Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United FC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Columbus Crew
16 matches
Atlanta United FC
17 matches
| Columbus Crew | Statistic | Atlanta United FC |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 23 | Goals For | 22 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.07 | Shots On Goal | 4.23 |
| 11.64 | Total Shots | 13.08 |
| 5.64 | Corners | 5.38 |
| 57.3% | Ball Possession | 53.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Columbus Crew have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atlanta United FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Columbus Crew expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Atlanta United FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atlanta United FC having the stronger overall control.
Columbus Crew approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 13 points from 14 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 19:23, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Rossi (5 goals), W. Abou Ali (5 goals), M. Arfsten (4 goals), with creative support from M. Arfsten (4 assists), H. Picard (2 assists), T. Habroune (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Atlanta United FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 11 points from 13 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats with a 14:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Miranchuk (5 goals), A. Fortune (2 goals), Emmanuel Latte Lath (2 goals), with creative support from M. Almiron (3 assists), A. Miranchuk (2 assists), E. Baez (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Columbus Crew won 10 times, Atlanta United FC won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:22 from Columbus Crew's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 50:21 | 29 | 54 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61:46 | 15 | 45 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 40 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 39 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 44:56 | -12 | 34 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 46:39 | 7 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 32 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 52:59 | -7 | 32 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 33:48 | -15 | 30 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 29 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:46 | -8 | 29 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 13 |
Columbus Crew
Home
|
25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 35:42 | -7 | 23 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 14 |
Atlanta United FC
Away
|
25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29:43 | -14 | 23 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
| 15 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31:51 | -20 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
D
|