🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
27.09.2026 23:00
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field

Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.8%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.1%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Columbus Crew Win 27.6%
Draw 13.6%
Inter Miami Win 58.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Columbus Crew1.57
Inter Miami1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WWDLW
42 GF / 45 GA
Inter Miami Inter Miami
WLDWL
70 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
2.19
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
20
BTTS Yes
25
19
Over 2.5
24
3.73
Shots on Goal
5.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 29 matches
Inter Miami Inter Miami 32 matches
Columbus Crew Statistic Inter Miami
8 Wins 14
6 Draws 13
15 Losses 5
42 Goals For 70
45 Goals Against 56
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 2.19
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
20 BTTS Yes 25
25 Over 1.5 29
19 Over 2.5 24
10 Over 3.5 18
5 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 4
3.73 Shots On Goal 5.61
11.35 Total Shots 14.07
4.85 Corners 4.93
55% Ball Possession 53.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Inter Miami's more proactive style and Columbus Crew's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Inter Miami. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Columbus Crew have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Inter Miami carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 45 points while Columbus Crew sit 13 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Columbus Crew expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Inter Miami in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Inter Miami having the stronger overall control.

Columbus Crew Analysis

With 23 points from 25 games and a place of 13, Columbus Crew still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats with a 35:42 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Diego Rossi (4 goals), Dániel Gazdag (4 goals), Maximilian Arfsten (3 goals), with creative support from Mohamed Farsi (3 assists), Maximilian Arfsten (2 assists), Hugo Picard (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Inter Miami Analysis

Placed 2 with 45 points from 25 outings, Inter Miami continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses, while the 61:46 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Messi (12 goals), L. Suárez (10 goals), G. Berterame (7 goals), with creative support from L. Messi (10 assists), R. De Paul (6 assists), T. Segovia (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Columbus Crew won 3 times, Inter Miami won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from Columbus Crew's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
Predicted formations: Columbus Crew 3-4-2-1 / Inter Miami 4-3-3
H2H summary: Columbus Crew wins 3, draws 2, Inter Miami wins 7

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 53:21 32 57
W D L D W
2 26 14 4 8 45:33 12 46
W W W L W
3 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
4 26 12 7 7 47:37 10 43
W D W D W
5 25 11 6 8 45:38 7 39
L L D D D
6 26 10 6 10 50:42 8 36
W W W W W
7 26 10 4 12 46:60 -14 34
L W W W D
8 26 9 6 11 34:48 -14 33
W W L D L
9 25 8 9 8 54:61 -7 33
D D L L D
10 26 8 8 10 39:34 5 32
L W L D D
11 25 6 11 8 31:39 -8 29
L D W D L
12 26 6 11 9 39:49 -10 29
L L W D D
13 26 7 5 14 37:42 -5 26
W L L W L
14 26 7 5 14 30:43 -13 26
W D L D L
15 26 5 6 15 31:53 -22 21
L L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)