W W L L D
14 13 2 2 9 12:25 -13 8
L W W L L
15 13 1 3 9 8:31 -23 6
W L L D L
16 13 0 2 11 14:44 -30 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)